Maxwell Week 4 Projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Sep 7

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
44.26 AAAAA Thomas County Central 60.8% 5 Monroe AAA
40.88 AAA Jenkins 60.9% 5 Liberty County AAA
29.53 AAAA Troup 89.1% 21 Lamar County AA
19.25 AA Washington 82.1% 15 Lithia Springs AAAAA

 

Sep 8

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
82.43 AAAAAAA Mill Creek 76.4% 12 Archer AAAAAAA
80.56 AAAAAAA Colquitt County 83.0% 16 Roswell AAAAAAA
73.40 AAAAAAA Norcross 69.7% 9 North Gwinnett AAAAAAA
71.57 AAAAAA Mays 55.0% 2 Hughes AAAAAA
70.81 AAAA Cartersville 87.3% 19 Westlake AAAAAAA
69.53 AAAAAAA Tift County 61.7% 5 Valdosta AAAAAA
68.40 AAAAA Rome 73.7% 10 Kell AAAAA
67.05 AAAAAA Glynn Academy 54.3% 2 Camden County AAAAAAA
66.03 AAAAAAA Collins Hill 51.4% 1 Central Gwinnett AAAAAAA
63.49 AAAAAAA South Forsyth 78.2% 13 South Gwinnett AAAAAAA
62.79 AAAAAAA West Forsyth 60.6% 5 Hillgrove AAAAAAA
62.00 AAAAAAA Newton 61.4% 5 Peachtree Ridge AAAAAAA
60.90 AAAA Blessed Trinity 66.4% 7 Creekview AAAAAA
57.98 AAAAA Bainbridge 57.2% 3 Cairo AAAA
55.65 AAAAAA Stephenson 73.0% 10 Southwest DeKalb AAAAA
55.30 AAAAA Stockbridge 92.6% 25 Dutchtown AAAAA
55.10 AAAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 78.2% 13 Lanier AAAAAA
54.44 AAAA Marist 78.2% 13 St. Pius X AAAA
54.29 AAAAA Wayne County 72.7% 10 Brunswick AAAAAA
54.23 AA Hapeville Charter 67.7% 8 Wesleyan A-Private
54.07 AAAAAA Northgate 75.3% 11 Douglas County AAAAAA
53.22 AAAAA Griffin 73.9% 11 Upson-Lee AAAA
52.21 AAAAA Jones County 79.6% 14 Locust Grove AAAAA
52.15 AAAAAAA Woodstock 76.1% 12 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAAA
51.70 AAAAAA Dacula 79.6% 14 Arabia Mountain AAAAA
51.44 AAAAAAA Etowah 79.5% 14 Newnan AAAAAAA
50.72 AAAAAA Alpharetta 64.7% 6 Centennial AAAAAA
50.43 AAAAA Villa Rica 53.5% 2 East Paulding AAAAA
50.09 AAAAAAA McEachern 97.3% 34 Jonesboro AAAAAA
49.19 AAAA Thomson 90.1% 22 Pace Academy AAA
48.87 AAAAAAA Lambert 64.5% 6 Cherokee AAAAAAA
48.12 AA Fitzgerald 84.1% 17 Macon County A-Public
46.67 AAAAAA Houston County 52.9% 2 Veterans AAAAA
46.39 AAAAAAA Lowndes 98.1% 36 Shiloh AAAAAAA
44.79 AAAAAA Lovejoy 90.1% 22 Spalding AAAA
44.42 AAAAA Starr’s Mill 90.4% 22 Chapel Hill AAAA
44.41 AA Pepperell 61.8% 5 Cedartown AAAA
43.78 AAAA West Laurens 60.9% 5 Vidalia AA
43.71 AAAA Woodward Academy 94.4% 28 Riverwood AAAAA
42.92 AAAAAA Dalton 88.7% 21 Sonoraville AAA
42.90 AAAA Stephens County 53.8% 2 Flowery Branch AAAAA
41.63 AAAA Oconee County 52.8% 1 Morgan County AAA
41.48 A-Private Calvary Day 61.8% 5 Aquinas A-Private
41.46 AAAAAA Creekside 70.0% 9 New Manchester AAAAAA
41.30 AA Heard County 62.4% 5 Darlington A-Private
41.22 AAAAAA Lee County 97.0% 33 Americus-Sumter AAAA
40.59 AAAAA Ware County 91.2% 23 Grady AAAAA
40.55 AAAAA Hiram 63.3% 6 Paulding County AAAAA
40.21 AA Rabun County 88.0% 20 White County AAAA
39.60 AAAA Eastside 67.1% 7 Loganville AAAAA
39.02 AA Swainsboro 64.3% 6 Dublin AA
38.86 AAAAAA Cambridge 72.9% 10 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
38.68 AAAAA Whitewater 66.1% 7 Banneker AAAAA
38.27 AAAAAAA Marietta 94.6% 28 Pebblebrook AAAAAAA
37.89 AAAAAA Johns Creek 61.0% 5 Pope AAAAAA
37.79 AAAAAA Alexander 91.7% 24 South Paulding AAAAAA
37.41 AAAAAAA East Coweta 90.1% 22 LaGrange AAAA
36.94 AAAAAA Richmond Hill 77.2% 12 Pierce County AAA
36.49 AA Jefferson County 79.5% 14 Washington-Wilkes A-Public
35.68 AAAA Ridgeland 92.3% 25 Chattooga AA
35.63 AAAAAA Sprayberry 73.6% 10 Campbell AAAAAAA
35.41 AA Washington County 62.6% 5 Baldwin AAAA
35.39 AAA Peach County 93.7% 27 Perry AAAA
35.27 AA Dodge County 84.5% 17 Appling County AAA
35.21 AAA Cedar Grove 97.7% 35 Columbia AAAAA
34.94 AAA Bremen 73.1% 10 Trion A-Public
34.42 AA Douglass 59.0% 4 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
34.32 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 79.7% 14 Model AA
33.83 A-Private Athens Academy 57.8% 3 Athens Christian A-Private
33.81 AAAA Burke County 90.5% 22 Lakeside (Evans) AAAAAA
33.48 AAAAA Cedar Shoals 63.7% 6 North Oconee AAAA
33.43 AAAAAA Effingham County 90.8% 23 South Effingham AAAAA
32.91 AA Callaway 94.1% 27 Columbus AAAA
32.08 AAAAAA Mundy’s Mill 76.3% 12 Fayette County AAAAA
31.97 AA Screven County 84.7% 17 Statesboro AAAAA
31.91 AAAAAA North Atlanta 63.9% 6 Dunwoody AAAAAA
31.74 AAAAAA Heritage (Conyers) 85.4% 18 Rockdale County AAAAAAA
31.19 AAAA West Hall 77.0% 12 Jackson County AAA
30.97 AAAAA McIntosh 67.2% 7 Luella AAAA
30.35 AAAAA Eagle’s Landing 91.8% 24 Union Grove AAAAA
30.04 AAAAA Harris County 73.7% 11 Shaw AAAA
29.93 AAAAA Maynard Jackson 60.0% 4 North Clayton AAAA
29.89 AA Benedictine 99.4% 40 Southeast Bulloch AAA
29.72 AA Bacon County 74.5% 11 Berrien AA
28.64 AAA Worth County 68.5% 8 Early County AA
28.48 AAAAA Cass 73.4% 10 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
28.44 AAAAAAA Forsyth Central 59.1% 4 Meadowcreek AAAAAAA
28.07 A-Public Telfair County 52.3% 1 Toombs County AA
27.80 A-Public Charlton County 80.8% 15 Savannah Christian A-Private
27.78 A-Public Mount Zion (Carroll) 81.3% 15 Coosa AA
27.44 AAA Monroe Area 72.2% 10 Walnut Grove AAAAA
27.19 AAAA Salem 68.4% 8 Miller Grove AAAAA
26.22 AA Southwest 80.7% 14 Central (Macon) AAA
25.71 AAAA Westover 79.4% 14 Dougherty AAA
24.16 AAAA Heritage (Ringgold) 78.5% 13 North Murray AAA
23.94 A-Private Landmark Christian 56.0% 3 Brookstone A-Private
23.85 AAAA Sandy Creek 99.2% 40 Morrow AAAAA
23.62 AAA Brantley County 60.9% 5 Jeff Davis AA
23.56 A-Private Fellowship Christian 76.3% 12 Our Lady of Mercy A-Private
23.15 AAAAAA Habersham Central 76.9% 12 Franklin County AAA
21.97 AAAA Pickens 90.1% 22 North Hall AAA
21.81 AAAA Northside (Columbus) 90.4% 22 Jordan AA
21.40 AA Northeast 75.7% 12 Twiggs County A-Public
20.99 A-Public Miller County 56.6% 3 Mitchell County A-Public
20.25 A-Private Eagle’s Landing Christian 99.1% 40 Hart County AAA
18.64 AAA Tattnall County 71.6% 9 Beach AAA
18.49 AAAAAAA Discovery 79.0% 13 Apalachee AAAAAA
17.99 AAAAAA Alcovy 50.4% 1 Henry County AAAA
17.56 AA Spencer 90.7% 23 Kendrick AAA
17.19 AA Bleckley County 69.8% 9 Wilcox County A-Public
17.10 AAAA Madison County 53.8% 2 Lumpkin County AAA
16.99 AAAAA Woodland (Stockbridge) 97.7% 35 Hampton AAAAA
16.69 AAAA Chestatee 67.1% 7 Fannin County AAA
16.39 A-Public Johnson County 65.1% 6 Wilkinson County A-Public
15.98 AAAA Howard 81.2% 15 Rutland AAA
15.77 AAAAAAA Lakeside (Atlanta) 74.6% 11 Druid Hills AAAA
15.12 A-Private Mount Pisgah Christian 90.5% 22 Walker A-Private
15.02 AAAAAA Greenbrier 82.9% 16 Harlem AA
14.23 AA KIPP Atlanta Collegiate 64.1% 6 Osborne AAAAAA
14.12 A-Public Greene County 70.1% 9 Monticello AA
13.41 AAAAAA Evans 95.2% 29 Glenn Hills AA
12.90 AA Therrell 64.0% 6 McNair AAA
11.33 A-Private First Presbyterian 83.8% 17 Hawkinsville A-Public
10.83 AAAA Richmond Academy 69.9% 9 Josey AA
10.53 A-Public Seminole County 71.2% 9 Chattahoochee County A-Public
10.48 A-Private Stratford Academy 96.8% 33 Atkinson County A-Public
10.16 A-Public Commerce 95.8% 31 Lakeview Academy A-Private
10.16 A-Public Montgomery County 65.5% 7 Wheeler County A-Public
8.86 AAA Windsor Forest 72.9% 10 Long County AAA
8.71 A-Public McIntosh County Academy 95.0% 29 Bryan County AA
6.13 AAA Murray County 62.8% 5 Christian Heritage A-Private
5.96 A-Private Mount de Sales 65.9% 7 Social Circle AA
5.84 A-Private Tattnall Square 98.2% 37 East Laurens AA
5.42 AAA Pike County 91.8% 24 Strong Rock Christian A-Private
4.93 A-Private Prince Avenue Christian 99.3% 40 Towns County A-Public
4.45 AAAA Mary Persons 99.7% 41 Forest Park AAAAAA
3.82 AAAAAA Bradwell Institute 97.5% 35 Warren County A-Public
2.53 A-Public Jenkins County 82.8% 16 Portal A-Public
2.51 A-Public Schley County 69.5% 8 Georgia Military College A-Other
2.02 AA Metter 88.6% 21 Claxton A-Public
1.61 A-Private Whitefield Academy 63.4% 6 King’s Ridge Christian A-Private
0.71 A-Private Mount Vernon Presbyterian 90.3% 22 North Cobb Christian A-Private
-0.71 AA Temple 88.0% 20 Armuchee AA
-0.74 A-Public Bowdon 94.9% 29 Greenville A-Public
-1.76 AA Butler 82.8% 16 Hephzibah AAAA
-2.80 A-Private George Walton Academy 95.0% 29 Riverside Military Academy A-Private
-3.81 AAA East Hall 95.5% 30 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAAA
-4.28 A-Public Lanier County 68.4% 8 Groves AAA
-5.81 A-Private Savannah Country Day 93.9% 27 Johnson (Savannah) AAA
-5.89 A-Private Hebron Christian Academy 94.3% 28 Providence Christian A-Private
-9.08 AAA East Jackson 79.5% 14 Oglethorpe County AA
-10.50 A-Public Taylor County 98.6% 38 Central (Talbotton) A-Public
-11.60 A-Public Gordon Lee 94.7% 28 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
-11.86 A-Public Marion County 98.2% 37 Pacelli A-Private
-12.57 AAAA Cross Creek 91.2% 23 Westside (Augusta) AA
-16.25 AAAA LaFayette 90.6% 23 Gordon Central AA
-22.27 A-Public Stewart County 51.2% 1 Glascock County A-Other

 

Sep 9

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
-19.15 AA South Atlanta 97.1% 34 Clarkston AAAAA

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