Maxwell Week 10 Projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell’s Georgia High School Football Archive.

Oct 20

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
52.91 AAAA Troup 54.4% 2 Cedartown AAAA
28.26 AAAAAA Lovejoy 93.4% 26 M.L. King AAAAAA
22.30 AAA Central (Macon) 77.4% 12 Rutland AAA
16.19 AA South Atlanta 50.5% 1 Washington AA
13.32 AAAAA Fayette County 93.1% 26 Morrow AAAAA

 

Oct 21

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
76.39 AAAAAA Valdosta 73.6% 10 Lee County AAAAAA
70.97 AAAAAA Harrison 73.8% 11 Dalton AAAAAA
70.35 AAAAAAA Parkview 57.4% 3 Brookwood AAAAAAA
70.15 AAAAAAA Colquitt County 82.6% 16 Tift County AAAAAAA
66.49 AAAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 86.4% 19 Coffee AAAAAA
66.01 AAAAAAA McEachern 87.4% 19 North Paulding AAAAAAA
65.01 AAAAAAA North Gwinnett 67.7% 8 Peachtree Ridge AAAAAAA
64.55 AAAAAAA Mill Creek 94.7% 28 Mountain View AAAAAAA
64.18 AAAAA Kell 69.4% 8 Carrollton AAAAA
64.11 AAAAAAA Woodstock 55.1% 2 Cherokee AAAAAAA
62.65 AAAAAAA Grayson 96.3% 32 Newton AAAAAAA
62.00 AAAAAAA Lassiter 72.5% 10 Walton AAAAAAA
60.57 AAAAAAA West Forsyth 70.7% 9 Lambert AAAAAAA
60.25 AAAAAA Alexander 80.6% 14 Creekside AAAAAA
59.40 AAAAAAA Roswell 97.9% 36 Etowah AAAAAAA
55.91 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 76.3% 12 Lovett AAA
55.77 AAAA Marist 57.4% 3 Blessed Trinity AAAA
55.63 AA Fitzgerald 75.7% 12 Brooks County AA
54.28 AAAAAAA Lowndes 93.6% 27 Camden County AAAAAAA
53.86 AAAAAAA South Gwinnett 81.0% 15 Shiloh AAAAAAA
53.22 AAAAA Thomas County Central 58.4% 4 Bainbridge AAAAA
53.05 AAAAAAA South Forsyth 78.4% 13 North Forsyth AAAAAAA
52.17 AAAAAA Effingham County 58.6% 4 Brunswick AAAAAA
51.81 AAAA Stephens County 61.0% 5 Oconee County AAAA
51.69 AAAAAAA Westlake 80.5% 14 Newnan AAAAAAA
50.78 AAAAA Jones County 74.2% 11 Ola AAAAA
50.67 AAAA Mary Persons 67.1% 7 West Laurens AAAA
49.65 AAAAAA Alpharetta 56.7% 3 Cambridge AAAAAA
49.51 AAAAAA Allatoona 82.6% 16 Sequoyah AAAAAA
49.26 AAAAAAA North Cobb 93.0% 26 Marietta AAAAAAA
48.89 AAAAAA Glynn Academy 89.4% 21 Richmond Hill AAAAAA
47.10 A – Private Wesleyan 62.3% 5 Landmark Christian A – Private
45.09 AAAAA Riverdale 64.5% 6 Whitewater AAAAA
44.55 AAA Calhoun 76.2% 12 Sonoraville AAA
43.86 AAAA Jefferson 83.3% 16 St. Pius X AAAA
43.17 AAAA Sandy Creek 87.2% 19 LaGrange AAAA
42.31 AAAAA Locust Grove 75.2% 11 Eagle’s Landing AAAAA
41.97 AAAAA East Paulding 54.3% 2 Hiram AAAAA
41.29 AAA Crisp County 84.3% 17 Cook AAA
41.23 AAAA Cartersville 98.4% 37 Chapel Hill AAAA
40.78 AAAAAA Tucker 96.1% 31 Drew AAAAAA
40.72 AAAAAAA East Coweta 90.2% 22 Pebblebrook AAAAAAA
40.22 AAAAAA Gainesville 72.7% 10 Winder-Barrow AAAAAA
39.55 AA Rabun County 89.0% 21 Elbert County AA
39.46 AAAAAA Dacula 81.6% 15 Habersham Central AAAAAA
39.39 AAAAA Cass 51.9% 1 Paulding County AAAAA
39.10 AAAAA Rome 95.9% 31 Villa Rica AAAAA
39.08 AAAA Cairo 84.8% 17 Westover AAAA
38.67 AAAAAAA Hillgrove 92.5% 25 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAAA
38.60 AAAA Hardaway 51.7% 1 Americus-Sumter AAAA
38.45 AAAAA Veterans 72.0% 10 Harris County AAAAA
38.42 AA Washington County 67.1% 7 Southwest AA
37.90 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 81.8% 15 Banneker AAAAA
37.55 AAA Pike County 52.0% 1 Westside (Macon) AAA
37.29 AAAA Carver (Columbus) 65.4% 7 Columbus AAAA
37.04 AAAA Woodward Academy 97.6% 35 Luella AAAA
36.41 AA Lamar County 57.1% 3 Spencer AA
35.74 AAAAAA Pope 61.7% 5 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
35.53 AAAA Ridgeland 87.3% 19 Pickens AAAA
35.24 AAAAAA Stephenson 89.4% 21 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAAAA
35.21 AAAAAA Mays 97.9% 36 South Paulding AAAAAA
34.67 AAAAAAA Milton 88.0% 20 Forsyth Central AAAAAAA
34.51 A – Public Dooly County 53.5% 2 Taylor County A – Public
34.11 AAAAAAA Archer 97.9% 36 Rockdale County AAAAAAA
33.80 A – Private Tattnall Square 88.7% 21 First Presbyterian A – Private
33.74 AAAA Spalding 86.0% 18 Perry AAAA
33.58 AAAAA Griffin 91.1% 23 McIntosh AAAAA
33.46 AAAAAA Mundy’s Mill 51.1% 1 Jonesboro AAAAAA
32.89 A – Private Fellowship Christian 84.5% 17 Mount Pisgah Christian A – Private
32.64 AA Hapeville Charter 66.0% 7 Douglass AA
32.48 AAAAA Southwest DeKalb 77.1% 12 Lithonia AAAAA
32.27 AAA Appling County 67.1% 7 Brantley County AAA
32.07 AAA Greater Atlanta Christian 98.1% 37 North Hall AAA
31.95 AAAAAA Sprayberry 82.0% 15 River Ridge AAAAAA
31.85 AAAAAA Northgate 96.6% 32 Tri-Cities AAAAAA
31.44 A – Private Aquinas 66.7% 7 Washington-Wilkes A – Public
31.08 AAAAA Clarke Central 82.2% 15 Flowery Branch AAAAA
30.85 AAAAAA Heritage (Conyers) 81.8% 15 Lakeside (Evans) AAAAAA
30.78 AAA Morgan County 63.2% 6 Hart County AAA
30.32 A – Public Lincoln County 69.4% 8 Greene County A – Public
29.74 AAAAA Riverwood 67.4% 7 North Springs AAAAA
29.17 A – Private Athens Academy 61.6% 5 George Walton Academy A – Private
29.09 AAAAAA Creekview 90.9% 23 South Cobb AAAAAA
28.86 AAAAA Loganville 94.0% 27 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
28.83 AAAA Burke County 91.2% 23 Baldwin AAAA
28.66 AAA Bremen 62.1% 5 Adairsville AAA
27.82 AAA Jenkins 69.1% 8 Savannah AAA
27.80 AAAAAA Evans 80.7% 14 Greenbrier AAAAAA
27.74 AAAAA Buford 99.5% 41 Walnut Grove AAAAA
27.42 AA K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate 61.2% 5 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
26.56 AAAA Northside (Columbus) 72.7% 10 Shaw AAAA
25.88 AAAAAA Northview 65.0% 6 North Atlanta AAAAAA
25.80 AAAAAA Hughes 98.1% 36 New Manchester AAAAAA
25.49 AAA Worth County 87.2% 19 Dougherty AAA
24.95 AAAA Salem 82.2% 15 North Clayton AAAA
24.52 A – Public Telfair County 55.4% 2 Charlton County A – Public
24.26 AAAAA Dutchtown 93.5% 26 Union Grove AAAAA
23.60 AAA Pierce County 89.3% 21 Tattnall County AAA
23.52 AA Vidalia 88.1% 20 Swainsboro AA
23.33 AAAA Upson-Lee 88.6% 21 Howard AAAA
23.15 AAAA Chestatee 51.8% 1 White County AAAA
23.05 AAA Dawson County 89.9% 22 East Hall AAA
22.75 AAAAA Ware County 98.8% 39 South Effingham AAAAA
22.39 A – Public Mount Zion (Carroll) 95.0% 29 Trion A – Public
20.41 AAAAAA Lanier 98.3% 37 Apalachee AAAAAA
20.21 AAAAA Grady 99.1% 40 Maynard Jackson AAAAA
20.13 AAAAA Columbia 58.4% 4 Miller Grove AAAAA
19.24 AAAAAAA Wheeler 96.5% 32 Campbell AAAAAAA
19.14 AA Toombs County 87.1% 19 Metter AA
18.70 AAAAAAA Discovery 61.0% 5 Duluth AAAAAAA
18.64 A – Public Warren County 54.9% 2 Hancock Central A – Public
18.57 A – Public Turner County 83.7% 16 Atkinson County A – Public
18.25 A – Public Randolph-Clay 71.5% 9 Miller County A – Public
18.15 AA Dublin 84.0% 17 Northeast AA
17.79 AA Benedictine 99.5% 41 Bacon County AA
17.78 AAAAA Stockbridge 99.7% 41 Hampton AAAAA
17.64 AA Rockmart 86.7% 19 Coosa AA
16.53 AAAA Madison County 92.4% 25 North Oconee AAAA
15.63 A – Private Our Lady of Mercy 72.6% 10 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A – Private
14.16 AAAAA Wayne County 87.8% 20 New Hampstead AAAAA
14.12 AAAA Thomson 99.7% 41 Cross Creek AAAA
13.97 AAA Peach County 98.7% 38 Kendrick AAA
13.79 AAA Redan 88.3% 20 Towers AAA
13.59 AA Bryan County 70.6% 9 Jeff Davis AA
13.13 AAAAA Arabia Mountain 98.2% 37 Chamblee AAAAA
12.54 AA Callaway 99.1% 40 Temple AA
12.47 AAAA Druid Hills 55.1% 2 Henry County AAAA
12.37 A – Public Emanuel County Institute 95.2% 29 Johnson County A – Public
12.13 AAA Lumpkin County 81.9% 15 Fannin County AAA
11.50 A – Public Macon County 98.7% 38 Hawkinsville A – Public
11.12 AA Screven County 92.5% 25 Josey AA
10.91 AAA Liberty County 98.1% 36 Long County AAA
10.46 AA Thomasville 94.7% 28 Albany AA
10.17 A – Public Crawford County 61.2% 5 Schley County A – Public
9.93 AA Heard County 94.3% 28 Jordan AA
9.70 A – Private Stratford Academy 96.2% 31 Wilkinson County A – Public
9.40 A – Public Wheeler County 64.3% 6 Treutlen A – Public
8.48 AAAAA Decatur 75.1% 11 Lithia Springs AAAAA
8.16 A – Public Twiggs County 98.0% 36 Mount de Sales A – Private
7.20 AAAAAAA Central Gwinnett 98.6% 38 Meadowcreek AAAAAAA
7.13 A – Private Eagle’s Landing Christian 99.4% 41 Strong Rock Christian A – Private
6.98 AA Laney 89.9% 22 Butler AA
6.20 A – Private Walker 57.7% 3 King’s Ridge Christian A – Private
6.11 AA Pepperell 98.5% 38 Dade County AA
5.72 AAAA Heritage (Ringgold) 91.0% 23 LaFayette AAAA
5.34 AA Dodge County 95.0% 29 East Laurens AA
4.63 A – Public Terrell County 81.9% 15 Chattahoochee County A – Public
4.59 AAAAAA Osborne 53.7% 2 Forest Park AAAAAA
4.57 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 97.3% 34 Gilmer AAAA
4.16 AAA Pace Academy 99.3% 40 McNair AAA
3.99 A – Public Irwin County 97.4% 34 Wilcox County A – Public
2.97 AAA Windsor Forest 62.9% 6 Islands AAA
2.56 A – Public Commerce 94.4% 28 Towns County A – Public
2.45 AAA East Jackson 58.6% 4 Haralson County AAA
1.94 A – Public Jenkins County 76.0% 12 Montgomery County A – Public
0.10 A – Private Darlington 99.0% 39 Christian Heritage A – Private
-0.41 A – Private Hebron Christian Academy 84.6% 17 Lakeview Academy A – Private
-0.66 A – Public Clinch County 99.5% 41 Lanier County A – Public
-2.95 AA Banks County 87.6% 20 Social Circle AA
-3.83 A – Other Georgia Military College 73.1% 10 Riverside Military Academy A – Private
-4.52 AAA Southeast Bulloch 94.5% 28 Groves AAA
-4.85 A – Private Pinecrest Academy 98.1% 36 Whitefield Academy A – Private
-5.02 AA Glenn Hills 76.2% 12 Westside (Augusta) AA
-5.76 AA Chattooga 98.4% 37 Armuchee AA
-6.14 A – Private Brookstone 91.7% 24 Central (Talbotton) A – Public
-8.23 A – Public Mitchell County 96.9% 33 Calhoun County A – Public
-8.25 AAAAAAA Norcross 100.0% 42 Berkmar AAAAAAA
-9.73 AAA Beach 72.3% 10 Johnson (Savannah) AAA
-12.16 AA Monticello 92.1% 24 Oglethorpe County AA
-12.30 A – Private Mount Paran Christian 99.7% 41 St. Francis A – Private
-13.29 A – Public Gordon Lee 96.8% 33 North Cobb Christian A – Private
-15.09 A – Private Athens Christian 98.5% 38 Providence Christian A – Private
-15.66 AAA Murray County 97.0% 33 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
-16.66 AAAA Richmond Academy 96.7% 33 Hephzibah AAAA
-18.09 A – Public Pelham 98.8% 39 Stewart County A – Public
-22.05 A – Public Seminole County 96.9% 33 Baconton Charter A – Public
-23.53 AA Model 99.8% 41 Gordon Central AA
-27.33 AAA North Murray 99.4% 41 Coahulla Creek AAA
-30.02 A – Private Holy Innocents 99.4% 40 Fulton Leadership Academy A – Public
-33.48 A – Other Glascock County 69.0% 8 Cross Keys AAAAA
-47.32 A – Other Webster County 68.7% 8 Pataula Charter A – Other

 

Oct 22

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
23.39 AAAAAA Centennial 96.4% 32 Dunwoody AAAAAA
-4.90 AAA Cedar Grove 99.8% 41 Stone Mountain AAA

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