Maxwell Week 3 Projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Aug 31

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
48.16 AAAAAA Houston County 76.2% 12 Eagle’s Landing AAAAA
39.84 AA Spencer 60.2% 4 Northside (Columbus) AAAA
26.61 AAA Central (Macon) 60.8% 5 Howard AAAA
-1.02 AAA Savannah 89.3% 21 Claxton A-Public

 

Sep 1

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
86.49 AAAAAAA Grayson 83.8% 17 McEachern AAAAAAA
82.04 AAAAAAA Colquitt County 79.7% 14 Tucker AAAAAA
77.51 AAAAAAA Lowndes 75.1% 11 Parkview AAAAAAA
70.49 AAAA Sandy Creek 50.3% 1 Allatoona AAAAAA
70.15 AAAA Cartersville 87.6% 20 Calhoun AAA
69.98 AAAAAAA Roswell 72.9% 10 Central Gwinnett AAAAAAA
68.97 AAAAAAA North Cobb 72.7% 10 Harrison AAAAAA
68.94 AAAAAA Glynn Academy 60.5% 5 Tift County AAAAAAA
65.76 AAAAAA Mays 66.2% 7 Peachtree Ridge AAAAAAA
65.75 AAAAAA Coffee 65.8% 7 Ware County AAAAA
65.62 AAAAA Kell 65.3% 7 Lassiter AAAAAAA
65.53 AAAAAAA North Gwinnett 62.5% 5 Hillgrove AAAAAAA
65.45 AAAA Thomson 54.2% 2 Jefferson AAAA
65.21 AAA Peach County 55.7% 3 Warner Robins AAAAA
64.26 AAAAAAA Brookwood 55.0% 2 South Gwinnett AAAAAAA
63.66 AAAA Blessed Trinity 67.4% 7 Marietta AAAAAAA
62.09 AAAAAA Northgate 65.5% 7 Starr’s Mill AAAAA
61.64 AAAAAAA Camden County 62.1% 5 Fitzgerald AA
61.63 AAAAAAA Mill Creek 95.7% 30 Dacula AAAAAA
58.59 AAAA Woodward Academy 83.1% 16 Westminster (Atlanta) AAA
57.70 AAAAAA Sequoyah 50.7% 1 Woodstock AAAAAAA
57.34 AAAAAAA Collins Hill 71.1% 9 Lambert AAAAAAA
53.77 AAAAAA Alexander 73.8% 11 Carver (Atlanta) AAAAA
53.62 AA Brooks County 57.0% 3 Clinch County A-Public
53.58 AAAAAA Creekview 60.0% 4 Cherokee AAAAAAA
53.37 AA Hapeville Charter 52.3% 1 Pace Academy AAA
52.86 AAAAAAA North Paulding 82.1% 15 East Paulding AAAAA
52.58 AA Benedictine 95.7% 30 St. Pius X AAAA
51.05 AAAAA Thomas County Central 51.8% 1 Cairo AAAA
50.70 AAAAAAA Westlake 85.6% 18 Shiloh AAAAAAA
49.45 AAAAAAA South Forsyth 92.9% 25 Centennial AAAAAA
49.44 AA Rabun County 71.3% 9 Stephens County AAAA
48.77 AAAAAAA Milton 84.0% 17 Cambridge AAAAAA
48.48 AAAAAA Valdosta 95.2% 29 Wayne County AAAAA
48.39 AAAAA Rome 94.3% 28 Drew AAAAAA
47.96 AAAAAA Creekside 73.6% 10 Southwest DeKalb AAAAA
47.42 AAAAAA Gainesville 59.4% 4 Clarke Central AAAAA
47.34 A-Public Macon County 72.3% 10 Irwin County A-Public
46.83 AAAA Spalding 62.7% 5 Jonesboro AAAAAA
45.92 AAAAAA Dalton 87.2% 19 Northwest Whitfield AAAA
45.22 AAAAAA Sprayberry 56.6% 3 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAAA
45.19 AAAA Ridgeland 73.7% 10 Darlington A-Private
45.11 AA Thomasville 85.2% 18 Monroe AAA
44.79 AA Dodge County 54.2% 2 West Laurens AAAA
43.64 AAA Crisp County 74.9% 11 Turner County A-Public
42.52 AAAA Burke County 79.7% 14 Washington County AA
42.10 AAAAAA Brunswick 72.1% 10 Cook AAA
41.82 A-Public Manchester 66.1% 7 Southwest AA
41.71 AAAA Pickens 61.8% 5 Pepperell AA
41.36 AAAAA Ola 50.4% 1 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAAA
41.12 AAAAAAA North Forsyth 74.5% 11 Loganville AAAAA
41.05 AAAAAA Douglas County 81.6% 15 Carver (Columbus) AAAA
40.24 AAAAAA Winder-Barrow 73.5% 10 Northview AAAAAA
40.15 AAAAAA New Manchester 65.4% 7 Heard County AA
40.11 AAAAAA South Paulding 66.9% 7 Hiram AAAAA
40.02 AAAAA Veterans 71.8% 10 Worth County AAA
39.76 AAA Dawson County 61.0% 5 Chattooga AA
39.68 A-Private Mount Paran Christian 78.0% 13 Bremen AAA
39.63 AAAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 94.0% 27 Westside (Macon) AAA
38.28 AAAAA Griffin 92.9% 26 LaGrange AAAA
37.64 AAAAAA Lee County 97.6% 35 Hardaway AAAA
36.99 AAA Morgan County 53.4% 2 North Oconee AAAA
36.68 AAA Sonoraville 68.4% 8 Cass AAAAA
36.63 A-Public Charlton County 53.1% 2 Appling County AAA
36.57 AAAA West Hall 50.9% 1 Washington-Wilkes A-Public
36.22 AAA Lovett 87.6% 20 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
35.97 AAA Adairsville 63.3% 6 Model AA
35.78 AAAA Americus-Sumter 57.6% 3 Dooly County A-Public
35.74 AAAA Upson-Lee 81.3% 15 Columbus AAAA
35.37 AAAAAAA Walton 97.7% 35 Pope AAAAAA
34.92 AAAAAA Habersham Central 55.1% 2 White County AAAA
34.53 AAAAAAA Wheeler 88.2% 20 South Cobb AAAAAA
33.11 AAAAAA River Ridge 55.3% 2 Forsyth Central AAAAAAA
32.87 AA Bacon County 56.1% 3 Telfair County A-Public
32.54 AAAAA Fayette County 54.2% 2 Banneker AAAAA
31.89 AAAAA Arabia Mountain 85.1% 18 Redan AAA
31.89 AAAAAA Evans 72.5% 10 Laney AA
31.78 AAAA Central (Carrollton) 68.0% 8 North Clayton AAAA
31.78 AAAA Mary Persons 95.8% 30 Washington AA
31.76 A-Private Prince Avenue Christian 92.3% 25 Athens Christian A-Private
31.72 AAAAAAA East Coweta 94.2% 28 Maynard Jackson AAAAA
30.94 AAAAAA Bradwell Institute 76.8% 12 Southeast Bulloch AAA
30.82 AAA Jackson 78.2% 13 Lamar County AA
30.42 A-Public Lincoln County 67.7% 8 Grovetown AAAAAA
30.16 AAA Liberty County 79.2% 14 Statesboro AAAAA
29.73 A-Private Stratford Academy 79.9% 14 Landmark Christian A-Private
29.70 AAAA Troup 86.9% 19 Bowdon A-Public
29.43 AAAA Luella 61.6% 5 Lithonia AAAAA
29.42 AAAAA Carrollton 98.2% 37 Riverdale AAAAA
29.32 AAAAA Miller Grove 53.5% 2 M.L. King AAAAAA
29.01 AAAAAA Richmond Hill 85.0% 17 Brantley County AAA
28.51 AAAA Oconee County 79.6% 14 Walnut Grove AAAAA
28.31 AAAAA Cedar Shoals 60.3% 4 Decatur AAAAA
26.46 AAAAA Riverwood 85.6% 18 Holy Innocents A-Private
24.49 AAAAA Flowery Branch 85.7% 18 Chestatee AAAA
24.19 AA Elbert County 67.5% 8 Madison County AAAA
24.01 A-Private Pinecrest Academy 81.3% 15 Discovery AAAAAAA
22.17 AA Berrien 52.3% 1 Dougherty AAA
21.74 AAA North Murray 66.3% 7 Coosa AA
21.29 AAAAA North Springs 73.0% 10 Towers AAA
20.77 A-Public Greene County 64.4% 6 Putnam County AA
20.67 AA Rockmart 90.7% 23 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
20.22 AAAAAA Mount Zion (Jonesboro) 68.0% 8 Morrow AAAAA
20.09 AAA Ringgold 72.9% 10 Fannin County AAA
19.87 AAA Jackson County 74.8% 11 Lumpkin County AAA
19.61 A-Public Commerce 91.5% 24 Hebron Christian Academy A-Private
19.60 AA Early County 68.6% 8 Seminole County A-Public
18.95 AAAA Salem 77.9% 13 Therrell AA
18.94 AAAAA Union Grove 78.1% 13 Apalachee AAAAAA
18.71 AAAA Shaw 74.2% 11 Kendrick AAA
18.63 AAA Pierce County 86.1% 18 Beach AAA
18.44 AAAAAA Dunwoody 77.7% 13 Chamblee AAAAA
18.33 AAAAAA North Atlanta 88.0% 20 KIPP Atlanta Collegiate AA
18.33 AA Northeast 76.4% 12 Rutland AAA
18.04 AAAAA McIntosh 90.5% 22 Henry County AAAA
17.80 AAAA Eastside 95.0% 29 Alcovy AAAAAA
17.56 AAAA Chapel Hill 94.7% 28 Lithia Springs AAAAA
17.28 AA Dublin 89.2% 21 Wilkinson County A-Public
17.14 A-Private Walker 51.3% 1 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A-Private
17.13 AAAAAAA Pebblebrook 86.6% 19 Osborne AAAAAA
16.94 AA Douglass 88.5% 20 South Atlanta AA
16.89 A-Private First Presbyterian 87.8% 20 Brookstone A-Private
16.22 AAAAAAA Meadowcreek 70.2% 9 Duluth AAAAAAA
16.12 A-Public Trion 84.4% 17 Dade County AA
15.94 A-Public Pelham 78.5% 13 Terrell County A-Public
15.24 AAA Pike County 80.1% 14 Monticello AA
14.69 AAAAA New Hampstead 80.7% 14 Islands AAA
13.81 AAAA Southeast Whitfield 64.5% 6 Murray County AAA
12.44 AA Jeff Davis 74.2% 11 Long County AAA
12.08 AA Bleckley County 76.4% 12 Treutlen A-Public
11.91 AAAAAA Greenbrier 83.8% 17 Josey AA
11.84 A-Private Athens Academy 92.9% 26 Lakeview Academy A-Private
11.15 AAAAA Whitewater 97.2% 34 Hampton AAAAA
10.20 A-Public Gordon Lee 57.9% 3 LaFayette AAAA
9.75 A-Public Hawkinsville 54.0% 2 Wilcox County A-Public
9.60 AA Bryan County 59.4% 4 Windsor Forest AAA
8.59 A-Public Wheeler County 69.6% 8 Jenkins County A-Public
7.64 AA East Laurens 61.3% 5 Montgomery County A-Public
7.58 AA Harlem 51.9% 1 Warren County A-Public
5.43 AAA Monroe Area 95.3% 29 Social Circle AA
5.41 AAAA Cross Creek 76.3% 12 Glenn Hills AA
5.25 A-Private George Walton Academy 92.0% 24 Towns County A-Public
4.26 A-Public Mount Zion (Carroll) 97.4% 34 Haralson County AAA
4.20 A-Private Savannah Country Day 82.7% 16 Lanier County A-Public
3.60 AAAA Cedartown 98.7% 38 Gilmer AAAA
3.35 AAAAA Locust Grove 98.9% 39 Forest Park AAAAAA
3.04 A-Private Mount Pisgah Christian 96.5% 32 Whitefield Academy A-Private
1.69 A-Private King’s Ridge Christian 68.8% 8 Strong Rock Christian A-Private
1.61 A-Public Emanuel County Institute 97.4% 34 Portal A-Public
-0.11 A-Private St. Francis 54.8% 2 North Cobb Christian A-Private
-2.26 A-Public Taylor County 97.3% 34 Greenville A-Public
-2.84 AA Banks County 91.1% 23 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAAA
-4.22 A-Public Johnson County 93.3% 26 Groves AAA
-5.00 AA Metter 93.7% 27 Johnson (Savannah) AAA
-5.62 A-Public Randolph-Clay 71.4% 9 Calhoun County A-Public
-8.61 AAAAAAA Mountain View 99.9% 42 Berkmar AAAAAAA
-9.47 AA Temple 93.6% 27 Oglethorpe County AA
-11.44 A-Private Riverside Military Academy 84.3% 17 Providence Christian A-Private
-11.75 AA Westside (Augusta) 69.3% 8 Hephzibah AAAA
-16.00 A-Public Chattahoochee County 93.9% 27 Baconton Charter A-Public
-18.30 AAAA Heritage (Ringgold) 99.5% 41 Coahulla Creek AAA
-21.20 A-Public Mitchell County 99.3% 40 Stewart County A-Public
-22.60 A-Public Crawford County 97.4% 34 Glascock County A-Other
-37.07 AAA McNair 99.2% 40 Cross Keys AAAAA

 

Sep 2

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
68.85 AAAAA Stockbridge 73.6% 10 Lovejoy AAAAAA
38.52 AAAAA Dutchtown 84.8% 17 Columbia AAAAA
26.41 AAAAA Woodland (Stockbridge) 96.0% 31 Tri-Cities AAAAAA
-16.17 AAA Stone Mountain 84.6% 17 Clarkston AAAAA

View Comments 0