Prep Zone: High School Sports blog 

AJC updates from the world of high school sports in metro Atlanta and Georgia
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Maxwell’s mid-season playoff projections: Classes AAA, AA, A

  • 9:00 pm Tuesday, September 30th, 2014 by Todd Holcomb

Below are the Maxwell Ratings’ mid-season projections of the playoff draw for Class AAA, Class AA, and Class A.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2014 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAA team).

Although regions may [More]

Softball notebook: Wesleyan streaks through Bulldog Bash

  • 3:22 pm Tuesday, September 30th, 2014 by Ricky Dimon

Score Atlanta
Wesleyan extended its winning streak to six by winning all four its games at last week’s Decatur High School Bulldog Bash. The Wolves kicked off their stretch of four contests in two days by defeating Lakeside-DeKalb 8-0 in five innings last Friday. Jameson Kavel allowed just one hit and struck out eight to lead Wesleyan on the mound.

Saturday saw the Wolves take care of Chamblee 11-0, Westlake 14-8 and Decatur 4-2. Kavel starred in all three contests. She combined with Cassie Henning for a no-hitter against Chamblee, went 3-for-3 versus Westlake and picked up the win over Decatur while [More]

Softball rankings: Forsyth powers climb in AAAAAA rankings

  • 3:15 pm Tuesday, September 30th, 2014 by Ricky Dimon

Brookwood won three games last week by a combined score of 18-0, leaving it poised to reach the top spot in Class AAAAAA after No. 1 Lassiter lost to Pope. The Broncos, however, suffered a 7-1 loss to Lambert on Monday and remain at No. 3 behind Lassiter and Collins Hill.

Lambert’s win over Brookwood was its fifth in a row and the team is up to fifth in the Class AAAAAA rankings. The Longhorns have won 13 of their last 14 contests, with the only loss in the current stretch coming to South Forsyth. Not coincidentally, South Forsyth is also [More]

Class A Blog: At midseason, time to start paying attention to the power ratings

  • 12:37 pm Tuesday, September 30th, 2014 by S. Thomas Coleman

We’re already halfway through the regular season, which means it’s time to start paying attention to the Georgia High Schools Association/MaxPreps power ratings. For newcomers, public and private schools in Class A compete against each other during the regular season but separately in the playoffs.  As such, the top 16 teams on each side advance to the post season and are selected based on a power rating system, coordinated by MaxPreps for the GHSA.  The top eight teams host the first round of the playoffs, with the top ranked team hosting the No. 16, No. 2 hosting No. 15, and [More]

Breaking down AA defenses: Vidalia riding 3-game shutout streak

  • 10:19 am Tuesday, September 30th, 2014 by Brent Holloway

We live in the age of offense. For more reasons than we can get into in this space, teams at all levels of football are scoring more than they ever have before. This is not news.

What, then, of the old adage ingrained in every football fan over the age of 25?

Defense wins championships.

Whether or not that’s still true on a large scale is a subject open to debate and just begging for some sleeves-rolled-up, heavy-duty statistical analysis. Again, this isn’t really the place for that, but on an anecdotal level, we can see defense definitely still matters, especially in big [More]

Ranking regions: 8-AAA rules … How does yours compare?

  • 10:15 am Tuesday, September 30th, 2014 by Stan Awtrey

You’ve heard the old refrain. “Our region is so tough,” they say. “If you can get out of Region (fill in the blank) you can play with anybody.”

That sounds good, but it isn’t necessarily so.

So just which region is the best?

This is the first year of the two-year reclassification system, so the leagues are still feeling their way around. Some teams went up in classification, some moved down. Some of the regions look much different.

Now that the season has reached the halfway point for most teams, it’s a good chance to look at each region and determine which ones are [More]

High school football standings through Week 6

  • 10:00 am Tuesday, September 30th, 2014 by Chip Saye

Class AAAAAA

Region 1-AAAAAA

Team
Reg.
All
Last week
This week

Camden County
0-0
5-0
Did not play
vs. Valdosta

Colquitt County
0-0
5-0
Did not play
vs. Lowndes

Lowndes
0-0
5-0
Did not play
at Colquitt Co.

Tift County
0-0
5-0
Did not play
vs. Lee Co.

Valdosta
0-0
5-0
Did not play
at Camden Co.

Lee County
0-0
4-0
d. Mitchell Co. 50-12
at Tift Co.

Region 2-AAAAAA

Newton
0-0
2-1
Did not play
vs. Tucker

Lovejoy
0-0
3-2
l. to Mays 40-35
at Rockdale Co.

Rockdale Co.
0-0
3-2
Did not play
vs. Lovejoy

Tucker
0-0
3-2
d. Clarkston 62-0
at Newton

Lakeside (Atlanta)
0-0
2-3
Did not play
vs. Alcovy (A)

Alcovy
0-0
0-5
l. to Lamar Co. 45-0
at Lakeside, Atlanta (A)

Region 3-AAAAAA

East Coweta
1-0
4-0
d. Campbell 41-14
at Westlake

Hughes
1-0
3-1
d. Douglas Co. 24-9
vs. Campbell

Westlake
1-0
2-1
d. Pebblebrook 42-3
vs. East Coweta

South Cobb
1-0
2-2
d. Newnan 42-39
at Pebblebrook

Campbell
0-1
2-2
l. to East Coweta 41-14
at Hughes

Pebblebrook
0-1
2-2
l. to Westlake 42-3
vs. South Cobb

Douglas County
0-1
1-3
l. to Hughes 24-9
vs. Newnan

Newnan
0-1
1-3
l. to South Cobb 42-39
at Douglas Co.

Region 4-AAAAAA

North Cobb
1-0
4-1
d. [More]

Region 6 favorites are clear; race more wide open in Region 4

  • 9:45 am Tuesday, September 30th, 2014 by Chip Saye

Today we continue our look at the playoff chances for Class AAAAA teams by focusing on Regions 4 and 6, where the state playoff teams will be determined by region play-in games.

Which teams on the lists below are getting too much credit? Which ones are being underestimated?

Next week we’ll finish our series with a look at Region 1.

Region 4-AAAAA

*Locks: None

*Likely: Mundy’s Mill, Drew, Luella

Mundy’s Mill was the Division A champion last season and is the favorite to win it again, although the Tigers’ can expect a challenge from Drew (3-1, 1-0) when the teams meet on Oct. 17. Luella emerged [More]

Maxwell’s mid-season playoff projections: Classes AAAAAA, AAAAA, AAAA

  • 7:10 am Tuesday, September 30th, 2014 by Todd Holcomb

Below are the Maxwell Ratings’ mid-season projections of the playoff draw for Class AAAAAA, Class AAAAA, and Class AAAA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2014 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAA team).

Although regions may [More]

Maxwell Week Six Summary: ECLA struggles against tough schedule; Region 1-AAAAAA’s real work begins

  • 7:05 am Tuesday, September 30th, 2014 by Todd Holcomb

The Maxwell Ratings will rank Georgia’s 417 teams throughout the 2014 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Interesting results after Week Six:
– Eagle’s Christian Landing is off to its worst start since 2000 and has locked in its worst season since joining the GHSA in 2004. Its six losses to date are more than their entire total from the last four years combined. However, according to Maxwell, they’ve played the toughest schedule in the state’s bottom two classes and the 15th toughest [More]

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Archives: 2014