Maxwell Semifinal Playoff Projections

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a simulation of the 2014 playoff brackets.  The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the playoff brackets.


Class AAAAAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth Finals Champion Odds
Colquitt County R1 – 1 1 (13-0) 102.83 82.23 1.62 871,468 749,292 0.33
Archer R8 – 1 2 (10-3) 86.73 88.58 0.89 729,877 159,943 5.25
McEachern R4 – 2 5 (10-3) 84.53 95.55 0.19 128,532 62,953 14.88
Etowah R5 – 2 12 (11-2) 77.63 94.39 0.30 270,123 27,812 34.96

 

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
1-AAAAAA 749,292 0.33
8-AAAAAA 159,943 5.25
4-AAAAAA 62,953 14.88
5-AAAAAA 27,812 34.96

 

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.


Class AAAAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth Finals Champion Odds
Allatoona R5 – 1 1 (13-0) 82.55 73.18 1.20 685,033 512,351 0.95
Mays R6 – 3 4 (11-2) 73.96 75.57 0.79 592,908 199,486 4.01
Northside (Warner Robins) R2 – 1 2 (12-1) 74.78 77.71 0.50 314,967 182,176 4.49
Stockbridge R4 – 1 5 (11-2) 69.36 76.61 0.51 407,092 105,987 8.44

 

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
5-AAAAA 512,351 0.95
6-AAAAA 199,486 4.01
2-AAAAA 182,176 4.49
4-AAAAA 105,987 8.44

 

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.


Class AAAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth Finals Champion Odds
Buford R8 – 1 1 (13-0) 94.69 72.86 1.68 876,749 803,979 0.24
Cartersville R7 – 1 2 (12-1) 75.07 82.67 0.20 123,251 75,025 12.33
Woodward Academy R5 – 1 4 (11-2) 71.33 80.03 0.61 536,933 68,486 13.60
St. Pius X R6 – 1 6 (11-2) 69.85 80.82 0.52 463,067 52,510 18.04

 

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
8-AAAA 803,979 0.24
7-AAAA 75,025 12.33
5-AAAA 68,486 13.60
6-AAAA 52,510 18.04

 

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.


Class AAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth Finals Champion Odds
Blessed Trinity R4 – 1 1 (13-0) 84.95 76.72 1.12 640,377 476,647 1.10
Washington County R3 – 1 2 (13-0) 79.18 79.61 0.58 359,623 223,153 3.48
Calhoun R6 – 1 5 (13-0) 74.64 78.42 0.68 519,740 160,096 5.25
Westminster (Atlanta) R4 – 3 4 (12-1) 74.69 79.62 0.62 480,260 140,104 6.14

 

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
4-AAA 616,751 0.62
3-AAA 223,153 3.48
6-AAA 160,096 5.25

 

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.


Class AA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth Finals Champion Odds
Greater Atlanta Christian R6 – 1 1 (13-0) 79.19 62.89 1.44 830,194 607,029 0.65
Benedictine R2 – 2 3 (11-2) 71.79 66.18 1.15 842,374 310,792 2.22
Fitzgerald R1 – 1 5 (12-1) 63.32 73.63 0.23 169,806 64,587 14.48
Brooks County R1 – 2 6 (10-3) 55.03 74.56 0.18 157,626 17,592 55.84

 

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
6-AA 607,029 0.65
2-AA 310,792 2.22
1-AA 82,179 11.17

 

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.


Class A – Public

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth Finals Champion Odds
Marion County R4 – 1 2 (12-0) 59.58 51.97 1.11 655,657 453,480 1.21
Irwin County R2 – 2 4 (10-1-1) 54.19 49.01 1.18 833,550 341,832 1.93
Hawkinsville R4 – 4 5 (11-1) 53.98 56.31 0.53 344,343 183,593 4.45
Commerce R8 – 6 16 (10-2) 38.92 55.58 0.19 166,450 21,094 46.41

 

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
4-A 637,074 0.57
2-A 341,832 1.93
8-A 21,094 46.41

 

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.


Class A – Private

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth Finals Champion Odds
Mount Paran Christian R6 – 3 1 (12-0) 66.40 53.67 1.41 797,219 610,687 0.64
Calvary Day R3 – 1 3 (12-0) 55.91 55.92 0.89 661,055 228,451 3.38
Aquinas R7 – 2 6 (12-0) 51.87 60.81 0.29 202,781 89,864 10.13
Eagle’s Landing Christian R5 – 5 8 (6-6) 50.07 60.52 0.41 338,945 70,998 13.08

 

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
6-A 610,687 0.64
3-A 228,451 3.38
7-A 89,864 10.13
5-A 70,998 13.08

 

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.


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