Maxwell playoff projections after the Quarterfinals

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2017 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.


Class AAAAAAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Draw Avg Wins Finals Champion Odds
North Gwinnett #1 (6 – AAAAAAA) 12-1 87.84 82.54 4.08 685,895.60 395,235.57 1.53
Brookwood #1 (7 – AAAAAAA) 11-2 85.37 84.37 3.84 560,206.46 275,126.00 2.63
Colquitt County #3 (1 – AAAAAAA) 10-3 83.99 86.08 3.64 439,793.54 201,229.37 3.97
McEachern #2 (3 – AAAAAAA) 10-3 81.07 86.93 3.44 314,104.40 128,409.07 6.79

Class AAAAAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Draw Avg Wins Finals Champion Odds
Lee County #1 (1 – AAAAAA) 12-1 76.25 73.33 3.93 604,679.08 327,589.39 2.05
Tucker #1 (4 – AAAAAA) 12-1 74.59 74.05 3.79 526,724.51 263,582.52 2.79
Coffee #2 (1 – AAAAAA) 9-3 74.56 75.11 3.71 473,275.49 236,484.50 3.23
Glynn Academy #1 (2 – AAAAAA) 9-3 72.00 75.43 3.57 395,320.92 172,343.59 4.80

Class AAAAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Draw Avg Wins Finals Champion Odds
Buford #1 (8 – AAAAA) 11-1 89.88 78.49 4.25 688,689.56 564,455.07 0.77
Warner Robins #1 (1 – AAAAA) 13-0 76.40 78.22 4.05 836,580.19 213,842.24 3.68
Rome #1 (7 – AAAAA) 13-0 81.94 83.70 3.52 311,310.44 211,133.25 3.74
Carver (Atlanta) #1 (6 – AAAAA) 12-1 60.07 82.58 3.17 163,419.81 10,569.44 93.61

Class AAAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Draw Avg Wins Finals Champion Odds
Marist #1 (7 – AAAA) 13-0 79.13 66.95 4.43 853,709.92 574,516.86 0.74
Blessed Trinity #2 (7 – AAAA) 11-2 74.39 71.02 4.08 747,816.38 330,726.12 2.02
Mary Persons #1 (2 – AAAA) 11-2 62.48 75.13 3.31 252,183.62 53,609.48 17.65
St. Pius X #1 (8 – AAAA) 8-5 61.49 75.78 3.19 146,290.08 41,147.54 23.30

Class AAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Draw Avg Wins Finals Champion Odds
Greater Atlanta Christian #1 (7 – AAA) 12-1 80.59 71.25 4.21 700,986.52 510,526.97 0.96
Cedar Grove #1 (5 – AAA) 13-0 72.95 71.93 4.00 722,921.54 273,871.02 2.65
Peach County #1 (4 – AAA) 12-1 72.07 76.22 3.46 299,013.48 161,734.67 5.18
Calhoun #1 (6 – AAA) 12-1 63.36 75.63 3.33 277,078.46 53,867.34 17.56

Class AA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Draw Avg Wins Finals Champion Odds
Rabun County #1 (8 – AA) 13-0 83.22 73.65 4.34 847,742.01 494,910.61 1.02
Hapeville Charter #1 (6 – AA) 12-1 81.78 73.88 4.30 859,119.98 444,316.45 1.25
Brooks County #2 (1 – AA) 11-1 67.09 82.14 3.19 152,257.99 36,999.19 26.03
Heard County #1 (5 – AA) 12-1 63.70 81.43 3.16 140,880.02 23,773.74 41.06

Class A-Public

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Draw Avg Wins Finals Champion Odds
Clinch County #5 (2 – A) 10-2 50.88 45.59 4.14 752,129.11 389,606.81 1.57
Irwin County #2 (2 – A) 11-1 52.00 47.03 4.04 655,882.84 382,971.33 1.61
Emanuel County Institute #3 (3 – A) 11-1 46.59 50.93 3.50 344,117.16 156,691.78 5.38
Mount Zion (Carroll) #8 (6 – A) 10-2 40.82 51.06 3.32 247,870.89 70,730.09 13.14

Class A-Private

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Draw Avg Wins Finals Champion Odds
Eagle’s Landing Christian #1 (5 – A) 12-0 72.76 49.79 4.76 948,923.32 810,593.12 0.23
Athens Academy #2 (8 – A) 12-0 56.94 63.07 3.85 710,126.81 143,005.94 5.99
Mount Paran Christian #3 (6 – A) 11-1 49.02 65.89 3.32 289,873.19 32,449.24 29.82
Prince Avenue Christian #5 (8 – A) 11-1 44.58 66.63 3.07 51,076.68 13,951.70 70.68

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