Maxwell Week 5 Projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

 

Sep 15

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
74.85 AAAAAAA Archer 81.2% 15 Norcross AAAAAAA
72.66 AAAAAAA Tift County 56.9% 3 Parkview AAAAAAA
72.22 AAAAAAA Colquitt County 90.8% 23 Brookwood AAAAAAA
70.57 AAAAAAA Lowndes 83.7% 16 Newton AAAAAAA
67.90 AAAAAAA McEachern 86.2% 18 Westlake AAAAAAA
66.48 AAAA Woodward Academy 59.2% 4 Marist AAAA
65.34 AAAA Sandy Creek 70.2% 9 Starr’s Mill AAAAA
65.21 AAAAAAA Lassiter 59.7% 4 Marietta AAAAAAA
63.90 AAAAAAA Milton 57.4% 3 Etowah AAAAAAA
62.27 AAAAAAA West Forsyth 51.0% 1 Dacula AAAAAA
62.26 AAAAAAA North Paulding 65.3% 7 Woodstock AAAAAAA
61.60 AAAA Mary Persons 54.6% 2 Peach County AAA
59.16 AAAAAA Stephenson 66.2% 7 Lovejoy AAAAAA
57.19 AAAAAAA North Cobb 88.3% 20 East Coweta AAAAAAA
57.17 AAAAA Carrollton 79.9% 14 East Paulding AAAAA
56.08 AAA Cedar Grove 85.8% 18 Lovett AAA
54.43 AAAAAA Creekview 60.5% 5 Sequoyah AAAAAA
53.94 AAA Greater Atlanta Christian 88.7% 21 St. Pius X AAAA
53.72 AAAAAA Tucker 92.9% 25 Jonesboro AAAAAA
53.21 AAAAAAA Walton 92.3% 25 Wheeler AAAAAAA
52.41 AAAAAAA Lambert 60.8% 5 Lanier AAAAAA
52.25 AA Callaway 70.8% 9 Upson-Lee AAAA
52.07 AAAAA Warner Robins 83.7% 16 Houston County AAAAAA
51.45 AAAAA Dutchtown 66.6% 7 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAAA
50.93 A-Public Irwin County 50.5% 1 Clinch County A-Public
50.92 AAAA Jefferson 82.0% 15 Flowery Branch AAAAA
47.38 AAAAAAA Mountain View 86.5% 19 Shiloh AAAAAAA
45.20 AA Benedictine 97.2% 34 Swainsboro AA
44.81 AAAAA Kell 90.0% 22 Paulding County AAAAA
44.60 AAAAAA Centennial 59.3% 4 Johns Creek AAAAAA
44.59 AAAAA Banneker 52.2% 1 Riverwood AAAAA
43.84 AAAAAAA Hillgrove 91.7% 24 Campbell AAAAAAA
43.81 AAAAA Jones County 91.1% 23 Woodland (Stockbridge) AAAAA
43.53 AAAAAA Northgate 80.9% 15 Creekside AAAAAA
43.35 AAAAAAA North Forsyth 66.7% 7 Pickens AAAA
41.83 AAA Dawson County 59.7% 4 West Hall AAAA
41.58 AAAA Northside (Columbus) 55.9% 3 Carver (Columbus) AAAA
41.21 AAAA Cairo 80.7% 14 Hardaway AAAA
40.32 AAAAA Stockbridge 97.4% 34 Ola AAAAA
40.24 AAAAAA Harrison 94.7% 28 River Ridge AAAAAA
40.24 AAAA Chapel Hill 65.2% 7 Whitewater AAAAA
39.83 AAAAAA Allatoona 94.6% 28 South Cobb AAAAAA
39.69 AAAAAA North Atlanta 52.7% 1 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
39.68 AAAAA Griffin 93.0% 26 Baldwin AAAA
39.50 AAAAAA Winder-Barrow 79.3% 14 Loganville AAAAA
39.30 AAAA Americus-Sumter 58.2% 4 Westover AAAA
37.40 AA Brooks County 88.7% 21 Pierce County AAA
36.93 AA Heard County 80.7% 14 Central (Carrollton) AAAA
36.84 AAAAAA Dalton 92.7% 25 Sprayberry AAAAAA
36.57 AAAAA Harris County 60.3% 4 Perry AAAA
36.52 AAAAAA Evans 68.2% 8 Washington County AA
36.37 AAAAAA Alpharetta 90.1% 22 Northview AAAAAA
35.94 AAAAA Villa Rica 77.8% 13 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
35.85 AAA Westside (Macon) 68.9% 8 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
35.26 AAAAA Wayne County 91.9% 24 Appling County AAA
35.06 AAAAAA Cambridge 69.9% 9 Pope AAAAAA
34.93 AA Dodge County 83.1% 16 Dooly County A-Public
34.15 AAAAAA Douglas County 94.0% 27 South Paulding AAAAAA
33.66 AAAA West Laurens 83.7% 16 South Effingham AAAAA
33.12 AAA Adairsville 73.7% 10 Ringgold AAA
32.36 AAAAAA Richmond Hill 82.6% 16 Grovetown AAAAAA
32.01 AAAAA Veterans 79.9% 14 Howard AAAA
31.97 AAAAAAA Newnan 86.5% 19 Washington AA
31.97 AAAAA Hiram 76.2% 12 Cass AAAAA
31.56 AAAAA Bainbridge 96.6% 32 Early County AA
31.53 AAAAAAA Meadowcreek 56.0% 3 Lithonia AAAAA
31.32 AAAAA Clarke Central 89.7% 22 North Oconee AAAA
31.01 AAAAA Fayette County 64.1% 6 Pike County AAA
30.99 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 92.9% 25 Redan AAA
30.39 AAAAA Locust Grove 86.2% 18 Union Grove AAAAA
30.11 A-Public Turner County 70.4% 9 Telfair County A-Public
29.00 A-Public Trion 53.0% 2 Bowdon A-Public
28.16 AA Lamar County 51.2% 1 Marion County A-Public
27.90 AA Thomasville 96.2% 31 Worth County AAA
27.57 AA Jefferson County 90.7% 23 Laney AA
27.49 AAA Jackson County 57.9% 3 East Hall AAA
27.46 AAAA White County 75.5% 11 North Hall AAA
27.39 AAAAA Eagle’s Landing 94.3% 28 Hampton AAAAA
27.06 AA Elbert County 65.8% 7 Franklin County AAA
26.70 AA Chattooga 73.6% 10 Coosa AA
25.80 A-Private Eagle’s Landing Christian 98.6% 38 Holy Innocents A-Private
25.63 AAAAA North Springs 71.8% 10 Decatur AAAAA
25.28 AA Bacon County 81.6% 15 Jeff Davis AA
25.23 AAAAAA Lee County 99.4% 40 Luella AAAA
24.22 AAA Morgan County 83.2% 16 Putnam County AA
24.18 AAAAAA Hughes 98.5% 38 Tri-Cities AAAAAA
24.04 AAA Monroe Area 82.4% 16 Madison County AAAA
23.69 AAAAAA Greenbrier 65.8% 7 Richmond Academy AAAA
23.62 AAAAAAA Lakeside (Atlanta) 60.0% 4 Miller Grove AAAAA
23.12 AA Vidalia 86.2% 18 Metter AA
23.02 A-Public Manchester 92.7% 25 Jordan AA
21.53 AAAA Blessed Trinity 98.6% 38 Hart County AAA
21.53 AAA Union County 79.9% 14 Banks County AA
21.42 AAAAA Walnut Grove 58.6% 4 Apalachee AAAAAA
20.33 A-Private Wesleyan 94.7% 28 Our Lady of Mercy A-Private
19.39 A-Private Mount Vernon Presbyterian 59.3% 4 Temple AA
18.17 AAAAAAA Forsyth Central 80.7% 14 Duluth AAAAAAA
17.99 A-Private Calvary Day 93.9% 27 Montgomery County A-Public
17.51 A-Public Greene County 61.8% 5 Twiggs County A-Public
17.13 A-Public Mitchell County 68.4% 8 Chattahoochee County A-Public
16.57 A-Private Pinecrest Academy 76.6% 12 Walker A-Private
15.35 AAAA Salem 89.2% 21 Chamblee AAAAA
15.30 AAAAA Riverdale 82.1% 15 Henry County AAAA
14.07 AAAA Chestatee 79.6% 14 Lumpkin County AAA
13.57 AA Model 84.7% 17 Dade County AA
13.56 A-Private Aquinas 94.3% 28 Mount de Sales A-Private
13.11 A-Public Wilkinson County 53.3% 2 Hancock Central A-Public
12.80 AAA Bremen 96.2% 31 Murray County AAA
12.57 AA Glenn Hills 53.4% 2 Harlem AA
12.16 AAA Towers 73.6% 10 McNair AAA
11.14 A-Public Seminole County 56.8% 3 Terrell County A-Public
10.70 AAA Jackson 96.3% 32 Monticello AA
9.56 AAAAAAA Kennesaw Mountain 97.5% 35 Osborne AAAAAA
8.83 AA South Atlanta 67.0% 7 Forest Park AAAAAA
8.31 A-Private Savannah Christian 88.2% 20 Treutlen A-Public
7.36 A-Public Schley County 50.9% 1 Hawkinsville A-Public
7.24 A-Private Darlington 96.1% 31 Gordon Lee A-Public
6.87 A-Private Fellowship Christian 94.9% 29 St. Francis A-Private
6.44 AAA North Murray 81.5% 15 Haralson County AAA
4.69 AA Screven County 98.7% 38 Butler AA
2.62 A-Public Jenkins County 83.6% 16 Portal A-Public
1.82 AAAA Southeast Whitfield 89.3% 21 Christian Heritage A-Private
1.72 AAA Sonoraville 97.8% 35 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
0.94 AA Rockmart 97.5% 34 Armuchee AA
0.93 A-Public Towns County 64.9% 6 Riverside Military Academy A-Private
-0.88 A-Public Mount Zion (Carroll) 98.3% 37 North Cobb Christian A-Private
-1.17 AAA Pace Academy 99.3% 40 Stone Mountain AAA
-1.93 A-Private Mount Paran Christian 99.1% 40 King’s Ridge Christian A-Private
-7.28 AAAAAAA Pebblebrook 99.1% 39 Berkmar AAAAAAA
-7.51 A-Public Pelham 97.4% 34 Calhoun County A-Public
-9.47 A-Public Crawford County 91.2% 23 Central (Talbotton) A-Public
-10.69 A-Other Georgia Military College 77.6% 13 Oglethorpe County AA
-11.28 A-Private Tattnall Square 99.5% 41 Pacelli A-Private
-13.59 A-Public Miller County 96.2% 31 Baconton Charter A-Public
-13.74 A-Public Randolph-Clay 84.8% 17 Stewart County A-Public
-15.27 AA Pepperell 99.7% 41 Gordon Central AA
-17.17 AAA Calhoun 100.0% 42 Coahulla Creek AAA
-18.45 AAAA Druid Hills 95.0% 29 Clarkston AAAAA
-27.68 A-Public Wheeler County 97.2% 34 Glascock County A-Other

 

Sep 16

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
54.45 AAAAAAA Camden County 79.6% 14 Brunswick AAAAAA
46.44 AAAAAA Mays 94.9% 29 New Manchester AAAAAA
37.47 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 83.7% 16 Maynard Jackson AAAAA
32.08 AAAA Stephens County 75.5% 11 Habersham Central AAAAAA
30.86 AAAAAA Mundy’s Mill 51.8% 1 M.L. King AAAAAA
29.92 AAA Cook 72.4% 10 Berrien AA
29.02 AAAAAA Effingham County 94.2% 28 Statesboro AAAAA
28.35 AAAAAA Bradwell Institute 77.7% 13 Tattnall County AAA
25.17 AA Spencer 83.6% 16 Dougherty AAA
23.62 AAAAAA Drew 92.5% 25 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAAAA
18.81 AAAAA Grady 91.9% 24 Lithia Springs AAAAA
4.53 A-Private First Presbyterian 92.4% 25 Warren County A-Public
2.72 AAAAAA Glynn Academy 99.9% 41 East Jackson AAA
0.23 A-Public Emanuel County Institute 98.0% 36 Claxton A-Public

View Comments 0