Maxwell playoff projections after Week 5

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2017 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.


Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.

Teams in Semifinals Teams in Finals
Region Eliminated 1+ 2+ 3+ 4 Eliminated 1+ 2 Champion Odds
8 – AAAAAAA 161,467 838,533 344,717 14,137 149 260,393 739,607 169,703 619,939 0.61
1 – AAAAAAA 218,807 781,193 310,092 35,624 727 565,695 434,305 50,091 186,290 4.37
6 – AAAAAAA 565,781 434,219 54,572 1,522 12 746,318 253,682 7,215 97,202 9.29
3 – AAAAAAA 623,155 376,845 42,470 1,282 7 864,220 135,780 1,537 49,529 19.19
4 – AAAAAAA 750,150 249,850 22,392 751 7 902,914 97,086 1,447 24,475 39.86
7 – AAAAAAA 709,735 290,265 26,891 495 2 925,858 74,142 899 17,092 57.51
5 – AAAAAAA 851,074 148,926 5,884 32 968,308 31,692 76 5,273 188.65
2 – AAAAAAA 981,682 18,318 84 997,262 2,738 200 4,999.00

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Avg Depth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Grayson 8 – AAAAAAA 3-0 99.31 999,998 4.69 836,883 744,637 635,827 518,660 0.93
Archer 8 – AAAAAAA 4-0 87.57 999,827 3.20 557,239 419,121 269,682 100,915 8.91
Lowndes 1 – AAAAAAA 4-0 86.31 998,651 3.49 708,424 491,847 232,968 97,199 9.29
Mill Creek 6 – AAAAAAA 3-1 87.01 999,655 3.02 446,610 341,959 210,980 84,821 10.79
Colquitt County 1 – AAAAAAA 4-1 84.81 998,759 3.30 667,078 429,796 187,274 71,792 12.93
McEachern 3 – AAAAAAA 2-2 84.12 998,321 2.81 468,729 330,741 120,360 47,475 20.06
Walton 4 – AAAAAAA 4-0 80.07 998,023 2.44 458,275 140,930 61,908 17,936 54.75
Tift County 1 – AAAAAAA 5-0 78.76 992,186 2.66 502,771 204,935 64,079 17,296 56.82
Brookwood 7 – AAAAAAA 2-2 78.36 998,296 2.42 477,454 192,836 51,760 13,651 72.25
North Gwinnett 6 – AAAAAAA 3-1 78.54 995,921 2.26 256,376 127,677 48,052 12,240 80.70
Roswell 4 – AAAAAAA 1-2 75.26 973,224 2.02 310,448 83,288 26,485 5,190 191.68
South Forsyth 5 – AAAAAAA 4-0 74.05 997,548 2.19 359,372 110,746 25,979 4,633 214.84
Norcross 7 – AAAAAAA 1-3 72.80 991,808 1.78 249,505 73,839 15,100 2,471 403.69
Lassiter 4 – AAAAAAA 4-0 70.90 964,804 1.69 186,463 43,847 9,776 1,322 755.43
North Paulding 3 – AAAAAAA 4-0 70.48 949,771 1.62 161,828 40,110 8,272 1,123 889.47
Parkview 7 – AAAAAAA 2-2 69.30 982,262 1.46 138,904 32,764 5,454 691 1,446.18
North Cobb 3 – AAAAAAA 3-1 68.66 916,410 1.47 131,139 26,245 4,901 562 1,778.36
Milton 5 – AAAAAAA 3-1 67.72 976,946 1.66 162,316 32,341 4,565 530 1,885.79
Hillgrove 3 – AAAAAAA 2-2 67.46 873,773 1.35 108,945 19,185 3,273 345 2,897.55
Newton 8 – AAAAAAA 3-1 66.62 966,438 1.45 134,621 24,534 3,022 302 3,310.26
Central Gwinnett 7 – AAAAAAA 3-1 67.16 977,712 1.31 87,660 18,217 2,727 279 3,583.23
Westlake 2 – AAAAAAA 1-3 65.02 986,796 1.46 107,142 12,354 2,032 157 6,368.43
Mountain View 6 – AAAAAAA 4-0 64.27 836,646 1.29 88,011 13,293 1,314 113 8,848.56
West Forsyth 5 – AAAAAAA 3-1 63.96 943,975 1.35 74,699 11,325 1,210 110 9,089.91
South Gwinnett 8 – AAAAAAA 1-3 62.40 911,074 1.21 73,287 9,237 779 62 16,128.03
East Coweta 2 – AAAAAAA 3-1 61.77 976,307 1.29 59,651 5,518 680 42 23,808.52
Collins Hill 6 – AAAAAAA 2-2 61.31 717,991 1.02 52,096 6,068 490 25 39,999.00
Marietta 3 – AAAAAAA 3-1 61.09 767,602 1.06 51,066 4,323 511 24 41,665.67
Etowah 4 – AAAAAAA 2-3 60.16 572,434 0.70 16,378 2,513 183 19 52,630.58
Woodstock 4 – AAAAAAA 2-2 59.79 572,485 0.71 17,752 2,421 181 8 124,999.00
Camden County 1 – AAAAAAA 2-2 58.51 192,974 0.30 15,705 1,058 75 3 333,332.33
Peachtree Ridge 6 – AAAAAAA 0-4 56.43 472,307 0.60 16,976 1,327 61 3 333,332.33
Wheeler 2 – AAAAAAA 2-2 52.08 807,630 0.87 6,091 381 23 1 999,999.00
North Forsyth 5 – AAAAAAA 3-1 52.06 593,046 0.65 3,871 254 8
Lambert 5 – AAAAAAA 1-3 51.39 543,001 0.59 2,470 176 6
Newnan 2 – AAAAAAA 1-3 49.10 687,375 0.72 2,648 141 3
Shiloh 8 – AAAAAAA 0-4 43.38 123,290 0.13 404 6
Campbell 2 – AAAAAAA 2-2 42.19 323,428 0.33 271 6
Pebblebrook 2 – AAAAAAA 2-2 39.35 226,348 0.23 104 2
Kennesaw Mountain 3 – AAAAAAA 3-1 45.27 49,255 0.05 210 1
Cherokee 4 – AAAAAAA 0-4 39.72 23,073 0.02 15 1
Meadowcreek 7 – AAAAAAA 4-0 37.65 93,127 0.10 113
Rockdale County 8 – AAAAAAA 1-2 30.92 15,153 0.02
Forsyth Central 5 – AAAAAAA 0-4 25.80 9,126 0.01
Lakeside (Atlanta) 7 – AAAAAAA 1-3 22.45 2,846 0.00
Duluth 6 – AAAAAAA 2-2 23.18 1,378 0.00
Discovery 6 – AAAAAAA 1-3 21.87 994 0.00
Berkmar 7 – AAAAAAA 0-4 -5.77 6 0.00

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1 2 3 4 At Large Out
1 – AAAAAAA Lowndes 463,083 332,099 180,603 22,866 1,349
1 – AAAAAAA Colquitt County 370,025 371,677 226,426 30,631 1,241
1 – AAAAAAA Tift County 162,389 282,325 474,836 72,636 7,814
1 – AAAAAAA Camden County 4,503 13,899 118,135 56,437 807,026
2 – AAAAAAA Westlake 519,117 309,775 119,440 38,447 17 13,204
2 – AAAAAAA East Coweta 355,819 367,578 180,275 67,609 5,026 23,693
2 – AAAAAAA Wheeler 75,269 168,827 312,564 248,856 2,114 192,370
2 – AAAAAAA Newnan 40,646 109,763 238,817 297,450 699 312,625
2 – AAAAAAA Campbell 6,183 28,175 89,109 199,934 27 676,572
2 – AAAAAAA Pebblebrook 2,966 15,882 59,795 147,704 1 773,652
3 – AAAAAAA McEachern 703,953 205,540 61,780 22,841 4,207 1,679
3 – AAAAAAA North Paulding 123,287 291,140 265,555 191,763 78,026 50,229
3 – AAAAAAA North Cobb 87,626 231,337 269,323 236,535 91,589 83,590
3 – AAAAAAA Hillgrove 68,931 194,848 254,073 264,085 91,836 126,227
3 – AAAAAAA Marietta 16,049 75,492 141,025 255,053 279,983 232,398
3 – AAAAAAA Kennesaw Mountain 154 1,643 8,244 29,723 9,491 950,745
4 – AAAAAAA Walton 532,338 291,720 126,825 38,705 8,435 1,977
4 – AAAAAAA Roswell 290,720 345,627 238,098 91,474 7,305 26,776
4 – AAAAAAA Lassiter 144,279 253,772 341,397 175,155 50,201 35,196
4 – AAAAAAA Etowah 17,510 56,098 151,291 347,227 308 427,566
4 – AAAAAAA Woodstock 15,111 52,420 139,130 328,030 37,794 427,515
4 – AAAAAAA Cherokee 42 363 3,259 19,409 976,927
5 – AAAAAAA South Forsyth 560,386 285,850 114,966 31,645 4,701 2,452
5 – AAAAAAA Milton 270,929 362,705 248,150 87,642 7,520 23,054
5 – AAAAAAA West Forsyth 143,912 258,225 361,314 164,392 16,132 56,025
5 – AAAAAAA North Forsyth 13,357 47,955 140,420 356,154 35,160 406,954
5 – AAAAAAA Lambert 11,411 45,196 134,101 352,164 129 456,999
5 – AAAAAAA Forsyth Central 5 69 1,049 8,003 990,874
6 – AAAAAAA Mill Creek 682,770 264,641 42,517 8,749 978 345
6 – AAAAAAA North Gwinnett 273,828 513,075 158,251 42,726 8,041 4,079
6 – AAAAAAA Mountain View 26,696 119,755 381,521 295,107 13,567 163,354
6 – AAAAAAA Collins Hill 12,859 73,270 277,325 352,418 2,119 282,009
6 – AAAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 3,847 29,255 140,115 298,904 186 527,693
6 – AAAAAAA Discovery 2 106 886 999,006
6 – AAAAAAA Duluth 2 165 1,210 1 998,622
7 – AAAAAAA Brookwood 515,133 279,648 132,105 70,728 682 1,704
7 – AAAAAAA Norcross 240,600 311,868 256,522 182,493 325 8,192
7 – AAAAAAA Parkview 147,418 231,109 310,763 292,341 631 17,738
7 – AAAAAAA Central Gwinnett 96,792 176,612 297,266 402,547 4,495 22,288
7 – AAAAAAA Meadowcreek 57 754 3,236 49,156 39,924 906,873
7 – AAAAAAA Lakeside (Atlanta) 9 108 2,729 997,154
7 – AAAAAAA Berkmar 6 999,994
8 – AAAAAAA Grayson 760,976 225,360 12,316 1,323 23 2
8 – AAAAAAA Archer 229,074 664,100 92,179 13,847 627 173
8 – AAAAAAA Newton 7,093 72,810 523,074 349,141 14,320 33,562
8 – AAAAAAA South Gwinnett 2,842 36,884 353,034 517,513 801 88,926
8 – AAAAAAA Shiloh 15 822 17,788 104,665 876,710
8 – AAAAAAA Rockdale County 24 1,609 13,511 9 984,847

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.

Teams in Semifinals Teams in Finals
Region Eliminated 1+ 2+ 3+ 4 Eliminated 1+ 2 Champion Odds
1 – AAAAAA 172,042 827,958 413,540 93,790 7,489 368,444 631,556 134,390 408,397 1.45
4 – AAAAAA 327,219 672,781 193,980 15,023 344 554,610 445,390 36,246 269,482 2.71
5 – AAAAAA 418,876 581,124 143,841 14,197 476 632,189 367,811 22,047 198,039 4.05
6 – AAAAAA 575,119 424,881 76,089 5,609 137 814,779 185,221 7,866 67,874 13.73
2 – AAAAAA 743,294 256,706 18,439 359 2 891,010 108,990 933 43,937 21.76
8 – AAAAAA 854,261 145,739 7,510 144 1 962,263 37,737 217 8,140 121.85
7 – AAAAAA 914,084 85,916 1,121 4 979,976 20,024 16 3,967 251.08
3 – AAAAAA 987,216 12,784 21 998,444 1,556 164 6,096.56

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Avg Depth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Tucker 4 – AAAAAA 3-1 75.81 999,852 3.84 692,131 553,895 371,898 236,276 3.23
Lee County 1 – AAAAAA 5-0 75.48 987,786 3.67 720,159 521,124 350,897 218,064 3.59
Mays 5 – AAAAAA 3-1 74.28 996,121 3.44 727,437 443,049 293,769 170,268 4.87
Coffee 1 – AAAAAA 3-0 72.37 974,399 3.17 607,747 413,401 241,283 123,420 7.10
Northside (Warner Robins) 1 – AAAAAA 3-1 68.35 944,821 2.48 424,481 261,693 121,270 49,971 19.01
Glynn Academy 2 – AAAAAA 1-2 68.78 996,755 2.23 319,165 213,626 95,693 40,969 23.41
Harrison 6 – AAAAAA 2-2 66.34 966,257 2.29 446,791 191,853 79,459 29,681 32.69
Stephenson 4 – AAAAAA 2-2 65.05 996,517 2.72 415,146 235,038 89,542 29,464 32.94
Allatoona 6 – AAAAAA 2-2 66.25 964,176 2.28 442,541 189,259 77,944 29,200 33.25
Valdosta 1 – AAAAAA 1-3 64.41 891,085 1.91 270,897 145,000 52,325 16,922 58.09
Hughes 5 – AAAAAA 3-1 64.09 824,724 1.74 310,054 117,378 42,644 13,880 71.05
Douglas County 5 – AAAAAA 4-0 61.40 903,981 1.74 283,519 90,642 28,560 7,722 128.50
Dalton 6 – AAAAAA 3-1 61.32 897,265 1.65 257,736 82,123 25,194 6,877 144.41
Dacula 8 – AAAAAA 1-3 59.79 992,418 2.25 323,067 86,495 25,695 6,203 160.21
Alexander 5 – AAAAAA 2-1 60.86 755,482 1.41 222,622 68,572 20,517 5,268 188.83
Alpharetta 7 – AAAAAA 3-1 57.91 996,593 2.05 250,355 76,136 18,658 3,822 260.64
Lovejoy 4 – AAAAAA 2-3 57.56 939,539 1.99 184,680 62,147 15,009 2,990 333.45
Brunswick 2 – AAAAAA 2-1 59.01 966,758 1.40 103,461 43,087 11,191 2,532 393.94
Sequoyah 6 – AAAAAA 3-1 57.45 916,775 1.42 164,323 41,392 10,178 2,083 479.08
Lanier 8 – AAAAAA 2-2 55.20 976,906 1.92 196,100 40,186 8,379 1,466 681.13
Northgate 5 – AAAAAA 2-2 57.40 405,824 0.65 79,550 19,381 4,308 897 1,113.83
Jonesboro 4 – AAAAAA 2-3 53.08 902,554 1.73 116,737 30,967 5,185 752 1,328.79
Effingham County 2 – AAAAAA 2-2 53.54 902,807 1.12 53,781 15,196 2,637 401 2,492.77
Winder-Barrow 8 – AAAAAA 4-0 51.66 953,485 1.66 117,938 19,033 3,033 387 2,582.98
Heritage (Conyers) 3 – AAAAAA 3-1 49.34 991,304 1.44 53,560 12,347 1,533 161 6,210.18
Centennial 7 – AAAAAA 1-3 49.43 921,355 1.38 59,024 8,183 1,191 131 7,632.59
Gainesville 8 – AAAAAA 1-2 47.77 907,937 1.38 60,228 7,671 847 84 11,903.76
Richmond Hill 2 – AAAAAA 3-0 47.66 751,168 0.84 19,242 3,349 385 35 28,570.43
Creekview 6 – AAAAAA 2-2 50.96 194,215 0.24 13,365 2,056 312 33 30,302.03
Houston County 1 – AAAAAA 1-4 48.39 201,909 0.25 7,612 1,558 171 20 49,999.00
Johns Creek 7 – AAAAAA 1-3 43.97 743,640 0.96 22,648 1,863 147 10 99,999.00
New Manchester 5 – AAAAAA 2-2 46.43 111,295 0.13 5,274 614 60 4 249,999.00
Evans 3 – AAAAAA 2-2 37.19 863,940 0.96 4,590 367 23 3 333,332.33
Chattahoochee 7 – AAAAAA 3-1 39.48 619,697 0.74 8,842 466 28 2 499,999.00
Pope 7 – AAAAAA 1-3 39.75 383,168 0.46 5,566 310 13 2 499,999.00
Bradwell Institute 2 – AAAAAA 4-0 40.11 382,512 0.40 2,923 247 17
Northview 7 – AAAAAA 0-3 35.90 207,391 0.24 1,520 63 3
M.L. King 4 – AAAAAA 2-2 32.98 80,551 0.10 685 43 2
Greenbrier 3 – AAAAAA 4-0 31.47 662,590 0.70 934 43
Lakeside (Evans) 3 – AAAAAA 0-3 31.15 628,729 0.66 802 35
Drew 4 – AAAAAA 1-3 35.97 48,012 0.06 621 33
South Cobb 6 – AAAAAA 1-3 38.55 28,751 0.03 248 18
North Atlanta 7 – AAAAAA 3-1 33.62 93,149 0.10 434 14
River Ridge 6 – AAAAAA 3-1 37.92 24,885 0.03 202 11
Habersham Central 8 – AAAAAA 1-3 29.99 148,967 0.16 399 9
Grovetown 3 – AAAAAA 1-3 28.61 495,027 0.51 348 9
Cambridge 7 – AAAAAA 0-4 33.81 26,937 0.03 137 5
Mount Zion (Jonesboro) 4 – AAAAAA 1-3 30.29 29,487 0.04 158 4
Sprayberry 6 – AAAAAA 1-3 34.30 7,676 0.01 36 4
Alcovy 3 – AAAAAA 2-2 26.13 358,410 0.37 125 3
Creekside 5 – AAAAAA 0-4 39.21 1,666 0.00 30 1
Mundy’s Mill 4 – AAAAAA 0-4 27.12 3,488 0.00 15 1
Dunwoody 7 – AAAAAA 2-1 25.70 8,070 0.01 7
Apalachee 8 – AAAAAA 1-3 18.63 20,287 0.02 6
Tri-Cities 5 – AAAAAA 0-3 27.81 297 0.00 1
South Paulding 5 – AAAAAA 0-4 32.89 610 0.00
Osborne 6 – AAAAAA 0-5 8.61
Forest Park 4 – AAAAAA 0-5 4.83

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 – AAAAAA Lee County 462,934 290,245 155,397 79,210 12,214
1 – AAAAAA Coffee 297,368 321,479 227,741 127,811 25,601
1 – AAAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 155,439 232,132 313,331 243,919 55,179
1 – AAAAAA Valdosta 82,599 146,599 273,658 388,229 108,915
1 – AAAAAA Houston County 1,660 9,545 29,873 160,831 798,091
2 – AAAAAA Glynn Academy 664,510 244,259 67,885 20,101 3,245
2 – AAAAAA Brunswick 217,001 402,332 244,135 103,290 33,242
2 – AAAAAA Effingham County 86,660 223,063 362,196 230,888 97,193
2 – AAAAAA Richmond Hill 27,487 103,894 240,740 379,047 248,832
2 – AAAAAA Bradwell Institute 4,342 26,452 85,044 266,674 617,488
3 – AAAAAA Heritage (Conyers) 721,022 192,538 58,543 19,201 8,696
3 – AAAAAA Evans 151,669 336,773 234,402 141,096 136,060
3 – AAAAAA Greenbrier 47,276 163,493 226,521 225,300 337,410
3 – AAAAAA Lakeside (Evans) 42,895 150,766 211,008 224,060 371,271
3 – AAAAAA Grovetown 25,064 98,524 158,830 212,609 504,973
3 – AAAAAA Alcovy 12,074 57,906 110,696 177,734 641,590
4 – AAAAAA Tucker 734,327 227,900 35,094 2,531 148
4 – AAAAAA Stephenson 233,494 587,360 136,280 39,383 3,483
4 – AAAAAA Lovejoy 28,779 82,916 489,468 338,376 60,461
4 – AAAAAA Jonesboro 3,331 99,865 317,096 482,262 97,446
4 – AAAAAA M.L. King 47 1,215 11,694 67,595 919,449
4 – AAAAAA Drew 16 442 6,666 40,888 951,988
4 – AAAAAA Mount Zion (Jonesboro) 6 293 3,632 25,556 970,513
4 – AAAAAA Mundy’s Mill 9 70 3,409 996,512
4 – AAAAAA Forest Park 1,000,000
5 – AAAAAA Mays 773,263 161,433 46,263 15,162 3,879
5 – AAAAAA Douglas County 108,094 278,579 298,915 218,393 96,019
5 – AAAAAA Alexander 78,535 198,484 238,882 239,581 244,518
5 – AAAAAA Hughes 26,775 306,112 276,744 215,093 175,276
5 – AAAAAA Northgate 13,140 46,489 109,656 236,539 594,176
5 – AAAAAA New Manchester 189 8,807 29,144 73,155 888,705
5 – AAAAAA Creekside 4 90 325 1,247 998,334
5 – AAAAAA South Paulding 3 42 565 999,390
5 – AAAAAA Tri-Cities 3 29 265 999,703
6 – AAAAAA Allatoona 365,843 288,307 197,088 112,938 35,824
6 – AAAAAA Harrison 363,411 293,648 197,952 111,246 33,743
6 – AAAAAA Dalton 165,815 228,419 274,147 228,884 102,735
6 – AAAAAA Sequoyah 99,815 170,410 284,684 361,866 83,225
6 – AAAAAA Creekview 4,988 17,951 36,992 134,284 805,785
6 – AAAAAA South Cobb 66 672 4,670 23,343 971,249
6 – AAAAAA River Ridge 49 503 3,693 20,640 975,115
6 – AAAAAA Sprayberry 13 90 774 6,799 992,324
6 – AAAAAA Osborne 1,000,000
7 – AAAAAA Alpharetta 864,637 83,512 37,860 10,584 3,407
7 – AAAAAA Centennial 48,286 589,471 188,908 94,690 78,645
7 – AAAAAA Johns Creek 45,765 111,733 351,065 235,077 256,360
7 – AAAAAA Chattahoochee 28,741 120,766 216,877 253,313 380,303
7 – AAAAAA Pope 10,930 57,064 105,828 209,346 616,832
7 – AAAAAA North Atlanta 818 7,685 24,683 59,963 906,851
7 – AAAAAA Northview 596 27,536 66,566 112,693 792,609
7 – AAAAAA Cambridge 209 1,907 6,361 18,460 973,063
7 – AAAAAA Dunwoody 18 326 1,852 5,874 991,930
8 – AAAAAA Dacula 485,268 290,946 147,072 69,132 7,582
8 – AAAAAA Lanier 277,387 314,028 240,374 145,117 23,094
8 – AAAAAA Winder-Barrow 159,523 240,120 312,818 241,024 46,515
8 – AAAAAA Gainesville 76,920 148,491 276,235 406,291 92,063
8 – AAAAAA Habersham Central 882 6,116 21,515 120,454 851,033
8 – AAAAAA Apalachee 20 299 1,986 17,982 979,713

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.

Teams in Semifinals Teams in Finals
Region Eliminated 1+ 2+ 3+ 4 Eliminated 1+ 2 Champion Odds
8 – AAAAA 274,450 725,550 53,454 694 2 428,480 571,520 4,462 470,896 1.12
7 – AAAAA 133,927 866,073 444,812 83,682 1,287 442,583 557,417 86,910 278,327 2.59
4 – AAAAA 432,571 567,429 123,838 6,561 85 657,251 342,749 21,991 152,816 5.54
1 – AAAAA 582,663 417,337 46,536 294 802,222 197,778 3,615 49,589 19.17
3 – AAAAA 697,735 302,265 27,340 82 886,164 113,836 1,867 34,991 27.58
2 – AAAAA 763,397 236,603 6,419 5 916,377 83,623 399 12,540 78.74
6 – AAAAA 943,361 56,639 391 1 990,883 9,117 3 567 1,762.67
5 – AAAAA 967,618 32,382 240 995,290 4,710 3 274 3,648.64

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Avg Depth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Buford 8 – AAAAA 2-1 85.42 999,997 4.64 923,386 732,413 567,582 470,372 1.13
Rome 7 – AAAAA 3-0 77.69 998,972 4.14 921,883 704,137 338,915 210,805 3.74
Stockbridge 4 – AAAAA 4-0 76.45 999,903 3.51 812,022 371,673 234,950 127,000 6.87
Carrollton 7 – AAAAA 3-0 68.30 984,254 3.20 733,472 410,018 200,002 49,264 19.30
Warner Robins 1 – AAAAA 4-0 68.45 998,909 3.02 580,717 296,834 145,656 37,930 25.36
Starr’s Mill 3 – AAAAA 4-0 69.44 999,668 2.63 503,648 228,409 82,002 29,323 33.10
Jones County 4 – AAAAA 4-0 66.17 994,607 2.68 501,784 244,114 109,782 23,684 41.22
Kell 7 – AAAAA 1-3 64.52 944,713 2.44 518,764 241,395 97,124 17,450 56.31
Bainbridge 1 – AAAAA 3-1 64.11 996,374 2.57 438,810 163,432 55,435 11,649 84.84
Ware County 2 – AAAAA 0-2 62.30 999,446 2.35 311,923 133,076 47,614 7,444 133.34
Griffin 3 – AAAAA 4-0 62.31 997,055 2.00 264,590 100,124 33,636 5,664 175.55
Wayne County 2 – AAAAA 3-0 61.08 999,119 2.26 279,713 109,830 36,406 5,096 195.23
Dutchtown 4 – AAAAA 3-1 58.17 945,269 1.60 158,070 56,518 15,001 1,670 597.80
East Paulding 7 – AAAAA 1-3 55.88 785,474 1.18 143,557 38,341 8,053 797 1,253.71
Carver (Atlanta) 6 – AAAAA 3-1 52.14 993,738 2.07 190,006 43,367 7,750 516 1,936.98
Eagle’s Landing 4 – AAAAA 3-1 54.82 866,050 1.29 94,887 25,430 4,999 462 2,163.50
Clarke Central 8 – AAAAA 3-1 53.01 962,643 1.36 139,371 31,466 6,057 398 2,511.56
Southwest DeKalb 5 – AAAAA 2-2 49.63 993,859 1.84 101,436 17,146 2,601 159 6,288.31
Flowery Branch 8 – AAAAA 3-1 49.92 927,710 1.19 85,212 15,188 2,320 126 7,935.51
Arabia Mountain 5 – AAAAA 3-1 49.05 992,680 1.81 92,422 14,815 2,086 115 8,694.65
Banneker 6 – AAAAA 4-0 46.64 971,760 1.75 78,599 11,200 1,201 44 22,726.27
Villa Rica 7 – AAAAA 3-1 48.56 119,723 0.15 9,748 1,484 197 11 90,908.09
Thomas County Central 1 – AAAAA 2-2 45.75 860,485 1.12 26,970 3,121 263 10 99,999.00
Riverwood 6 – AAAAA 1-3 42.12 776,980 1.14 22,628 2,000 150 6 166,665.67
Whitewater 3 – AAAAA 2-2 39.16 653,556 0.70 4,802 486 32 2 499,999.00
McIntosh 3 – AAAAA 4-0 39.92 679,946 0.73 5,789 609 31 2 499,999.00
North Springs 6 – AAAAA 3-0 34.64 532,835 0.68 5,429 246 9 1 999,999.00
Paulding County 7 – AAAAA 1-3 44.67 134,166 0.15 4,269 432 31
Columbia 5 – AAAAA 2-2 36.43 895,207 1.18 10,580 602 25
Veterans 1 – AAAAA 2-3 38.51 597,904 0.68 5,640 477 25
Loganville 8 – AAAAA 0-4 38.51 570,728 0.60 7,171 479 18
Harris County 1 – AAAAA 2-2 37.04 546,328 0.61 3,970 306 14
Maynard Jackson 6 – AAAAA 2-2 35.40 467,003 0.60 4,776 205 10
Cedar Shoals 8 – AAAAA 3-0 35.58 431,713 0.45 3,076 151 5
Ola 4 – AAAAA 1-3 41.07 74,715 0.08 839 69 5
Hiram 7 – AAAAA 2-2 40.51 30,227 0.03 583 44 5
Woodland (Stockbridge) 4 – AAAAA 2-3 42.65 80,725 0.09 1,051 99 3
Statesboro 2 – AAAAA 0-3 32.04 742,903 0.79 1,704 75 2
Morrow 3 – AAAAA 3-1 32.05 262,709 0.27 475 24 2
Lithonia 5 – AAAAA 1-3 27.39 585,394 0.66 1,805 36 1
Fayette County 3 – AAAAA 1-3 32.13 289,781 0.30 540 29
South Effingham 2 – AAAAA 0-4 30.07 661,142 0.69 1,044 24
Miller Grove 5 – AAAAA 3-2 25.55 477,990 0.53 1,005 23
New Hampstead 2 – AAAAA 2-1 28.90 597,390 0.62 732 23
Grady 6 – AAAAA 0-3 28.87 87,568 0.10 327 8
Locust Grove 4 – AAAAA 1-3 38.32 25,242 0.03 166 8
Lithia Springs 6 – AAAAA 1-3 24.99 156,437 0.17 307 5
Riverdale 3 – AAAAA 1-3 27.10 117,285 0.12 89 5
Walnut Grove 8 – AAAAA 1-3 26.53 107,071 0.11 152 2
Union Grove 4 – AAAAA 2-3 32.47 6,916 0.01 19 2
Decatur 6 – AAAAA 1-3 20.54 13,679 0.01 17
Woodland (Cartersville) 7 – AAAAA 2-2 30.65 2,348 0.00 11
Chamblee 5 – AAAAA 1-3 11.23 54,870 0.06 7
Hampton 4 – AAAAA 1-3 28.46 6,573 0.01 6
Cass 7 – AAAAA 0-4 26.96 123 0.00 1
Johnson (Gainesville) 8 – AAAAA 0-4 -5.90 138 0.00
Clarkston 5 – AAAAA 0-5 -19.64
Cross Keys 5 – AAAAA 0-1 -36.95

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 – AAAAA Warner Robins 613,907 332,175 45,905 6,922 1,091
1 – AAAAA Bainbridge 359,744 525,364 95,695 15,571 3,626
1 – AAAAA Thomas County Central 19,882 93,226 486,993 260,384 139,515
1 – AAAAA Veterans 3,955 28,253 197,652 368,044 402,096
1 – AAAAA Harris County 2,512 20,982 173,755 349,079 453,672
2 – AAAAA Ware County 519,011 445,309 31,798 3,328 554
2 – AAAAA Wayne County 473,384 483,042 38,480 4,213 881
2 – AAAAA Statesboro 3,670 31,798 385,348 322,087 257,097
2 – AAAAA South Effingham 2,333 22,135 294,926 341,748 338,858
2 – AAAAA New Hampstead 1,602 17,716 249,448 328,624 402,610
3 – AAAAA Starr’s Mill 688,619 286,920 21,908 2,221 332
3 – AAAAA Griffin 301,160 607,619 76,948 11,328 2,945
3 – AAAAA McIntosh 5,155 46,318 344,788 283,685 320,054
3 – AAAAA Whitewater 4,071 40,928 322,942 285,615 346,444
3 – AAAAA Morrow 491 7,922 92,345 161,951 737,291
3 – AAAAA Fayette County 430 8,389 106,458 174,504 710,219
3 – AAAAA Riverdale 74 1,904 34,611 80,696 882,715
4 – AAAAA Stockbridge 744,017 221,107 30,268 4,511 97
4 – AAAAA Jones County 219,492 486,527 214,347 74,241 5,393
4 – AAAAA Eagle’s Landing 21,882 110,533 308,823 424,812 133,950
4 – AAAAA Dutchtown 14,584 180,362 423,243 327,080 54,731
4 – AAAAA Woodland (Stockbridge) 13 317 12,406 67,989 919,275
4 – AAAAA Ola 9 1,057 7,197 66,452 925,285
4 – AAAAA Locust Grove 2 45 2,885 22,310 974,758
4 – AAAAA Union Grove 1 25 355 6,535 993,084
4 – AAAAA Hampton 27 476 6,070 993,427
5 – AAAAA Southwest DeKalb 477,886 370,353 118,853 26,767 6,141
5 – AAAAA Arabia Mountain 441,903 390,235 130,801 29,741 7,320
5 – AAAAA Columbia 65,242 170,052 442,562 217,351 104,793
5 – AAAAA Lithonia 9,208 40,129 170,151 365,906 414,606
5 – AAAAA Miller Grove 5,675 28,376 128,129 315,810 522,010
5 – AAAAA Chamblee 86 855 9,504 44,425 945,130
5 – AAAAA Clarkston 1,000,000
5 – AAAAA Cross Keys 1,000,000
6 – AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 604,606 274,812 91,908 22,412 6,262
6 – AAAAA Banneker 322,397 458,026 137,369 53,968 28,240
6 – AAAAA Riverwood 44,866 120,438 364,733 246,943 223,020
6 – AAAAA North Springs 20,415 73,429 178,247 260,744 467,165
6 – AAAAA Maynard Jackson 5,339 56,893 161,162 243,609 532,997
6 – AAAAA Lithia Springs 1,531 10,269 40,902 103,735 843,563
6 – AAAAA Grady 809 5,703 23,037 58,019 912,432
6 – AAAAA Decatur 37 430 2,642 10,570 986,321
7 – AAAAA Rome 765,291 202,826 24,847 6,008 1,028
7 – AAAAA Carrollton 206,169 462,241 261,283 54,561 15,746
7 – AAAAA Kell 17,167 276,738 450,277 200,531 55,287
7 – AAAAA East Paulding 10,389 48,121 217,690 509,274 214,526
7 – AAAAA Villa Rica 677 7,141 25,910 85,995 880,277
7 – AAAAA Paulding County 288 2,524 15,627 115,727 865,834
7 – AAAAA Hiram 18 397 4,150 25,662 969,773
7 – AAAAA Woodland (Cartersville) 1 12 205 2,130 997,652
7 – AAAAA Cass 11 112 999,877
8 – AAAAA Buford 959,157 38,932 1,710 198 3
8 – AAAAA Clarke Central 23,948 508,118 328,950 101,627 37,357
8 – AAAAA Flowery Branch 15,154 357,318 392,038 163,200 72,290
8 – AAAAA Loganville 1,230 57,837 152,877 358,784 429,272
8 – AAAAA Cedar Shoals 490 34,144 104,058 293,021 568,287
8 – AAAAA Walnut Grove 21 3,651 20,364 83,035 892,929
8 – AAAAA Johnson (Gainesville) 3 135 999,862

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.

Teams in Semifinals Teams in Finals
Region Eliminated 1+ 2+ 3+ 4 Eliminated 1+ 2 Champion Odds
5 – AAAA 85,926 914,074 338,183 35,165 1,016 109,723 890,277 142,346 815,472 0.23
3 – AAAA 512,301 487,699 59,362 1,316 2 696,387 303,613 6,173 66,176 14.11
7 – AAAA 591,719 408,281 44,697 882 4 747,061 252,939 6,294 57,779 16.31
4 – AAAA 489,825 510,175 52,532 68 812,194 187,806 496 29,053 33.42
8 – AAAA 560,808 439,192 59,801 300 872,381 127,619 810 19,633 49.93
2 – AAAA 651,057 348,943 30,807 572 2 949,673 50,327 315 7,761 127.85
6 – AAAA 797,430 202,570 7,575 16 978,443 21,557 37 3,212 310.33
1 – AAAA 944,312 55,688 1,064 8 990,620 9,380 11 914 1,093.09

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Avg Depth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Cartersville 5 – AAAA 4-0 89.36 999,988 5.47 931,676 893,185 859,639 787,809 0.27
Thomson 3 – AAAA 3-0 68.56 999,994 3.57 853,684 408,813 275,289 60,753 15.46
Marist 7 – AAAA 4-0 68.86 999,685 2.93 464,009 299,083 200,086 46,201 20.64
Woodward Academy 4 – AAAA 3-1 63.61 999,915 3.43 763,621 493,760 183,786 28,704 33.84
Sandy Creek 5 – AAAA 3-1 65.76 984,786 2.84 488,875 286,127 162,995 26,861 36.23
Jefferson 8 – AAAA 3-1 62.31 998,363 3.00 627,883 373,851 116,884 18,481 53.11
Blessed Trinity 7 – AAAA 4-1 61.98 997,628 2.27 242,322 133,450 58,252 11,529 85.74
Mary Persons 2 – AAAA 3-2 57.70 965,945 2.50 453,499 243,860 35,451 6,434 154.42
Burke County 3 – AAAA 4-0 56.48 999,807 2.57 571,445 107,130 32,972 5,293 187.93
Ridgeland 6 – AAAA 4-0 55.04 996,868 2.14 334,352 172,081 18,728 3,019 330.24
St. Pius X 8 – AAAA 0-4 51.37 973,830 1.85 236,699 97,020 9,823 1,040 960.54
Cairo 1 – AAAA 2-2 51.96 978,790 1.83 221,860 26,583 6,957 800 1,249.00
Spalding 2 – AAAA 1-2 51.10 866,571 1.73 209,594 67,934 7,813 751 1,330.56
Cedartown 5 – AAAA 4-0 50.21 711,551 1.30 142,464 49,582 5,207 459 2,177.65
West Laurens 2 – AAAA 2-2 49.32 814,766 1.51 156,991 40,767 4,555 365 2,738.73
Eastside 4 – AAAA 3-1 47.15 996,378 1.82 219,666 65,613 4,405 345 2,897.55
Troup 5 – AAAA 4-0 48.92 629,871 1.11 113,282 37,377 3,299 238 4,200.68
Upson-Lee 2 – AAAA 2-2 47.80 752,562 1.33 120,943 25,604 2,682 209 4,783.69
Northwest Whitfield 6 – AAAA 3-1 47.14 977,932 1.46 108,447 32,971 2,637 188 5,318.15
Baldwin 3 – AAAA 3-1 44.00 996,934 1.66 160,504 32,407 1,524 130 7,691.31
Chapel Hill 5 – AAAA 3-1 46.59 509,783 0.83 72,403 21,367 1,476 105 9,522.81
Oconee County 8 – AAAA 2-1 45.74 921,498 1.31 77,000 22,791 1,455 97 10,308.28
Northside (Columbus) 1 – AAAA 4-0 44.85 882,946 1.31 77,660 11,486 1,113 55 18,180.82
Americus-Sumter 1 – AAAA 2-2 44.96 884,069 1.32 78,505 11,957 1,107 52 19,229.77
West Hall 7 – AAAA 4-1 43.00 909,161 1.26 68,675 17,297 747 45 22,221.22
Stephens County 8 – AAAA 2-2 41.14 812,626 0.99 26,309 5,572 265 15 66,665.67
White County 7 – AAAA 4-1 37.63 785,820 0.95 25,526 3,939 146 4 249,999.00
Salem 4 – AAAA 3-1 36.89 915,711 1.12 36,013 3,323 110 4 249,999.00
Hardaway 1 – AAAA 1-3 39.25 465,735 0.59 19,646 3,381 131 3 333,332.33
Heritage (Ringgold) 6 – AAAA 4-0 39.22 905,480 1.03 17,037 2,716 118 3 333,332.33
Carver (Columbus) 1 – AAAA 0-4 38.33 364,409 0.46 14,172 2,365 65 3 333,332.33
Pickens 6 – AAAA 2-2 38.87 888,158 1.00 15,227 2,392 111 2 499,999.00
Howard 2 – AAAA 4-1 38.86 300,957 0.41 14,563 1,036 72 1 999,999.00
Perry 2 – AAAA 2-1 39.01 299,199 0.41 14,995 1,125 69 1 999,999.00
Westover 1 – AAAA 2-2 35.17 203,605 0.24 4,953 675 13 1 999,999.00
Columbus 1 – AAAA 1-2 32.81 188,219 0.22 3,227 304 5
LaGrange 5 – AAAA 0-4 36.04 100,014 0.13 3,774 579 4
Central (Carrollton) 5 – AAAA 2-2 33.80 64,007 0.08 1,724 224 3
Chestatee 7 – AAAA 3-2 27.45 307,706 0.33 1,650 97 2
North Oconee 8 – AAAA 1-3 28.93 235,313 0.25 556 59 2
Richmond Academy 3 – AAAA 3-1 19.33 770,730 0.79 962 30 1
Luella 4 – AAAA 0-5 24.01 421,053 0.43 887 17 1
North Clayton 4 – AAAA 1-3 26.44 573,731 0.60 2,409 61
Shaw 1 – AAAA 1-2 25.09 32,227 0.03 174 7
Southeast Whitfield 6 – AAAA 4-0 23.43 223,207 0.23 89 2
Madison County 8 – AAAA 1-3 20.71 58,370 0.06 21
Cross Creek 3 – AAAA 2-2 5.16 135,965 0.14 10
Henry County 4 – AAAA 0-4 11.16 60,014 0.06 10
Hephzibah 3 – AAAA 2-2 2.86 96,570 0.10 4
Druid Hills 4 – AAAA 1-3 8.65 33,198 0.03 3
LaFayette 6 – AAAA 2-2 3.05 4,944 0.00
Gilmer 6 – AAAA 0-4 1.31 3,411 0.00

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 – AAAA Cairo 562,416 256,856 117,164 42,354 21,210
1 – AAAA Americus-Sumter 200,446 286,812 249,425 147,386 115,931
1 – AAAA Northside (Columbus) 197,910 287,493 256,569 140,974 117,054
1 – AAAA Hardaway 14,633 82,128 152,372 216,602 534,265
1 – AAAA Carver (Columbus) 13,709 43,970 106,059 200,671 635,591
1 – AAAA Columbus 6,094 22,877 55,028 104,220 811,781
1 – AAAA Westover 4,461 17,859 55,831 125,454 796,395
1 – AAAA Shaw 331 2,005 7,552 22,339 967,773
2 – AAAA Mary Persons 519,556 253,626 131,314 61,449 34,055
2 – AAAA Spalding 209,214 267,561 229,778 160,018 133,429
2 – AAAA West Laurens 142,336 220,031 246,867 205,532 185,234
2 – AAAA Upson-Lee 101,519 177,683 231,903 241,457 247,438
2 – AAAA Perry 13,946 40,645 79,753 164,855 700,801
2 – AAAA Howard 13,429 40,454 80,385 166,689 699,043
3 – AAAA Thomson 759,791 210,779 28,770 654 6
3 – AAAA Burke County 211,495 604,345 177,305 6,662 193
3 – AAAA Baldwin 28,547 181,762 727,813 58,812 3,066
3 – AAAA Richmond Academy 166 2,932 58,068 709,564 229,270
3 – AAAA Cross Creek 1 124 4,775 131,065 864,035
3 – AAAA Hephzibah 58 3,269 93,243 903,430
4 – AAAA Woodward Academy 839,974 142,915 15,441 1,585 85
4 – AAAA Eastside 133,313 622,563 211,940 28,562 3,622
4 – AAAA Salem 24,141 197,023 491,076 203,471 84,289
4 – AAAA North Clayton 2,053 31,616 162,156 377,906 426,269
4 – AAAA Luella 511 5,031 105,539 309,972 578,947
4 – AAAA Henry County 6 630 9,468 49,910 939,986
4 – AAAA Druid Hills 2 222 4,380 28,594 966,802
5 – AAAA Cartersville 921,979 74,876 2,842 291 12
5 – AAAA Sandy Creek 70,885 703,813 167,848 42,240 15,214
5 – AAAA Cedartown 3,354 94,926 331,652 281,619 288,449
5 – AAAA Troup 2,548 75,956 260,516 290,851 370,129
5 – AAAA Chapel Hill 1,187 45,631 193,313 269,652 490,217
5 – AAAA LaGrange 32 3,162 27,588 69,232 899,986
5 – AAAA Central (Carrollton) 15 1,636 16,241 46,115 935,993
6 – AAAA Ridgeland 622,141 264,154 81,760 28,813 3,132
6 – AAAA Northwest Whitfield 249,730 388,745 228,213 111,244 22,068
6 – AAAA Heritage (Ringgold) 67,790 173,862 335,510 328,318 94,520
6 – AAAA Pickens 58,814 162,017 313,086 354,241 111,842
6 – AAAA Southeast Whitfield 1,523 11,175 40,729 169,780 776,793
6 – AAAA Gilmer 1 16 272 3,122 996,589
6 – AAAA LaFayette 1 31 430 4,482 995,056
7 – AAAA Marist 657,803 307,770 30,168 3,944 315
7 – AAAA Blessed Trinity 322,690 562,645 97,597 14,696 2,372
7 – AAAA West Hall 14,443 88,666 516,278 289,774 90,839
7 – AAAA White County 4,768 35,195 292,248 453,609 214,180
7 – AAAA Chestatee 296 5,724 63,709 237,977 692,294
8 – AAAA Jefferson 698,840 226,513 57,099 15,911 1,637
8 – AAAA St. Pius X 196,029 414,391 252,594 110,816 26,170
8 – AAAA Oconee County 72,149 228,330 375,150 245,869 78,502
8 – AAAA Stephens County 31,729 117,539 260,058 403,300 187,374
8 – AAAA North Oconee 1,163 11,716 45,660 176,774 764,687
8 – AAAA Madison County 90 1,511 9,439 47,330 941,630

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.

Teams in Semifinals Teams in Finals
Region Eliminated 1+ 2+ 3+ 4 Eliminated 1+ 2 Champion Odds
5 – AAA 119,711 880,289 307,945 42,532 1,999 323,196 676,804 40,018 382,547 1.61
7 – AAA 192,290 807,710 32,884 318 1 374,505 625,495 1,163 376,676 1.65
6 – AAA 338,914 661,086 46,711 567 2 715,225 284,775 965 115,775 7.64
4 – AAA 238,912 761,088 135,568 3,430 20 704,162 295,838 4,502 114,339 7.75
1 – AAA 833,700 166,300 6,320 55 944,699 55,301 89 9,644 102.69
3 – AAA 960,964 39,036 242 992,976 7,024 2 606 1,649.17
8 – AAA 947,622 52,378 741 1 995,886 4,114 3 226 4,423.78
2 – AAA 947,904 52,096 677 2 996,094 3,906 1 187 5,346.59

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Avg Depth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Greater Atlanta Christian 7 – AAA 3-1 73.83 999,998 4.66 852,292 812,830 624,216 376,563 1.66
Cedar Grove 5 – AAA 4-0 73.43 999,944 4.67 894,747 816,234 624,112 366,662 1.73
Calhoun 6 – AAA 3-1 66.39 996,580 3.64 764,075 661,118 279,730 115,310 7.67
Peach County 4 – AAA 3-1 65.36 999,853 4.07 942,430 739,909 281,824 112,944 7.85
Crisp County 1 – AAA 3-0 54.11 999,193 2.85 727,104 144,528 52,516 9,487 104.41
Lovett 5 – AAA 1-3 54.51 970,975 2.17 339,937 155,913 37,707 7,239 137.14
Westminster (Atlanta) 5 – AAA 1-3 53.70 991,306 2.23 362,382 167,300 40,499 6,969 142.49
Pace Academy 5 – AAA 1-2 48.53 921,564 1.71 244,849 93,053 14,495 1,677 595.30
Westside (Macon) 4 – AAA 2-2 45.01 967,419 2.42 513,417 105,060 13,296 1,086 919.81
Jenkins 3 – AAA 3-0 44.29 999,447 2.18 430,904 36,641 6,886 603 1,657.37
Bremen 6 – AAA 4-0 44.91 913,493 1.31 109,297 36,531 5,091 427 2,340.92
Jackson 4 – AAA 2-2 41.08 925,429 2.00 341,500 47,524 4,701 291 3,435.43
Liberty County 2 – AAA 1-2 39.62 971,166 1.89 227,455 33,389 2,818 154 6,492.51
Monroe 1 – AAA 1-2 39.88 966,394 1.91 259,538 22,016 2,602 146 6,848.32
Monroe Area 8 – AAA 4-0 40.26 985,848 1.80 128,883 28,980 2,337 141 7,091.20
Dawson County 7 – AAA 2-1 39.01 938,484 1.63 60,164 17,658 1,849 92 10,868.57
Morgan County 8 – AAA 3-1 39.03 981,427 1.73 107,013 23,218 1,751 84 11,903.76
Sonoraville 6 – AAA 3-1 36.94 743,886 0.85 23,745 5,247 565 26 38,460.54
Pierce County 2 – AAA 1-2 34.81 914,410 1.50 113,973 10,815 633 20 49,999.00
Pike County 4 – AAA 3-1 33.69 732,725 1.20 117,084 7,163 504 18 55,554.56
Union County 7 – AAA 4-0 34.28 842,321 1.31 35,246 6,854 440 17 58,822.53
Appling County 2 – AAA 0-2 33.39 889,415 1.39 92,879 7,334 406 13 76,922.08
Cook 1 – AAA 0-4 31.61 851,344 1.30 70,580 4,624 230 10 99,999.00
Ringgold 6 – AAA 2-2 34.42 466,911 0.56 25,170 2,955 149 7 142,856.14
Adairsville 6 – AAA 2-2 34.22 655,700 0.72 13,122 2,486 205 5 199,999.00
East Hall 7 – AAA 3-1 31.31 754,832 1.09 23,085 3,303 150 4 249,999.00
Southeast Bulloch 3 – AAA 0-3 29.89 973,529 1.32 63,331 2,422 137 3 333,332.33
Worth County 1 – AAA 0-5 24.78 613,812 0.80 20,262 839 24 1 999,999.00
Jackson County 8 – AAA 3-2 25.39 727,011 0.86 4,451 459 17 1 999,999.00
Brantley County 2 – AAA 0-3 26.27 637,027 0.80 21,968 747 25
Tattnall County 2 – AAA 1-2 25.00 552,731 0.67 15,561 491 25
Dougherty 1 – AAA 1-4 23.65 569,257 0.72 15,816 668 18
Central (Macon) 4 – AAA 0-3 25.72 289,399 0.38 15,619 442 15
Franklin County 8 – AAA 1-3 23.12 638,946 0.73 2,280 245 10
Redan 5 – AAA 1-3 28.64 81,861 0.09 1,599 248 9
North Hall 7 – AAA 0-4 24.16 372,644 0.47 4,317 265 3
Hart County 8 – AAA 0-4 23.35 635,174 0.72 2,310 219 2
Windsor Forest 3 – AAA 3-0 16.30 679,335 0.72 4,209 91 2
Savannah 3 – AAA 1-1 15.38 486,774 0.51 2,163 46 1
Beach 3 – AAA 1-1 15.71 562,483 0.59 2,912 70
North Murray 6 – AAA 2-2 21.37 158,851 0.16 610 30
Towers 5 – AAA 2-2 22.01 33,788 0.04 250 16
Islands 3 – AAA 1-2 9.59 280,172 0.29 476 8
Kendrick 4 – AAA 0-4 15.18 49,806 0.06 512 5
Rutland 4 – AAA 0-3 13.57 35,369 0.04 272 3
Fannin County 7 – AAA 2-2 13.91 66,111 0.07 135 3
Long County 2 – AAA 0-3 6.90 35,251 0.04 35
Murray County 6 – AAA 2-2 12.79 51,524 0.05 20
Lumpkin County 7 – AAA 0-4 9.53 25,610 0.03 18
East Jackson 8 – AAA 1-2 3.09 31,594 0.03 2
Haralson County 6 – AAA 0-3 2.56 4,093 0.00 1
Johnson (Savannah) 3 – AAA 0-3 -6.38 10,418 0.01
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe 6 – AAA 1-3 2.22 8,818 0.01
Groves 3 – AAA 0-3 -9.75 7,842 0.01
McNair 5 – AAA 2-2 7.78 515 0.00
Coahulla Creek 6 – AAA 0-4 -17.15 144 0.00
Stone Mountain 5 – AAA 1-3 -1.23 47 0.00

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 – AAA Crisp County 783,897 181,388 27,812 6,096 807
1 – AAA Monroe 159,854 489,344 235,937 81,259 33,606
1 – AAA Cook 40,430 199,376 371,010 240,528 148,656
1 – AAA Worth County 8,970 71,638 193,311 339,893 386,188
1 – AAA Dougherty 6,849 58,254 171,930 332,224 430,743
2 – AAA Liberty County 489,084 270,004 143,945 68,133 28,834
2 – AAA Pierce County 240,435 287,956 240,945 145,074 85,590
2 – AAA Appling County 186,629 254,629 269,461 178,696 110,585
2 – AAA Brantley County 48,850 103,085 184,655 300,437 362,973
2 – AAA Tattnall County 34,753 82,941 154,507 280,530 447,269
2 – AAA Long County 249 1,385 6,487 27,130 964,749
3 – AAA Jenkins 816,251 165,609 15,160 2,427 553
3 – AAA Southeast Bulloch 169,074 609,055 131,477 63,923 26,471
3 – AAA Windsor Forest 5,808 88,789 330,817 253,921 320,665
3 – AAA Beach 4,858 65,939 222,803 268,883 437,517
3 – AAA Savannah 2,574 44,839 180,026 259,335 513,226
3 – AAA Islands 1,429 25,539 115,940 137,264 719,828
3 – AAA Johnson (Savannah) 4 156 2,238 8,020 989,582
3 – AAA Groves 2 74 1,539 6,227 992,158
4 – AAA Peach County 866,895 116,513 14,231 2,214 147
4 – AAA Westside (Macon) 85,035 468,387 299,961 114,036 32,581
4 – AAA Jackson 38,977 299,853 382,138 204,461 74,571
4 – AAA Pike County 8,172 95,527 225,262 403,764 267,275
4 – AAA Central (Macon) 883 18,020 65,022 205,474 710,601
4 – AAA Kendrick 27 1,089 7,936 40,754 950,194
4 – AAA Rutland 11 611 5,450 29,297 964,631
5 – AAA Cedar Grove 902,751 88,014 6,685 2,494 56
5 – AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 64,775 341,768 344,943 239,820 8,694
5 – AAA Pace Academy 27,937 178,224 285,751 429,652 78,436
5 – AAA Lovett 4,480 390,461 351,933 224,101 29,025
5 – AAA Redan 35 1,055 7,066 73,705 918,139
5 – AAA Towers 22 478 3,601 29,687 966,212
5 – AAA McNair 21 494 999,485
5 – AAA Stone Mountain 47 999,953
6 – AAA Calhoun 872,344 68,036 48,907 7,293 3,420
6 – AAA Bremen 79,413 291,566 355,442 187,072 86,507
6 – AAA Ringgold 20,025 373,680 58,605 14,601 533,089
6 – AAA Sonoraville 18,566 122,645 242,854 359,821 256,114
6 – AAA Adairsville 8,861 86,522 205,402 354,915 344,300
6 – AAA North Murray 714 49,507 60,677 47,953 841,149
6 – AAA Murray County 66 7,015 24,367 20,076 948,476
6 – AAA Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe 11 966 3,475 4,366 991,182
6 – AAA Haralson County 63 222 3,808 995,907
6 – AAA Coahulla Creek 49 95 999,856
7 – AAA Greater Atlanta Christian 969,518 29,382 954 144 2
7 – AAA Dawson County 18,405 493,168 286,747 140,164 61,516
7 – AAA Union County 7,809 265,286 318,436 250,790 157,679
7 – AAA East Hall 3,736 165,516 268,410 317,170 245,168
7 – AAA North Hall 517 42,818 105,617 223,692 627,356
7 – AAA Fannin County 14 3,006 14,933 48,158 933,889
7 – AAA Lumpkin County 1 824 4,903 19,882 974,390
8 – AAA Monroe Area 477,698 349,774 118,490 39,886 14,152
8 – AAA Morgan County 426,024 368,196 138,012 49,195 18,573
8 – AAA Jackson County 42,965 115,093 281,198 287,755 272,989
8 – AAA Franklin County 27,278 83,929 229,955 297,784 361,054
8 – AAA Hart County 25,963 82,257 225,707 301,247 364,826
8 – AAA East Jackson 72 751 6,638 24,133 968,406

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.

Teams in Semifinals Teams in Finals
Region Eliminated 1+ 2+ 3+ 4 Eliminated 1+ 2 Champion Odds
2 – AA 165,050 834,950 66,101 1,604 12 254,970 745,030 9,453 668,995 0.49
1 – AA 265,017 734,983 285,554 41,845 177 590,434 409,566 21,879 105,655 8.46
5 – AA 300,369 699,631 201,267 6,659 6 728,480 271,520 12,737 95,487 9.47
8 – AA 508,511 491,489 4,262 5 702,424 297,576 40 60,231 15.60
6 – AA 814,972 185,028 6,023 38 894,161 105,839 100 55,461 17.03
3 – AA 770,054 229,946 11,614 91 929,584 70,416 120 8,665 114.41
4 – AA 873,243 126,757 1,777 1 953,911 46,089 121 5,007 198.72
7 – AA 930,881 69,119 1,057 3 990,492 9,508 6 499 2,003.01

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Avg Depth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Benedictine 2 – AA 4-0 79.34 1,000,000 5.17 946,582 834,043 740,730 668,029 0.50
Callaway 5 – AA 4-0 61.83 999,808 3.72 887,496 593,881 194,847 83,870 10.92
Rabun County 8 – AA 3-0 58.65 999,984 3.58 773,017 489,316 297,073 60,211 15.61
Thomasville 1 – AA 4-0 60.57 997,058 3.27 711,037 450,040 188,704 58,513 16.09
Hapeville Charter 6 – AA 3-1 61.42 999,904 3.16 866,535 177,562 104,797 55,435 17.04
Fitzgerald 1 – AA 1-3 56.13 990,903 2.78 564,792 308,669 124,613 24,428 39.94
Brooks County 1 – AA 3-0 55.86 990,209 2.76 560,099 302,713 118,021 22,712 43.03
Heard County 5 – AA 4-1 51.29 996,139 2.88 645,667 276,028 83,212 11,298 87.51
Dodge County 3 – AA 3-0 51.44 989,555 2.52 358,552 188,219 63,874 8,198 120.98
Jefferson County 4 – AA 4-0 49.48 999,924 2.11 214,175 76,326 29,014 3,280 303.88
Screven County 4 – AA 3-0 47.55 999,680 1.97 162,813 51,964 17,196 1,727 578.04
Swainsboro 2 – AA 3-1 45.42 936,691 1.36 119,738 38,386 9,299 715 1,397.60
Pepperell 7 – AA 2-2 40.82 983,376 2.07 218,807 47,176 7,531 423 2,363.07
Spencer 5 – AA 3-1 39.88 955,514 1.75 180,963 37,357 6,188 319 3,133.80
Southwest 3 – AA 2-1 41.94 905,894 1.65 113,915 31,291 4,288 308 3,245.75
Vidalia 2 – AA 1-2 41.26 892,545 1.15 68,191 17,222 2,708 148 6,755.76
Washington County 3 – AA 1-3 39.57 847,980 1.40 73,269 17,167 2,018 142 7,041.25
Bacon County 2 – AA 4-0 39.93 871,625 1.09 55,372 12,749 1,739 102 9,802.92
Rockmart 7 – AA 2-2 36.36 958,668 1.78 125,096 18,535 1,764 73 13,697.63
Elbert County 8 – AA 3-1 34.54 986,349 1.64 77,164 5,964 534 20 49,999.00
Dublin 3 – AA 2-2 34.79 674,956 0.95 27,295 4,262 319 17 58,822.53
B.E.S.T. Academy 6 – AA 2-3 33.00 928,756 1.26 56,272 6,020 590 14 71,427.57
Douglass 6 – AA 1-2 32.05 804,976 0.97 39,332 3,989 286 9 111,110.11
Washington 6 – AA 2-2 31.24 792,234 0.98 35,807 3,421 266 3 333,332.33
Coosa 7 – AA 3-1 29.33 913,787 1.41 45,102 3,286 157 3 333,332.33
Early County 1 – AA 2-2 31.02 483,248 0.51 3,792 421 43 2 499,999.00
Toombs County 2 – AA 3-0 27.92 222,831 0.24 2,328 254 7 1 999,999.00
Berrien 1 – AA 3-2 32.33 538,582 0.57 5,784 718 64
Chattooga 7 – AA 0-4 27.78 656,932 0.84 17,149 1,127 62
Northeast 3 – AA 3-0 29.05 358,344 0.44 5,630 592 32
Putnam County 8 – AA 3-1 21.51 830,449 1.02 9,589 347 8
Lamar County 5 – AA 0-4 23.37 459,114 0.51 5,776 166 7
Bleckley County 3 – AA 3-1 25.75 216,815 0.25 1,960 121 5
Jordan 5 – AA 1-3 22.72 416,919 0.46 4,859 123 3
Banks County 8 – AA 1-3 17.51 677,397 0.78 4,221 113 1
Laney 4 – AA 0-4 21.07 813,666 0.90 3,022 190
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate 6 – AA 1-2 20.22 236,698 0.25 1,738 68
Harlem 4 – AA 3-1 16.68 817,571 0.87 1,278 54
Dade County 7 – AA 2-2 16.88 344,771 0.38 1,638 30
Therrell 6 – AA 1-3 18.25 172,375 0.18 911 26
Model 7 – AA 0-4 19.10 135,995 0.15 918 23
Monticello 8 – AA 0-4 11.98 392,203 0.43 936 15
Temple 5 – AA 3-1 16.36 172,506 0.18 710 9
Jeff Davis 2 – AA 2-1 22.21 44,285 0.05 184 8
South Atlanta 6 – AA 2-3 16.29 65,057 0.07 235 5
Metter 2 – AA 2-2 20.41 29,503 0.03 99 3
Glenn Hills 4 – AA 2-2 9.70 133,249 0.14 55 1
Social Circle 8 – AA 1-3 3.87 111,183 0.12 61
Butler 4 – AA 1-3 4.70 112,197 0.11 20
Josey 4 – AA 1-2 4.84 119,979 0.12 14
East Laurens 3 – AA 0-4 8.56 6,456 0.01 3
Armuchee 7 – AA 1-3 0.63 6,352 0.01 1
Bryan County 2 – AA 0-2 8.32 2,520 0.00 1
Westside (Augusta) 4 – AA 0-3 -9.71 3,734 0.00
Oglethorpe County 8 – AA 0-3 -14.64 2,435 0.00
Gordon Central 7 – AA 0-4 -13.76 119 0.00

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 – AA Thomasville 477,286 312,693 184,285 22,794 2,942
1 – AA Brooks County 267,035 333,685 336,796 52,693 9,791
1 – AA Fitzgerald 251,065 332,427 355,431 51,980 9,097
1 – AA Berrien 2,808 12,507 69,135 454,132 461,418
1 – AA Early County 1,806 8,688 54,353 418,401 516,752
2 – AA Benedictine 981,802 17,030 1,038 130
2 – AA Vidalia 9,549 264,090 324,674 294,232 107,455
2 – AA Bacon County 6,929 237,524 308,262 318,910 128,375
2 – AA Swainsboro 1,517 460,627 298,523 176,024 63,309
2 – AA Toombs County 191 18,803 55,768 148,069 777,169
2 – AA Jeff Davis 9 1,296 7,382 35,598 955,715
2 – AA Metter 3 607 4,099 24,794 970,497
2 – AA Bryan County 23 254 2,243 997,480
3 – AA Dodge County 645,576 229,472 85,437 29,070 10,445
3 – AA Southwest 176,263 327,405 255,572 146,654 94,106
3 – AA Washington County 118,667 243,944 283,628 201,741 152,020
3 – AA Dublin 44,643 133,004 216,401 280,908 325,044
3 – AA Northeast 10,763 44,587 100,664 202,330 641,656
3 – AA Bleckley County 4,081 21,454 57,343 133,937 783,185
3 – AA East Laurens 7 134 955 5,360 993,544
4 – AA Jefferson County 550,443 437,951 10,988 542 76
4 – AA Screven County 446,966 511,385 38,067 3,262 320
4 – AA Harlem 1,806 22,177 380,188 413,400 182,429
4 – AA Laney 714 25,973 482,758 304,221 186,334
4 – AA Glenn Hills 44 1,480 28,127 103,598 866,751
4 – AA Josey 23 722 31,139 88,095 880,021
4 – AA Butler 4 306 28,283 83,604 887,803
4 – AA Westside (Augusta) 6 450 3,278 996,266
5 – AA Callaway 723,171 236,630 37,478 2,529 192
5 – AA Heard County 238,003 559,180 178,819 20,137 3,861
5 – AA Spencer 37,340 182,615 591,043 144,516 44,486
5 – AA Lamar County 817 10,773 87,140 360,384 540,886
5 – AA Jordan 592 8,724 78,297 329,306 583,081
5 – AA Temple 77 2,078 27,223 143,128 827,494
6 – AA Hapeville Charter 933,155 60,669 5,122 958 96
6 – AA B.E.S.T. Academy 37,386 531,982 244,537 114,851 71,244
6 – AA Washington 16,754 243,036 278,604 253,840 207,766
6 – AA Douglass 11,419 113,533 341,313 338,711 195,024
6 – AA KIPP Atlanta Collegiate 779 28,633 69,144 138,142 763,302
6 – AA Therrell 430 17,487 48,144 106,314 827,625
6 – AA South Atlanta 77 4,660 13,136 47,184 934,943
7 – AA Pepperell 517,076 286,178 131,694 48,428 16,624
7 – AA Rockmart 310,589 343,181 208,057 96,841 41,332
7 – AA Coosa 135,801 253,948 371,616 152,422 86,213
7 – AA Chattooga 27,939 77,431 167,176 384,386 343,068
7 – AA Dade County 6,339 27,990 83,949 226,493 655,229
7 – AA Model 2,255 11,219 36,785 85,736 864,005
7 – AA Armuchee 1 52 712 5,587 993,648
7 – AA Gordon Central 1 11 107 999,881
8 – AA Rabun County 924,336 72,398 2,932 318 16
8 – AA Elbert County 66,650 684,826 189,963 44,910 13,651
8 – AA Putnam County 5,874 139,343 404,229 281,003 169,551
8 – AA Banks County 2,592 76,002 257,874 340,929 322,603
8 – AA Monticello 516 24,242 117,579 249,866 607,797
8 – AA Social Circle 32 3,181 27,210 80,760 888,817
8 – AA Oglethorpe County 8 213 2,214 997,565

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Macon County 4 – A 2-1 56.14 996,771 847,365 699,472 518,588 369,775 1.70
Irwin County 2 – A 3-1 53.94 1,000,000 857,227 687,414 465,555 296,980 2.37
Clinch County 2 – A 2-2 48.22 999,995 771,829 477,948 265,935 119,239 7.39
Manchester 4 – A 4-0 47.52 999,726 617,656 391,973 208,091 88,916 10.25
Mount Zion (Carroll) 6 – A 4-0 41.33 999,763 584,323 275,805 112,136 31,647 30.60
Commerce 8 – A 3-0 40.09 999,998 641,791 289,239 105,248 27,345 35.57
Charlton County 2 – A 3-0 39.63 999,846 552,046 242,305 86,345 21,755 44.97
Emanuel County Institute 3 – A 3-1 37.63 998,271 474,413 178,847 59,152 12,882 76.63
Turner County 2 – A 3-1 37.75 999,721 428,602 165,038 51,620 11,486 86.06
McIntosh County Academy 3 – A 1-1 35.88 956,551 302,041 106,982 30,768 5,965 166.64
Washington-Wilkes 7 – A 1-2 34.92 938,873 285,615 95,279 24,550 4,365 228.10
Trion 6 – A 3-1 33.76 998,156 284,895 91,470 22,189 3,665 271.85
Marion County 4 – A 4-0 33.76 966,102 200,424 66,504 15,731 2,599 383.76
Pelham 1 – A 3-1 27.69 999,695 312,973 75,897 11,750 1,112 898.28
Taylor County 4 – A 3-0 31.63 697,379 111,622 30,979 6,332 911 1,096.69
Mitchell County 1 – A 3-1 24.91 999,739 256,474 50,794 6,291 463 2,158.83
Lincoln County 7 – A 1-2 29.00 590,324 84,378 19,305 3,280 361 2,769.08
Dooly County 4 – A 0-4 31.62 230,768 34,949 9,595 1,976 286 3,495.50
Telfair County 2 – A 1-3 26.01 773,851 65,216 12,713 1,724 133 7,517.80
Johnson County 3 – A 3-0 21.80 901,375 69,918 9,857 1,025 50 19,999.00
Bowdon 6 – A 1-3 24.50 320,731 21,948 3,641 413 28 35,713.29
Miller County 1 – A 2-1 18.26 985,036 80,324 8,917 698 26 38,460.54
Greene County 7 – A 2-2 22.31 199,112 12,537 1,757 182 6 166,665.67
Seminole County 1 – A 2-2 15.51 896,131 25,787 2,309 128 3 333,332.33
Jenkins County 3 – A 3-1 15.56 755,875 19,890 1,650 74 1 999,999.00
Montgomery County 3 – A 2-1 18.14 263,431 9,570 1,011 67 1 999,999.00
Chattahoochee County 1 – A 2-2 14.40 973,643 37,061 2,873 143
Wilkinson County 7 – A 1-3 16.83 53,752 1,553 133 6
Wilcox County 2 – A 1-2 9.92 64,357 565 41 2
Randolph-Clay 1 – A 2-1 2.94 668,507 2,267 67 1
Towns County 8 – A 2-2 7.86 343,924 2,314 91
Terrell County 1 – A 0-4 6.43 374,788 1,993 75
Schley County 4 – A 2-1 12.13 12,044 137 6
Atkinson County 2 – A 0-4 9.26 13,518 123 4
Gordon Lee 6 – A 1-3 8.50 8,097 65 4
Treutlen 3 – A 1-3 7.33 3,677 39 2
Hancock Central 7 – A 0-3 9.65 2,472 27 2
Lanier County 2 – A 1-2 4.00 5,035 22 1
Twiggs County 7 – A 0-4 9.48 1,266 15
Calhoun County 1 – A 0-3 -7.26 7,092 3
Warren County 7 – A 0-4 4.67 179 1
Claxton 3 – A 0-4 1.42 39 1
Wheeler County 3 – A 3-2 8.58 10 1
Baconton Charter 1 – A 1-3 -14.09 182
Portal 3 – A 0-3 2.08 138
Central (Talbotton) 4 – A 1-3 -0.51 39
Stewart County 1 – A 1-3 -17.01 14
Greenville 4 – A 0-3 -2.37 5
Crawford County 4 – A 2-1 1.75 1
Hawkinsville 4 – A 0-4 4.30 1

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team Reg Chmp Seed 1 – 8 Seed 9 – 24 Out
1 – A Pelham 467,633 653,297 346,398 305
1 – A Mitchell County 463,532 640,871 358,868 261
1 – A Miller County 29,769 225,401 759,635 14,964
1 – A Seminole County 23,562 25,895 870,236 103,869
1 – A Chattahoochee County 14,498 84,176 889,467 26,357
1 – A Randolph-Clay 1,005 5,963 662,544 331,493
1 – A Calhoun County 1 1 7,091 992,908
1 – A Terrell County 2 374,786 625,212
1 – A Baconton Charter 182 999,818
1 – A Stewart County 14 999,986
2 – A Irwin County 829,818 969,237 30,763
2 – A Charlton County 72,066 615,915 383,931 154
2 – A Turner County 54,032 331,400 668,321 279
2 – A Clinch County 43,356 819,481 180,514 5
2 – A Telfair County 724 1,500 772,351 226,149
2 – A Wilcox County 4 8 64,349 935,643
2 – A Atkinson County 13,518 986,482
2 – A Lanier County 5,035 994,965
3 – A Emanuel County Institute 330,348 481,761 516,510 1,729
3 – A McIntosh County Academy 138,898 156,393 800,158 43,449
3 – A Johnson County 14,841 51,973 849,402 98,625
3 – A Montgomery County 7,110 7,122 256,309 736,569
3 – A Jenkins County 3,232 8,584 747,291 244,125
3 – A Treutlen 141 141 3,536 996,323
3 – A Wheeler County 10 10 999,990
3 – A Claxton 4 4 35 999,961
3 – A Portal 2 2 136 999,862
4 – A Macon County 713,080 716,670 280,101 3,229
4 – A Manchester 249,020 275,195 724,531 274
4 – A Marion County 18,071 18,410 947,692 33,898
4 – A Taylor County 12,624 12,626 684,753 302,621
4 – A Dooly County 3,076 3,076 227,692 769,232
4 – A Schley County 63 63 11,981 987,956
4 – A Crawford County 1 1 999,999
4 – A Hawkinsville 1 1 999,999
4 – A Greenville 5 999,995
4 – A Central (Talbotton) 39 999,961
6 – A Mount Zion (Carroll) 207,694 563,086 436,677 237
6 – A Trion 54,602 147,463 850,693 1,844
6 – A Bowdon 1,447 1,447 319,284 679,269
6 – A Gordon Lee 3 3 8,094 991,903
7 – A Washington-Wilkes 163,569 192,594 746,279 61,127
7 – A Lincoln County 46,154 47,022 543,302 409,676
7 – A Greene County 8,123 8,123 190,989 800,888
7 – A Wilkinson County 576 576 53,176 946,248
7 – A Hancock Central 123 123 2,349 997,528
7 – A Twiggs County 34 34 1,232 998,734
7 – A Warren County 11 11 168 999,821
8 – A Commerce 169,535 934,254 65,744 2
8 – A Towns County 1 85 343,839 656,076

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Eagle’s Landing Christian 5 – A 5-0 69.13 1,000,000 979,420 935,459 864,875 787,800 0.27
Prince Avenue Christian 8 – A 4-0 49.90 1,000,000 867,345 620,922 343,368 77,015 11.98
Wesleyan 5 – A 4-1 47.61 1,000,000 828,025 515,444 192,152 44,578 21.43
Mount Paran Christian 6 – A 3-1 44.72 999,983 726,288 352,542 133,224 23,516 41.52
Calvary Day 3 – A 3-0 44.33 999,977 735,523 342,915 137,118 22,062 44.33
Athens Academy 8 – A 3-0 41.87 1,000,000 740,633 343,418 106,803 14,677 67.13
Stratford Academy 7 – A 3-0 42.83 999,541 611,115 259,768 85,015 13,642 72.30
Tattnall Square 7 – A 3-0 41.77 996,818 517,827 224,039 62,638 9,525 103.99
Darlington 6 – A 2-2 38.14 992,897 300,043 110,566 24,973 2,998 332.56
Mount Pisgah Christian 6 – A 3-1 36.99 999,760 410,610 105,743 25,376 2,688 371.02
Fellowship Christian 6 – A 3-1 33.37 993,721 204,273 46,793 8,283 688 1,452.49
Aquinas 7 – A 1-2 30.25 836,333 109,899 23,371 3,097 209 4,783.69
Athens Christian 8 – A 1-2 28.38 997,984 209,811 26,612 3,647 200 4,999.00
First Presbyterian 7 – A 3-1 28.74 916,888 82,793 16,753 2,021 103 9,707.74
Mount Vernon Presbyterian 5 – A 4-0 25.68 999,621 192,494 19,327 2,281 97 10,308.28
George Walton Academy 8 – A 3-0 23.47 998,788 119,824 11,166 1,011 46 21,738.13
Savannah Christian 3 – A 1-2 26.62 756,041 54,992 9,025 893 41 24,389.24
Brookstone 4 – A 3-1 27.29 643,373 56,597 7,378 818 38 26,314.79
Holy Innocents 5 – A 1-3 25.16 916,716 50,783 7,747 743 31 32,257.06
Mount de Sales 7 – A 3-1 25.79 911,822 57,528 9,137 902 28 35,713.29
Hebron Christian Academy 8 – A 2-1 21.38 988,378 65,236 5,548 420 8 124,999.00
Walker 6 – A 1-3 19.95 673,923 18,464 1,604 96 5 199,999.00
Savannah Country Day 3 – A 2-1 20.61 796,457 24,570 2,394 139 2 499,999.00
Our Lady of Mercy 5 – A 1-3 17.99 880,803 17,743 1,389 61 2 499,999.00
Landmark Christian 5 – A 0-4 18.79 335,189 8,125 558 30 1 999,999.00
Pinecrest Academy 6 – A 0-3 15.08 183,969 2,970 112 9
Lakeview Academy 8 – A 1-2 11.08 806,432 5,665 237 6
Whitefield Academy 6 – A 2-2 7.42 214,174 912 25 1
St. Francis 6 – A 1-2 7.11 61,610 258 4
Strong Rock Christian 5 – A 2-2 4.50 82,736 222 4
Providence Christian 8 – A 1-2 -6.37 12,753 6
North Cobb Christian 6 – A 1-3 -0.06 2,435 4
Christian Heritage 6 – A 0-3 -0.62 854 2
Riverside Military Academy 8 – A 0-4 -3.81 23
King’s Ridge Christian 6 – A 1-3 -2.34 1
Pacelli 4 – A 0-4 -13.03

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team Reg Chmp Seed 1 – 8 Seed 9 – 24 Out
3 – A Calvary Day 482,180 789,275 210,702 23
3 – A Savannah Christian 19,079 19,732 736,309 243,959
3 – A Savannah Country Day 4,155 5,988 790,469 203,543
4 – A Brookstone 4,064 4,064 639,309 356,627
4 – A Pacelli 1,000,000
5 – A Eagle’s Landing Christian 906,836 1,000,000
5 – A Wesleyan 91,443 989,928 10,072
5 – A Mount Vernon Presbyterian 1,438 342,445 657,176 379
5 – A Landmark Christian 181 187 335,002 664,811
5 – A Holy Innocents 57 7,381 909,335 83,284
5 – A Our Lady of Mercy 45 3,090 877,713 119,197
5 – A Strong Rock Christian 1 82,735 917,264
6 – A Mount Paran Christian 496,069 717,560 282,423 17
6 – A Darlington 123,850 137,552 855,345 7,103
6 – A Mount Pisgah Christian 108,253 306,952 692,808 240
6 – A Fellowship Christian 7,524 54,415 939,306 6,279
6 – A Walker 523 538 673,385 326,077
6 – A Pinecrest Academy 28 32 183,937 816,031
6 – A St. Francis 6 6 61,604 938,390
6 – A Whitefield Academy 1 4 214,170 785,826
6 – A Christian Heritage 854 999,146
6 – A King’s Ridge Christian 1 999,999
6 – A North Cobb Christian 2,435 997,565
7 – A Stratford Academy 364,192 528,033 471,508 459
7 – A Tattnall Square 324,221 396,217 600,601 3,182
7 – A Aquinas 58,852 60,736 775,597 163,667
7 – A First Presbyterian 22,868 28,000 888,888 83,112
7 – A Mount de Sales 11,277 16,569 895,253 88,178
8 – A Prince Avenue Christian 597,187 997,968 2,032
8 – A Athens Academy 229,988 977,555 22,445
8 – A George Walton Academy 2,844 225,821 772,967 1,212
8 – A Hebron Christian Academy 394 102,363 886,015 11,622
8 – A Athens Christian 51 283,469 714,515 2,016
8 – A Lakeview Academy 4,119 802,313 193,568
8 – A Riverside Military Academy 23 999,977
8 – A Providence Christian 12,753 987,247
1 – A Pataula Charter 1,000,000
7 – A Georgia Military College 1,000,000
7 – A Glascock County 1,000,000

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