Maxwell Week 2 Projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Aug 24

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
40.33 AAAAA Veterans 69.0% 8 Dublin AA
28.01 AAAA North Clayton 68.7% 8 Washington AA
12.65 A-Public Johnson County 73.9% 11 East Laurens AA
10.17 AA Bryan County 79.6% 14 Beach AAA
5.39 A-Public Jenkins County 68.4% 8 Windsor Forest AAA

 

Aug 25

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
70.41 AAAAA Rome 51.5% 1 Harrison AAAAAA
69.94 AAAAAAA North Cobb 73.3% 10 Etowah AAAAAAA
69.14 AAAAAAA Archer 75.9% 12 Peachtree Ridge AAAAAAA
68.38 AAAAA Ware County 54.9% 2 Glynn Academy AAAAAA
67.96 AAAAAAA Walton 57.1% 3 Brookwood AAAAAAA
66.28 AAAAAAA Norcross 81.7% 15 Collins Hill AAAAAAA
65.87 AAAAAA Allatoona 61.2% 5 Alexander AAAAAA
64.80 AAAAAAA North Gwinnett 53.3% 2 Milton AAAAAAA
63.66 AAAAAAA Central Gwinnett 51.9% 1 Dacula AAAAAA
63.39 AAAAAA Dalton 72.8% 10 Calhoun AAA
62.44 AAAAAAA Mill Creek 95.9% 31 Stephenson AAAAAA
61.43 AAAAAA Valdosta 84.5% 17 Woodland (Stockbridge) AAAAA
61.39 AAA Greater Atlanta Christian 78.7% 13 Westminster (Atlanta) AAA
61.37 AAAAAA Houston County 56.5% 3 Peach County AAA
60.22 AAAAAA Lee County 82.4% 16 Bainbridge AAAAA
59.07 AAAAAAA Lambert 52.0% 1 Mountain View AAAAAAA
58.29 AAAA Marist 62.3% 5 Lovett AAA
57.96 AAAAAAA South Gwinnett 60.7% 5 Lanier AAAAAA
56.31 AAAA Thomson 80.8% 14 Effingham County AAAAAA
56.16 AAAAA Griffin 60.3% 4 Spalding AAAA
55.55 AAAAAAA West Forsyth 79.4% 14 Pace Academy AAA
54.92 AAAA Blessed Trinity 84.3% 17 St. Pius X AAAA
54.45 AAAAA Thomas County Central 65.0% 6 Thomasville AA
53.59 AAAAAAA Cherokee 72.2% 10 Sequoyah AAAAAA
53.32 AAAAA Starr’s Mill 61.4% 5 Newnan AAAAAAA
53.23 AAAAAA Gainesville 62.1% 5 Alpharetta AAAAAA
52.23 AAAAA Warner Robins 80.5% 14 Locust Grove AAAAA
51.49 AAAAAAA Newton 82.8% 16 Eastside AAAA
51.16 AAAAAA Centennial 56.1% 3 Wheeler AAAAAAA
51.04 AAAAAA Creekview 61.0% 5 Cambridge AAAAAA
50.84 AAAAAAA Parkview 92.8% 25 Shiloh AAAAAAA
50.57 AAAAAA Coffee 89.4% 21 Brunswick AAAAAA
50.50 AAAAAAA North Paulding 84.2% 17 South Paulding AAAAAA
50.03 AA Fitzgerald 73.3% 10 Irwin County A-Public
49.03 A-Private Eagle’s Landing Christian 86.3% 19 Jonesboro AAAAAA
46.82 AAAAA Dutchtown 61.8% 5 Ola AAAAA
46.19 AAAA Ridgeland 54.0% 2 Pepperell AA
46.15 AAA Cedar Grove 92.9% 26 Southwest DeKalb AAAAA
45.83 A-Private Mount Paran Christian 58.7% 4 Fellowship Christian A-Private
45.27 AAAA Jefferson 88.7% 21 Riverwood AAAAA
44.10 A-Public Clinch County 68.0% 8 McIntosh County Academy A-Public
44.05 AAAAAA Johns Creek 60.2% 4 North Forsyth AAAAAAA
43.53 AAAA West Laurens 70.6% 9 Wayne County AAAAA
42.38 AAAAA Villa Rica 59.8% 4 LaGrange AAAA
41.72 AAAAAA Lovejoy 93.4% 26 Mundy’s Mill AAAAAA
41.62 AAAAA Jones County 94.6% 28 Washington County AA
41.29 A-Private Wesleyan 77.5% 13 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
40.92 AAAAAAA Tift County 94.2% 27 Cook AAA
40.53 AAAA Woodward Academy 96.3% 31 Grady AAAAA
40.29 AAAA Mary Persons 90.9% 23 Jackson AAA
39.94 AAA Crisp County 80.7% 14 Americus-Sumter AAAA
39.75 AA Rabun County 84.4% 17 Mount Pisgah Christian A-Private
39.46 AAAA Chapel Hill 58.4% 4 Fayette County AAAAA
39.29 AAAAA Paulding County 68.6% 8 New Manchester AAAAAA
38.76 AAA Worth County 72.8% 10 Turner County A-Public
38.65 AAAA Carver (Columbus) 74.6% 11 Spencer AA
38.61 AAAA Westover 55.8% 3 Monroe AAA
38.40 A-Public Emanuel County Institute 71.2% 9 Swainsboro AA
38.36 AA Vidalia 63.4% 6 Appling County AAA
37.84 AA Model 58.6% 4 Sonoraville AAA
37.70 A-Public Manchester 66.0% 7 Luella AAAA
37.43 AA Jefferson County 78.8% 13 Lakeside (Evans) AAAAAA
37.22 AAAAAAA South Forsyth 97.5% 35 Pinecrest Academy A-Private
36.56 AAA Dawson County 64.1% 6 Forsyth Central AAAAAAA
36.44 AAAAAAA Lassiter 94.7% 28 Pope AAAAAA
35.98 A-Private Aquinas 60.6% 5 Laney AA
35.71 AAA Jenkins 63.4% 6 South Effingham AAAAA
35.01 A-Public Macon County 91.1% 23 Dooly County A-Public
34.13 AAAAAAA Rockdale County 50.5% 1 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
33.83 AAAAA Cass 72.8% 10 Adairsville AAA
32.92 AA Elbert County 70.6% 9 Washington-Wilkes A-Public
32.65 AAAAAA Richmond Hill 78.1% 13 Southeast Bulloch AAA
32.37 AAAAAA Drew 85.8% 18 Riverdale AAAAA
32.18 A-Public Bowdon 53.6% 2 Bremen AAA
32.10 A-Public Charlton County 55.5% 3 Brantley County AAA
31.95 AAAAA Arabia Mountain 83.5% 16 M.L. King AAAAAA
31.70 AAA Liberty County 90.6% 23 Bradwell Institute AAAAAA
31.26 AAA Westside (Macon) 84.9% 17 Southwest AA
31.08 AAA Morgan County 63.9% 6 Greene County A-Public
30.69 AAAAA McIntosh 64.0% 6 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAAAA
30.31 AAAA Heritage (Ringgold) 60.9% 5 Ringgold AAA
30.28 AAAAA Whitewater 88.0% 20 Union Grove AAAAA
30.10 AAAAAA Winder-Barrow 85.2% 18 Walnut Grove AAAAA
29.65 A-Private Landmark Christian 66.9% 7 Central (Carrollton) AAAA
29.57 AAAAA Flowery Branch 73.8% 11 North Hall AAA
27.37 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 93.3% 26 Tri-Cities AAAAAA
27.27 AAAAAA South Cobb 82.0% 15 Campbell AAAAAAA
26.97 AAAAAA Grovetown 69.0% 8 North Oconee AAAA
26.80 A-Public Telfair County 58.5% 4 Savannah AAA
26.61 AAAA Burke County 95.2% 29 Statesboro AAAAA
26.04 AAAAA Cedar Shoals 59.4% 4 Discovery AAAAAAA
25.98 AAAA Madison County 52.2% 1 Jackson County AAA
25.07 A-Public Twiggs County 65.5% 7 Toombs County AA
24.42 AAAA Chestatee 74.5% 11 East Hall AAA
23.68 AAAA White County 72.5% 10 Lumpkin County AAA
23.52 AAAAAA Tucker 99.6% 41 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAAA
23.32 AAA Pierce County 91.2% 23 Bacon County AA
22.18 AAAAA North Springs 64.8% 6 KIPP Atlanta Collegiate AA
22.16 AAAAAA River Ridge 77.4% 12 Apalachee AAAAAA
22.03 AAAAA Maynard Jackson 70.1% 9 Therrell AA
21.19 AAAA Baldwin 78.7% 13 Wilkinson County A-Public
21.15 AA Lamar County 86.4% 19 Northeast AA
20.55 AAAA Perry 82.2% 15 Rutland AAA
20.18 AAAAA Chamblee 53.3% 2 Decatur AAAAA
19.76 A-Public Commerce 91.3% 23 Banks County AA
19.12 AAAAA Columbia 86.3% 19 Druid Hills AAAA
19.11 AAAA Stephens County 94.7% 28 Franklin County AAA
18.89 A-Private Stratford Academy 91.7% 24 Savannah Country Day A-Private
18.84 AAAAA Loganville 96.3% 32 Monroe Area AAA
17.87 A-Public Miller County 61.8% 5 Terrell County A-Public
17.62 AAAAAA Douglas County 97.3% 34 Lithia Springs AAAAA
16.82 A-Private Savannah Christian 87.8% 20 New Hampstead AAAAA
16.53 AAAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 99.3% 40 Henry County AAAA
15.89 A-Public Atkinson County 52.2% 1 Jeff Davis AA
15.75 AAAAAA Sprayberry 96.1% 31 Osborne AAAAAA
15.74 A-Private Athens Christian 84.2% 17 Monticello AA
15.63 AAAAAA Greenbrier 72.4% 10 Butler AA
15.53 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 95.5% 30 South Atlanta AA
14.77 A-Public Hawkinsville 59.0% 4 Bleckley County AA
13.42 AA Putnam County 59.6% 4 Hancock Central A-Public
10.75 A-Public Trion 90.1% 22 LaFayette AAAA
9.74 AA Temple 56.7% 3 Haralson County AAA
8.70 A-Public Marion County 91.2% 23 Chattahoochee County A-Public
8.59 AAAAA Morrow 73.0% 10 Forest Park AAAAAA
8.39 A-Public Wheeler County 55.7% 3 Georgia Military College A-Other
8.36 A-Private Mount Vernon Presbyterian 65.7% 7 Whitefield Academy A-Private
8.30 A-Private Tattnall Square 98.1% 36 Wilcox County A-Public
7.23 AAA Long County 74.6% 11 Islands AAA
6.47 A-Private George Walton Academy 90.8% 23 Social Circle AA
6.20 A-Public Treutlen 58.8% 4 Portal A-Public
5.48 A-Private Lakeview Academy 51.0% 1 East Jackson AAA
5.29 AAA Union County 94.5% 28 Gilmer AAAA
3.77 AA Berrien 89.3% 21 Lanier County A-Public
3.43 A-Private Prince Avenue Christian 99.4% 41 Riverside Military Academy A-Private
1.76 A-Private Holy Innocents 92.4% 25 St. Francis A-Private
-0.15 AAAAA Miller Grove 95.7% 30 Stone Mountain AAA
-0.27 AAAAAAA Duluth 84.5% 17 Berkmar AAAAAAA
-0.82 AA Josey 76.2% 12 Groves AAA
-2.64 AAA Tattnall County 95.1% 29 Claxton A-Public
-2.88 A-Public Schley County 77.1% 12 Calhoun County A-Public
-3.09 AAAA Richmond Academy 90.1% 22 Westside (Augusta) AA
-3.38 AAAA West Hall 98.5% 38 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAAA
-6.04 A-Private Calvary Day 99.4% 40 Johnson (Savannah) AAA
-7.13 A-Private Strong Rock Christian 81.3% 15 North Cobb Christian A-Private
-8.06 A-Public Crawford County 90.2% 22 Pacelli A-Private
-9.03 AA Armuchee 73.5% 10 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
-9.24 A-Private Brookstone 92.7% 25 Central (Talbotton) A-Public
-9.94 AA Glenn Hills 81.7% 15 Hephzibah AAAA
-16.36 A-Public Pelham 98.8% 39 Baconton Charter A-Public
-17.03 AAA McNair 95.0% 29 Clarkston AAAAA
-17.07 AA Coosa 97.5% 35 Coahulla Creek AAA
-18.90 AAAA Southeast Whitfield 97.9% 36 Gordon Central AA
-21.39 AA Harlem 95.0% 29 Glascock County A-Other
-21.73 A-Public Seminole County 98.2% 37 Stewart County A-Public

 

Aug 25

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
73.61 AAAAAA Mays 53.0% 2 Stockbridge AAAAA
67.09 AAAAAAA Westlake 64.8% 6 Hughes AAAAAA
42.70 AAAA Oconee County 59.7% 4 Clarke Central AAAAA
33.21 AAAAA Harris County 82.5% 16 Hardaway AAAA
32.15 AAA Central (Macon) 54.0% 2 First Presbyterian A-Private
30.08 AAAA Upson-Lee 87.4% 19 Shaw AAAA
26.98 AAAAA Lithonia 71.4% 9 Redan AAA
23.72 A-Public Mitchell County 53.8% 2 Dougherty AAA
23.20 AAAAA Banneker 72.1% 10 Towers AAA
20.60 AAAA Columbus 80.7% 14 Jordan AA
17.00 AAAA Troup 94.8% 29 Kendrick AAA
12.03 AAAA Howard 84.6% 17 Mount de Sales A-Private
10.89 AAAAAA Alcovy 80.0% 14 Meadowcreek AAAAAAA

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