Maxwell Week 12 Projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell’s Georgia High School Football Archive.

Nov 03

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
42.69 AAAA Carver (Columbus) 65.3% 7 Hardaway AAAA
33.87 AAAAAA Drew 55.4% 2 Jonesboro AAAAAA
21.58 AAAA Westover 84.3% 17 Shaw AAAA
15.10 AAAAA Ware County 99.1% 40 New Hampstead AAAAA
5.28 A – Private Mount de Sales 56.0% 3 Montgomery County A – Public
2.63 AAA Lovett 99.4% 40 McNair AAA

 

Nov 04

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
71.64 AAAAAA Valdosta 78.2% 13 Houston County AAAAAA
70.84 AAAAAAA Grayson 96.3% 32 South Gwinnett AAAAAAA
68.83 AAAAAA Mays 73.8% 11 Northgate AAAAAA
67.68 AAAAAAA Roswell 94.1% 27 Cherokee AAAAAAA
67.17 AAAAAA Lee County 60.4% 5 Coffee AAAAAA
67.12 AAAAAA Dalton 81.7% 15 Allatoona AAAAAA
64.02 AAAAAAA South Forsyth 57.0% 3 West Forsyth AAAAAAA
63.08 AAAAAAA McEachern 91.6% 24 Hillgrove AAAAAAA
62.33 AAAAAAA Woodstock 60.3% 4 Walton AAAAAAA
61.83 AAAAAA Alexander 76.4% 12 Douglas County AAAAAA
60.53 AAAAAAA Lassiter 72.9% 10 Etowah AAAAAAA
57.62 AAAA Cartersville 95.0% 29 Troup AAAA
54.61 A – Public Macon County 51.8% 1 Manchester A – Public
53.62 AAAAAA Harrison 91.9% 24 Creekview AAAAAA
53.49 AAAA Jefferson 71.2% 9 Oconee County AAAA
52.89 AAAAAA Tucker 84.1% 17 Stephenson AAAAAA
52.64 AAAAAAA Parkview 85.6% 18 Central Gwinnett AAAAAAA
52.49 A – Private Eagle’s Landing Christian 64.8% 6 Landmark Christian A – Private
52.30 AAAAAAA Tift County 80.9% 15 Camden County AAAAAAA
51.96 AAAAAAA North Paulding 84.6% 17 Marietta AAAAAAA
51.94 AAAAAAA Milton 59.2% 4 North Forsyth AAAAAAA
51.53 AAAAA Woodland (Stockbridge) 86.2% 18 Locust Grove AAAAA
51.31 AAAAA Jones County 67.5% 8 Dutchtown AAAAA
50.20 A – Private Fellowship Christian 59.0% 4 Mount Zion (Carroll) A – Public
49.97 AAA Peach County 76.1% 12 Jackson AAA
49.40 AAAAAA Sprayberry 51.1% 1 Sequoyah AAAAAA
48.72 AAAAAA Lanier 71.2% 9 Gainesville AAAAAA
48.00 AAAA Cedartown 63.6% 6 Chapel Hill AAAA
47.92 AAAA Spalding 53.3% 2 Upson-Lee AAAA
47.91 AAAAA Bainbridge 60.7% 5 Warner Robins AAAAA
47.52 AAA Greater Atlanta Christian 90.9% 23 Dawson County AAA
47.44 AAAAAAA Archer 91.5% 24 Shiloh AAAAAAA
47.30 AAAAAAA Wheeler 65.5% 7 Pebblebrook AAAAAAA
47.25 AAAAAAA East Coweta 86.0% 18 Newnan AAAAAAA
46.21 AAAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 86.7% 19 Collins Hill AAAAAAA
46.20 AAA Crisp County 78.6% 13 Worth County AAA
45.43 AA Fitzgerald 90.1% 22 Thomasville AA
45.32 AAAAAA Effingham County 74.2% 11 Richmond Hill AAAAAA
44.57 A – Private Mount Paran Christian 55.6% 3 Darlington A – Private
44.19 AAA Liberty County 65.3% 7 Pierce County AAA
42.72 AAAAA Griffin 85.5% 18 Riverdale AAAAA
42.30 AAAA Blessed Trinity 84.9% 17 West Hall AAAA
42.27 AAAAA Kell 91.3% 23 Hiram AAAAA
41.02 AAAAA East Paulding 58.4% 4 Paulding County AAAAA
39.73 AAAA Cairo 88.4% 20 Northside (Columbus) AAAA
39.40 AAAAAA Alpharetta 82.1% 15 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
39.25 AAAAAA Dacula 85.8% 18 Winder-Barrow AAAAAA
38.79 AAAAAAA North Cobb 97.3% 34 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAAA
38.67 AAAAA Starr’s Mill 79.8% 14 Fayette County AAAAA
38.55 AA Model 57.3% 3 Rockmart AA
38.40 AAAAAA Evans 51.7% 1 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAAA
36.35 A – Private Prince Avenue Christian 83.4% 16 Athens Academy A – Private
36.27 AAAA St. Pius X 63.2% 6 Madison County AAAA
36.12 A – Public Bowdon 52.1% 1 Pinecrest Academy A – Private
36.02 A – Public Irwin County 63.2% 6 Turner County A – Public
35.98 A – Private Tattnall Square 85.6% 18 Washington-Wilkes A – Public
35.97 AAAAAA Creekside 87.9% 20 South Paulding AAAAAA
35.91 AAAA Americus-Sumter 67.5% 8 Columbus AAAA
35.91 A – Private Stratford Academy 62.2% 5 Aquinas A – Private
35.89 AA Pepperell 85.7% 18 Chattooga AA
35.61 A – Public Twiggs County 74.8% 11 Greene County A – Public
34.79 AAAAA Thomas County Central 92.0% 24 Harris County AAAAA
34.69 AAAAA Grady 94.1% 27 Banneker AAAAA
34.59 AAA Cook 61.6% 5 Monroe AAA
34.23 AAAAA Carrollton 96.5% 32 Cass AAAAA
34.07 AAAA West Laurens 76.2% 12 Perry AAAA
33.92 A – Public Commerce 67.7% 8 George Walton Academy A – Private
32.76 AAAAAAA Newton 95.3% 29 Rockdale County AAAAAAA
32.24 AA Washington County 80.9% 15 Dublin AA
31.51 AA Jefferson County 89.0% 21 Screven County AA
31.24 A – Public Lincoln County 51.1% 1 First Presbyterian A – Private
31.23 AAAAAAA Lambert 95.2% 29 Forsyth Central AAAAAAA
30.66 A – Public Mitchell County 51.0% 1 Pelham A – Public
30.64 AA Hapeville Charter 78.2% 13 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA
30.46 A – Public Dooly County 62.6% 5 Marion County A – Public
30.20 AAAAAAA Brookwood 98.4% 37 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAAA
29.88 AAAAAA Glynn Academy 98.3% 37 Bradwell Institute AAAAAA
29.81 AAAAAA Pope 62.4% 5 Northview AAAAAA
29.38 AAAAAA River Ridge 54.1% 2 South Cobb AAAAAA
28.87 AAAAA Whitewater 88.6% 20 McIntosh AAAAA
28.59 A – Private Calvary Day 90.0% 22 Savannah Christian A – Private
27.69 AAAAAA Lakeside (Evans) 56.2% 3 Grovetown AAAAAA
27.63 A – Private Mount Pisgah Christian 62.7% 5 Trion A – Public
27.47 AAAAA Buford 99.2% 40 Flowery Branch AAAAA
27.25 AAAAA Walnut Grove 57.7% 3 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
27.23 A – Public Clinch County 92.4% 25 Telfair County A – Public
27.13 AAAA Eastside 92.3% 25 North Clayton AAAA
26.89 AAAA Pickens 80.4% 14 Heritage (Ringgold) AAAA
24.53 AAA Appling County 67.3% 7 Tattnall County AAA
24.51 AAAAAAA Westlake 97.6% 35 Campbell AAAAAAA
24.09 A – Public Terrell County 53.0% 2 Randolph-Clay A – Public
24.08 AAAAAA Habersham Central 77.7% 13 Apalachee AAAAAA
24.01 AAAAA Stockbridge 99.4% 41 Union Grove AAAAA
23.86 AAAAA Riverwood 84.0% 17 Maynard Jackson AAAAA
23.46 A – Private Athens Christian 71.1% 9 Hebron Christian Academy A – Private
23.00 AAA Union County 77.0% 12 Lumpkin County AAA
22.95 AAA Adairsville 55.1% 2 North Murray AAA
22.89 AA Brooks County 93.0% 26 Berrien AA
22.55 AAAAAAA North Gwinnett 99.0% 39 Discovery AAAAAAA
21.81 AAAAAA Mount Zion (Jonesboro) 75.3% 11 M.L. King AAAAAA
21.49 AAA Sonoraville 89.0% 21 Ringgold AAA
20.87 AA Toombs County 79.9% 14 Swainsboro AA
20.69 AAAAAA New Manchester 63.6% 6 Tri-Cities AAAAAA
20.08 AAAAAA Cambridge 95.2% 29 North Atlanta AAAAAA
19.63 A – Private Holy Innocents 65.9% 7 Our Lady of Mercy A – Private
19.51 AAAAAA Johns Creek 98.0% 36 Dunwoody AAAAAA
19.47 AAAAA Ola 95.4% 30 Hampton AAAAA
19.14 AA Therrell 54.0% 2 Washington AA
18.44 AAA Pace Academy 95.0% 29 Towers AAA
18.37 AA Lamar County 88.7% 21 Temple AA
18.30 A – Public Miller County 75.5% 11 Seminole County A – Public
18.27 AAAA Mary Persons 98.5% 38 Howard AAAA
17.17 A – Public Taylor County 92.5% 25 Brookstone A – Private
17.08 AAA Bremen 87.6% 20 Murray County AAA
17.04 AAAA Sandy Creek 99.3% 40 Central (Carrollton) AAAA
16.95 AAA Franklin County 58.4% 4 Monroe Area AAA
16.70 AAA Pike County 88.3% 20 Rutland AAA
16.54 AAAA Marist 97.8% 35 White County AAAA
16.19 AAAA Baldwin 70.7% 9 Cross Creek AAAA
16.12 AAAAA Rome 99.5% 41 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
16.09 AAAAAA Greenbrier 67.2% 7 Alcovy AAAAAA
15.45 AA Elbert County 87.4% 19 Banks County AA
14.70 A – Public McIntosh County Academy 93.3% 26 Savannah Country Day A – Private
14.54 A – Public Gordon Lee 55.4% 2 Walker A – Private
13.63 AA Vidalia 93.6% 26 Bryan County AA
13.22 AAA Westside (Macon) 94.0% 27 Kendrick AAA
13.21 AAA Morgan County 93.0% 26 Jackson County AAA
12.89 AA Early County 63.8% 6 Albany AA
12.41 AAAA Stephens County 98.4% 37 North Oconee AAAA
12.40 AAAAA Wayne County 85.2% 18 Statesboro AAAAA
11.60 AAAA Ridgeland 97.2% 34 Southeast Whitfield AAAA
11.03 AA Rabun County 99.5% 41 Monticello AA
10.90 AAAAA North Springs 90.2% 22 Lithia Springs AAAAA
10.57 AAA Hart County 56.0% 3 East Jackson AAA
10.32 AAAA Salem 84.9% 17 Druid Hills AAAA
10.15 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 97.9% 36 Decatur AAAAA
9.84 AAAA Thomson 99.8% 41 Richmond Academy AAAA
9.83 AA Benedictine 99.8% 41 Jeff Davis AA
9.51 AAAAAAA Mill Creek 100.0% 42 Duluth AAAAAAA
9.51 AA Metter 54.6% 2 Bacon County AA
9.14 AAA Brantley County 91.9% 24 Long County AAA
9.09 AAAAA Miller Grove 60.3% 4 Chamblee AAAAA
9.06 A – Public Warren County 83.0% 16 Wilkinson County A – Public
8.09 AAA East Hall 77.2% 12 Fannin County AAA
7.54 AAAAAA Brunswick 97.8% 35 Osborne AAAAAA
7.33 A – Public Hancock Central 72.6% 10 Johnson County A – Public
6.37 AAAAA Southwest DeKalb 95.7% 30 Columbia AAAAA
6.19 AA Laney 88.5% 20 Josey AA
6.07 AA Northeast 70.7% 9 East Laurens AA
4.38 AA Southwest 95.6% 30 Bleckley County AA
4.14 A – Private Lakeview Academy 63.9% 6 Riverside Military Academy A – Private
3.32 A – Public Treutlen 71.5% 9 Windsor Forest AAA
3.19 A – Public Emanuel County Institute 97.7% 35 Jenkins County A – Public
2.61 AA Callaway 99.8% 41 Jordan AA
2.20 A – Public Atkinson County 79.9% 14 Wilcox County A – Public
1.97 AAAA LaFayette 50.4% 1 Gilmer AAAA
0.59 AA Butler 58.4% 4 Glenn Hills AA
-0.37 A – Public Charlton County 88.2% 20 Lanier County A – Public
-1.29 AAAAAAA Norcross 100.0% 42 Meadowcreek AAAAAAA
-1.41 AAAA Luella 97.2% 34 Henry County AAAA
-1.71 A – Private King’s Ridge Christian 55.0% 2 Christian Heritage A – Private
-2.59 AA Putnam County 71.1% 9 Social Circle AA
-3.28 AA Dade County 77.2% 12 Armuchee AA
-3.42 A – Public Towns County 77.0% 12 Providence Christian A – Private
-5.66 AAA Islands 71.3% 9 Groves AAA
-7.35 AAA Jenkins 98.6% 38 Beach AAA
-7.79 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 99.9% 42 Stone Mountain AAA
-8.50 A – Public Claxton 60.8% 5 Portal A – Public
-8.75 A – Public Crawford County 92.1% 24 Greenville A – Public
-8.81 AAAAA Loganville 99.8% 41 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAAA
-10.33 A – Public Schley County 86.7% 19 Central (Talbotton) A – Public
-11.39 A – Public Chattahoochee County 85.2% 18 Stewart County A – Public
-12.59 AA Harlem 84.1% 17 Westside (Augusta) AA
-13.26 A – Private Whitefield Academy 68.2% 8 North Cobb Christian A – Private
-14.03 A – Public Hawkinsville 93.1% 26 Pacelli A – Private
-15.38 AAA Calhoun 99.9% 42 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
-16.19 A – Private St. Francis 52.5% 1 Oglethorpe County AA
-18.25 A – Public Calhoun County 80.0% 14 Baconton Charter A – Public
-23.89 AAAA Burke County 99.9% 42 Hephzibah AAAA
-24.98 AA Coosa 97.9% 36 Gordon Central AA
-26.24 A – Private Wesleyan 99.9% 42 Fulton Leadership Academy A – Public
-31.07 AAA Haralson County 98.2% 37 Coahulla Creek AAA
-31.25 AA Douglass 99.8% 41 Clarkston AAAAA
-45.44 A – Other Glascock County 89.7% 22 Pataula Charter A – Other

 

Nov 05

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
34.32 AA Spencer 78.0% 13 Heard County AA
25.79 AAAAA Arabia Mountain 94.0% 27 Lithonia AAAAA
19.43 AAA Cedar Grove 97.7% 35 Redan AAA
6.36 A – Private Mount Vernon Presbyterian 86.2% 18 Strong Rock Christian A – Private
-19.96 AAA Savannah 98.9% 39 Johnson (Savannah) AAA

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