Maxwell Week 5 Projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell’s Georgia High School Football Archive.

Sep 15

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
51.10 AAAAAA Houston County 91.2% 23 Warner Robins AAAAA
47.30 AAAAAA M.L. King 63.6% 6 Mundy’s Mill AAAAAA
24.15 AAA Crisp County 93.0% 26 Rutland AAA
7.07 AAA Savannah 73.5% 10 Groves AAA

 

Sep 16

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
81.17 AAAAAAA Archer 50.8% 1 Norcross AAAAAAA
75.34 AAAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 54.6% 2 Ware County AAAAA
75.14 AAAAAAA Colquitt County 73.3% 10 Brookwood AAAAAAA
70.11 AAAAAAA Lowndes 75.4% 11 Newton AAAAAAA
69.70 AAAAAAA North Cobb 51.4% 1 East Coweta AAAAAAA
69.69 AAAAAAA Parkview 57.5% 3 Tift County AAAAAAA
69.62 AAAAAAA McEachern 88.9% 21 Westlake AAAAAAA
69.28 AAAA Woodward Academy 54.9% 2 Marist AAAA
68.32 AAAAAA Creekside 54.2% 2 Northgate AAAAAA
66.89 AAAAAA Dacula 62.6% 5 West Forsyth AAAAAAA
66.38 AAAAAAA Etowah 61.9% 5 Milton AAAAAAA
65.87 AAAAAA Valdosta 90.3% 22 Thomas County Central AAAAA
65.35 AAA Greater Atlanta Christian 75.3% 11 St. Pius X AAAA
63.24 AAA Lovett 56.4% 3 Cedar Grove AAA
62.04 AAAAAAA Camden County 67.5% 8 Brunswick AAAAAA
60.93 AAAAAAA Walton 61.5% 5 Wheeler AAAAAAA
60.58 AAAAAAA North Paulding 65.7% 7 Woodstock AAAAAAA
59.38 AAAAAA Stephenson 69.4% 8 Lovejoy AAAAAA
59.06 AAAAA Jones County 73.2% 10 Woodland (Stockbridge) AAAAA
58.39 AAAA Mary Persons 53.6% 2 Peach County AAA
58.15 AAAAAAA Lassiter 82.1% 15 Marietta AAAAAAA
58.07 AAAAAAA Shiloh 51.5% 1 Mountain View AAAAAAA
57.38 AAAAAA Lanier 59.4% 4 Lambert AAAAAAA
56.37 AAAAA Kell 83.6% 16 Paulding County AAAAA
55.78 AAAA Sandy Creek 90.4% 22 Starr’s Mill AAAAA
54.63 AAAAAA Centennial 68.4% 8 Johns Creek AAAAAA
53.85 AAAAA Carrollton 82.4% 16 East Paulding AAAAA
52.73 AAAAAA Dalton 87.0% 19 Sprayberry AAAAAA
51.76 AA Callaway 74.1% 11 Upson-Lee AAAA
51.41 AAAA Blessed Trinity 91.9% 24 Hart County AAA
50.68 AAAAAA Douglas County 72.8% 10 South Paulding AAAAAA
49.94 AAAA Cairo 74.7% 11 Hardaway AAAA
48.58 AAAAA Loganville 61.7% 5 Winder-Barrow AAAAAA
48.04 AAA Appling County 50.0% 0 Wayne County AAAAA
47.98 AA Washington County 52.7% 1 Evans AAAAAA
47.67 AAAAAA Creekview 84.7% 17 Sequoyah AAAAAA
47.09 AAAA Oconee County 73.8% 11 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
46.50 AAAAA Hiram 63.8% 6 Cass AAAAA
46.36 AA Brooks County 85.9% 18 Pierce County AAA
45.81 AAA Worth County 58.8% 4 Thomasville AA
45.78 A – Public Clinch County 65.0% 6 Irwin County A – Public
45.58 AAAA Jefferson 87.6% 20 Flowery Branch AAAAA
45.10 AAAAAA Alpharetta 85.2% 18 Northview AAAAAA
44.76 AAAAA Dutchtown 70.7% 9 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAAA
42.98 AAAAA Whitewater 54.5% 2 Chapel Hill AAAA
42.75 AAAAA Stockbridge 96.3% 32 Ola AAAAA
42.63 AA Jefferson County 84.1% 17 Laney AA
42.56 AAAAAA Mays 96.7% 32 New Manchester AAAAAA
42.41 AAAAAA Tucker 96.6% 32 Jonesboro AAAAAA
42.34 A – Public Marion County 58.9% 4 Lamar County AA
42.27 AAAAAAA North Forsyth 75.1% 11 Pickens AAAA
42.26 AAAAAA Hughes 93.5% 26 Tri-Cities AAAAAA
41.57 AAAAAA Lee County 96.7% 33 Luella AAAA
40.58 AAAAA Harris County 75.8% 12 Perry AAAA
40.50 AAAAA Miller Grove 70.4% 9 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAAA
40.50 AAAA Stephens County 80.1% 14 Habersham Central AAAAAA
40.42 AAAA West Laurens 83.7% 16 South Effingham AAAAA
39.68 AAAAAA Richmond Hill 78.9% 13 Grovetown AAAAAA
39.47 AAAAAA Effingham County 85.7% 18 Statesboro AAAAA
39.36 AAAAA Bainbridge 86.6% 19 Early County AA
39.35 AAAAAA Allatoona 95.7% 30 South Cobb AAAAAA
38.88 AAAA West Hall 61.1% 5 Dawson County AAA
38.79 AAAA Westover 61.5% 5 Americus-Sumter AAAA
38.71 AA Heard County 62.1% 5 Central (Carrollton) AAAA
38.40 AAAAAAA Forsyth Central 64.2% 6 Duluth AAAAAAA
38.17 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 91.4% 24 Redan AAA
37.97 AAAAA Griffin 95.6% 30 Baldwin AAAA
37.81 AAAAAA Cambridge 83.4% 16 Pope AAAAAA
36.99 AAAA Carver (Columbus) 86.9% 19 Northside (Columbus) AAAA
36.08 AAA Ringgold 53.3% 2 Adairsville AAA
35.87 AAAAAA Drew 80.4% 14 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAAAA
35.60 AAAA Shaw 53.4% 2 Columbus AAAA
35.37 AAAA Cartersville 99.4% 41 Hapeville Charter AA
34.50 AAAAA Veterans 83.0% 16 Howard AAAA
32.98 A – Public Bowdon 71.8% 10 Trion A – Public
32.40 AAAA Spalding 94.4% 28 Southwest AA
31.83 AA Elbert County 88.2% 20 Franklin County AAA
31.81 AA Fitzgerald 97.5% 35 Rockdale County AAAAAAA
31.61 AA Vidalia 89.4% 21 Metter AA
30.55 AAAAA Clarke Central 88.6% 20 North Oconee AAAA
30.24 AAAAAA Harrison 98.3% 37 River Ridge AAAAAA
30.12 AA Dodge County 88.2% 20 Dooly County A – Public
29.78 AAAAAAA Newnan 95.7% 30 Washington AA
29.76 AAA Cook 86.4% 19 Berrien AA
29.59 AAAA Chestatee 51.6% 1 Lumpkin County AAA
29.38 AAAAAA Chattahoochee 71.6% 9 North Atlanta AAAAAA
29.36 AAAAA Riverdale 86.4% 19 Henry County AAAA
29.32 AAAAA Riverwood 89.0% 21 Banneker AAAAA
28.87 A – Private Eagle’s Landing Christian 97.7% 35 Holy Innocents A – Private
28.71 A – Public Greene County 57.7% 3 Twiggs County A – Public
28.55 AA Benedictine 99.3% 40 Swainsboro AA
28.29 AAA North Hall 89.3% 21 White County AAAA
28.09 A – Private Darlington 87.8% 20 Gordon Lee A – Public
27.52 AAA Bremen 68.8% 8 Murray County AAA
27.18 AAAAAA Greenbrier 51.4% 1 Richmond Academy AAAA
27.08 AAAAAAA Hillgrove 98.0% 36 Campbell AAAAAAA
26.96 AAAAA Fayette County 88.7% 21 Pike County AAA
25.87 A – Private First Presbyterian 86.8% 19 Warren County A – Public
25.63 AAA East Hall 51.4% 1 Jackson County AAA
25.49 AAAAA Locust Grove 95.0% 29 Union Grove AAAAA
25.19 AA Bryan County 59.5% 4 Toombs County AA
25.02 AAAAA Lithonia 74.7% 11 Meadowcreek AAAAAAA
24.63 AAAAAAA Pebblebrook 88.7% 21 Berkmar AAAAAAA
24.53 A – Public Charlton County 74.8% 11 Atkinson County A – Public
24.52 AAA Tattnall County 72.7% 10 Bradwell Institute AAAAAA
24.22 AA Spencer 83.5% 16 Dougherty AAA
23.27 A – Public Turner County 78.1% 13 Telfair County A – Public
23.08 AAAAA Grady 97.8% 36 Lithia Springs AAAAA
22.98 AAAA Madison County 92.3% 25 Monroe Area AAA
22.78 A – Private Wesleyan 95.3% 29 Our Lady of Mercy A – Private
22.74 A – Public Johnson County 71.3% 9 Savannah Country Day A – Private
22.28 A – Public Hancock Central 50.1% 0 Wilkinson County A – Public
22.21 AAA Union County 79.4% 14 Banks County AA
21.90 A – Public McIntosh County Academy 84.8% 17 Jenkins County A – Public
21.31 A – Private Aquinas 92.0% 24 Mount de Sales A – Private
20.70 AAAAA Decatur 81.5% 15 North Springs AAAAA
20.29 AA Chattooga 64.7% 6 Coosa AA
20.28 AA Model 96.0% 31 Dade County AA
19.77 AAAA Southeast Whitfield 55.1% 2 Christian Heritage A – Private
19.50 AAA Morgan County 84.9% 17 Putnam County AA
19.28 AAAAA Walnut Grove 80.2% 14 Apalachee AAAAAA
18.88 AAA Central (Macon) 92.0% 24 Northeast AA
18.88 AAAA Salem 92.5% 25 Chamblee AAAAA
18.80 A – Public Hawkinsville 73.0% 10 Schley County A – Public
18.64 A – Public Manchester 94.1% 27 Jordan AA
17.66 AAAAA Villa Rica 96.0% 31 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
17.66 A – Public Seminole County 84.7% 17 Terrell County A – Public
16.81 AA Bacon County 69.3% 8 Jeff Davis AA
16.18 A – Private Savannah Christian 93.3% 26 Treutlen A – Public
16.01 AAAAA Eagle’s Landing 96.0% 31 Hampton AAAAA
15.56 AAAAAAA Kennesaw Mountain 93.0% 26 Osborne AAAAAA
14.99 A – Private Pinecrest Academy 92.4% 25 Walker A – Private
14.43 AAA Jackson 94.8% 28 Monticello AA
13.23 AA Screven County 95.2% 29 Butler AA
11.85 A – Private Fellowship Christian 94.4% 28 St. Francis A – Private
10.97 A – Private Tattnall Square 88.5% 20 Pacelli A – Private
10.52 AAA Monroe 98.0% 36 Albany AA
10.20 AAAAA New Hampstead 66.1% 7 Long County AAA
10.03 AAAAAA Glynn Academy 99.9% 41 East Jackson AAA
9.88 A – Private Landmark Christian 97.9% 36 Strong Rock Christian A – Private
9.59 A – Private Mount Paran Christian 96.5% 32 King’s Ridge Christian A – Private
9.50 AA South Atlanta 67.4% 7 Forest Park AAAAAA
9.10 AA Josey 65.3% 7 Westside (Augusta) AA
8.64 AA Harlem 56.0% 3 Glenn Hills AA
8.51 AAA Beach 65.0% 6 Windsor Forest AAA
8.41 AAA Pace Academy 99.5% 41 Stone Mountain AAA
5.96 AAA North Murray 89.9% 22 Haralson County AAA
5.58 AAA Jenkins 97.5% 35 Johnson (Savannah) AAA
3.93 A – Public Emanuel County Institute 98.5% 38 Claxton A – Public
3.63 A – Public Wilcox County 84.6% 17 Lanier County A – Public
2.15 A – Private Riverside Military Academy 51.6% 1 Towns County A – Public
1.42 A – Other Georgia Military College 63.4% 6 Oglethorpe County AA
-0.06 AA Rockmart 93.5% 26 Armuchee AA
-1.43 A – Public Mount Zion (Carroll) 97.9% 36 North Cobb Christian A – Private
-5.20 A – Public Crawford County 91.7% 24 Central (Talbotton) A – Public
-5.36 A – Public Pelham 93.5% 26 Calhoun County A – Public
-6.08 AAA Southeast Bulloch 98.5% 38 Islands AAA
-7.31 A – Public Miller County 92.4% 25 Baconton Charter A – Public
-7.81 A – Private Calvary Day 99.7% 41 Montgomery County A – Public
-7.89 AAA Calhoun 99.9% 42 Coahulla Creek AAA
-10.14 AAAA Druid Hills 97.5% 35 Clarkston AAAAA
-11.90 AAA Sonoraville 99.4% 41 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
-13.84 AA Pepperell 99.4% 41 Gordon Central AA
-18.68 A – Public Randolph-Clay 96.7% 33 Stewart County A – Public
-20.03 A – Private Mount Vernon Presbyterian 97.3% 34 Fulton Leadership Academy A – Public
-24.24 A – Public Wheeler County 94.2% 27 Glascock County A – Other

 

Sep 17

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
37.78 AAA Westside (Macon) 73.7% 11 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
34.25 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 93.3% 26 Maynard Jackson AAAAA
14.82 A – Public Mitchell County 80.2% 14 Chattahoochee County A – Public
10.92 AAA McNair 69.1% 8 Towers AAA

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