Maxwell Week 1 Projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Aug 17

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
64.00 AAAAAA Lee County 76.2% 12 Mary Persons AAAA
63.35 AAAAAA Houston County 73.5% 10 Jones County AAAAA
56.20 AAAAA Carrollton 78.4% 13 Newnan AAAAAAA
50.95 AAAAAAA Newton 82.2% 15 Drew AAAAAA
30.52 AAAA Troup 85.8% 18 Hardaway AAAA

 

Aug 18

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
80.81 AAAAAA Valdosta 56.3% 3 Lowndes AAAAAAA
72.49 AAAA Cartersville 81.9% 15 Allatoona AAAAAA
72.47 AA Benedictine 65.9% 7 Glynn Academy AAAAAA
70.18 AAAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 63.2% 6 Parkview AAAAAAA
67.27 AAAAA Buford 85.5% 18 Hillgrove AAAAAAA
66.73 AAAAAAA North Cobb 70.9% 9 Cherokee AAAAAAA
65.49 AAAAAA Stephenson 51.9% 1 Cedar Grove AAA
64.81 AAAAAAA Roswell 93.7% 27 South Forsyth AAAAAAA
63.44 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 50.1% 0 Blessed Trinity AAAA
62.21 AAA Greater Atlanta Christian 69.7% 9 Lovett AAA
61.75 AAAAAAA West Forsyth 52.5% 1 Woodstock AAAAAAA
61.60 AAAAAAA East Coweta 56.7% 3 Lovejoy AAAAAA
60.69 AAAA Sandy Creek 71.1% 9 Creekside AAAAAA
59.44 AAAAAAA South Gwinnett 68.7% 8 Central Gwinnett AAAAAAA
56.53 AAAAAA Coffee 82.0% 15 Effingham County AAAAAA
56.22 AAAAAAA Milton 66.7% 7 Alpharetta AAAAAA
54.47 AAAAAA Harrison 83.0% 16 East Paulding AAAAA
54.31 AAAAAAA Collins Hill 54.8% 2 Shiloh AAAAAAA
53.81 AAAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 91.8% 24 Warner Robins AAAAA
53.71 AAAAAAA Wheeler 59.9% 4 Marietta AAAAAAA
51.18 AAAAAAA Lassiter 78.7% 13 Johns Creek AAAAAA
51.04 AAAAA Thomas County Central 64.9% 6 Worth County AAA
48.50 AAAAAAA North Paulding 84.0% 17 Paulding County AAAAA
47.54 AAAAAA Northgate 88.0% 20 Veterans AAAAA
44.76 AAAAAA Sequoyah 69.8% 9 North Forsyth AAAAAAA
44.73 AA Callaway 80.0% 14 LaGrange AAAA
44.60 AA Brooks County 73.2% 10 Cook AAA
44.10 A-Private Eagle’s Landing Christian 92.3% 25 Eagle’s Landing AAAAA
43.76 AA Fitzgerald 91.6% 24 Hapeville Charter AA
43.12 A-Private Prince Avenue Christian 76.9% 12 Aquinas A-Private
42.97 AA Vidalia 59.2% 4 Dodge County AA
42.51 AAAA Cairo 82.4% 16 Thomasville AA
42.31 AAAAA Clarke Central 60.8% 5 Winder-Barrow AAAAAA
41.03 AAAAAA Gainesville 83.9% 17 West Hall AAAA
40.67 AAAA Carver (Columbus) 79.7% 14 Harris County AAAAA
40.49 AAAAA Hiram 58.5% 4 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAAA
40.24 AAAAAA Hughes 93.3% 26 Mundy’s Mill AAAAAA
40.00 AAAAAA Lanier 86.3% 18 Northview AAAAAA
39.53 AA Jefferson County 67.9% 8 Savannah Christian A-Private
38.57 AAAAAA Chattahoochee 51.1% 1 Pickens AAAA
38.27 AAAA Ridgeland 63.6% 6 Adairsville AAA
37.42 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 82.2% 15 Lithonia AAAAA
37.30 AAA Crisp County 80.9% 15 Dooly County A-Public
37.13 AAAA Cedartown 66.4% 7 Rockmart AA
35.69 AAAAAAA Pebblebrook 66.5% 7 South Cobb AAAAAA
35.62 AAAA Thomson 95.9% 31 Laney AA
34.86 A-Public McIntosh County Academy 63.4% 6 Brantley County AAA
34.28 AAAAAAA Tift County 96.6% 32 South Effingham AAAAA
34.02 AAAAAA Heritage (Conyers) 63.3% 6 Salem AAAA
34.00 AAAA Burke County 90.3% 22 Grovetown AAAAAA
32.88 AAAAA Villa Rica 77.7% 13 Central (Carrollton) AAAA
31.26 AAAAA Ola 81.2% 15 Pike County AAA
31.23 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 82.4% 16 Ringgold AAA
31.20 AAAA Westover 72.7% 10 Pelham A-Public
30.48 AAA Calhoun 97.2% 34 Douglass AA
29.94 AAAAAA Jonesboro 86.9% 19 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAAAA
29.66 AAA Jackson 87.0% 19 Swainsboro AA
29.33 AA Dublin 72.3% 10 Tattnall County AAA
29.31 AAAAA Riverdale 74.9% 11 North Clayton AAAA
29.23 A-Private Landmark Christian 85.4% 18 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
29.09 A-Private Mount Pisgah Christian 70.5% 9 Holy Innocents A-Private
28.59 AAAAA Woodland (Stockbridge) 95.7% 30 Union Grove AAAAA
28.52 AAA Westside (Macon) 87.2% 19 Howard AAAA
28.16 AAAAA Southwest DeKalb 84.1% 17 Redan AAA
27.76 AA Elbert County 80.2% 14 Hart County AAA
26.63 AAAAA McIntosh 65.5% 7 Decatur AAAAA
26.61 AAAAAA Habersham Central 64.2% 6 East Hall AAA
24.27 A-Public Irwin County 91.9% 24 Berrien AA
24.18 AAAAA Grady 95.0% 29 North Atlanta AAAAAA
23.79 AAAA Jefferson 98.3% 37 Discovery AAAAAAA
23.70 AAAAAA River Ridge 65.7% 7 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
23.61 AAAAAAA Lakeside (Atlanta) 69.9% 9 Dunwoody AAAAAA
22.83 AAAAAAA Etowah 99.0% 39 Campbell AAAAAAA
22.80 AAA North Hall 81.0% 15 Chestatee AAAA
22.66 AAAA White County 60.2% 4 Franklin County AAA
22.41 A-Public Turner County 85.6% 18 Dougherty AAA
21.40 A-Public Taylor County 72.6% 10 Terrell County A-Public
20.76 AAA Jackson County 58.9% 4 Banks County AA
20.66 A-Private Athens Academy 83.5% 16 Walker A-Private
19.67 A-Private Wesleyan 96.0% 31 Therrell AA
18.83 AAAAAAA Duluth 57.0% 3 Alcovy AAAAAA
18.79 AAAA Northside (Columbus) 88.1% 20 Kendrick AAA
18.73 A-Public Emanuel County Institute 95.4% 30 Metter AA
18.52 A-Private Mount Paran Christian 96.0% 31 Our Lady of Mercy A-Private
18.01 A-Private Fellowship Christian 92.9% 25 Atkinson County A-Public
17.12 AAAA Druid Hills 67.3% 7 Chamblee AAAAA
16.55 AAA Jenkins 91.1% 23 New Hampstead AAAAA
16.24 AAAA Baldwin 81.0% 15 Hancock Central A-Public
15.46 A-Public Gordon Lee 50.7% 1 Dade County AA
15.28 AA Heard County 92.0% 24 South Atlanta AA
14.38 AAAAAAA Mountain View 98.8% 39 Osborne AAAAAA
13.18 AAA North Murray 80.6% 14 Christian Heritage A-Private
12.76 AAAAA Morrow 51.7% 1 Hampton AAAAA
12.75 A-Public Clinch County 97.6% 35 Bleckley County AA
12.55 A-Private Brookstone 75.4% 11 Jordan AA
12.35 AAA Fannin County 56.4% 3 Gilmer AAAA
10.55 A-Private Hebron Christian Academy 66.3% 7 East Jackson AAA
9.34 A-Public Warren County 58.4% 4 Putnam County AA
6.63 AAAA Cross Creek 79.7% 14 Butler AA
5.81 A-Public Marion County 93.7% 27 Schley County A-Public
3.04 A-Public Treutlen 78.6% 13 Georgia Military College A-Other
2.60 A-Private Calvary Day 98.6% 38 Islands AAA
1.18 AAAA LaFayette 72.1% 10 Armuchee AA
0.65 A-Private Mount de Sales 68.3% 8 Pacelli A-Private
0.18 AAAAAAA Rockdale County 96.6% 32 Berkmar AAAAAAA
-0.31 AAAAA Johnson (Gainesville) 65.2% 7 Social Circle AA
-1.23 AAAAA Arabia Mountain 99.1% 40 Stone Mountain AAA
-3.34 A-Public Manchester 99.0% 39 Greenville A-Public
-6.62 A-Public Wheeler County 83.4% 16 Central (Talbotton) A-Public
-9.43 A-Private Strong Rock Christian 83.1% 16 Providence Christian A-Private
-10.12 A-Public Jenkins County 89.5% 21 Hephzibah AAAA
-12.07 AAAA Heritage (Ringgold) 98.9% 39 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
-18.37 AAAAA Miller Grove 99.2% 40 Clarkston AAAAA
-19.44 AAA Murray County 96.1% 31 Gordon Central AA
-22.72 A-Private King’s Ridge Christian 95.8% 31 Glascock County A-Other
-39.96 A-Public Baconton Charter 91.1% 23 Pataula Charter A-Other

 

Aug 19

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
87.70 AAAAAAA Mill Creek 63.3% 6 McEachern AAAAAAA
79.00 AAAAAAA Colquitt County 85.6% 18 Norcross AAAAAAA
72.14 AAAAAA Tucker 73.7% 11 Kell AAAAA
69.71 AAAAAAA Archer 71.2% 9 Brookwood AAAAAAA
67.13 AAAAAAA North Gwinnett 57.3% 3 Walton AAAAAAA
39.04 AAAA Eastside 74.8% 11 Luella AAAA
27.92 AAAAAA M.L. King 69.1% 8 Columbia AAAAA
10.83 AA Toombs County 82.8% 16 East Laurens AA
5.83 AAA Towers 86.1% 18 Forest Park AAAAAA
-17.96 AAAA Southeast Whitfield 97.7% 35 Coahulla Creek AAA

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