Maxwell Quarterfinals Playoff Projections

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a simulation of the 2014 playoff brackets.  The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the playoff brackets.


Class AAAAAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth Semi Finals Champion Odds
Colquitt County R1 – 1 1 (12-0) 104.77 81.57 2.44 916,445 797,787 729,378 0.37
Archer R8 – 1 4 (9-3) 84.80 82.52 1.39 724,721 558,296 108,327 8.23
Tucker R2 – 1 2 (10-2) 87.72 87.41 0.92 692,748 136,199 91,792 9.89
Milton R5 – 1 7 (11-1) 80.82 90.79 0.13 83,555 32,959 17,165 57.26
Etowah R5 – 2 16 (10-2) 74.81 84.98 0.82 608,259 191,163 16,442 59.82
McEachern R4 – 2 8 (9-3) 80.37 90.87 0.36 307,252 33,055 16,325 60.26
Hillgrove R4 – 1 15 (9-3) 75.12 87.58 0.44 275,279 154,666 14,541 67.77
Newton R2 – 3 21 (7-3) 71.19 86.71 0.49 391,741 95,875 6,030 164.84

 

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
1-AAAAAA 729,378 0.37
8-AAAAAA 108,327 8.23
2-AAAAAA 97,821 9.22
5-AAAAAA 33,608 28.75
4-AAAAAA 30,866 31.40

 

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.


Class AAAAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth Semi Finals Champion Odds
Allatoona R5 – 1 1 (12-0) 83.15 66.58 2.09 889,141 667,454 531,018 0.88
Northside (Warner Robins) R2 – 1 2 (11-1) 74.22 70.58 1.21 779,542 267,592 165,305 5.05
Mays R6 – 3 4 (10-2) 73.22 71.86 1.20 659,260 401,129 136,312 6.34
Houston County R2 – 2 5 (10-2) 69.71 72.22 0.95 583,219 284,520 77,618 11.88
Stockbridge R4 – 1 9 (10-2) 65.57 72.87 0.61 416,781 162,013 34,944 27.62
Jones County R2 – 3 7 (10-2) 66.62 74.06 0.53 340,740 152,338 33,404 28.94
Gainesville R8 – 2 13 (10-2) 63.11 75.73 0.16 110,859 33,320 11,463 86.24
Glynn Academy R3 – 3 15 (9-3) 62.37 75.68 0.26 220,458 31,634 9,937 99.64

 

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
5-AAAAA 531,018 0.88
2-AAAAA 276,326 2.62
6-AAAAA 136,312 6.34
4-AAAAA 34,944 27.62
8-AAAAA 11,463 86.24
3-AAAAA 9,937 99.64

 

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.


Class AAAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth Semi Finals Champion Odds
Buford R8 – 1 1 (12-0) 91.07 70.50 2.29 854,209 752,121 686,828 0.46
Woodward Academy R5 – 1 5 (10-2) 70.04 71.64 1.14 655,657 408,425 79,459 11.59
Cartersville R7 – 1 3 (11-1) 71.74 75.30 0.69 535,440 93,640 57,139 16.50
St. Pius X R6 – 1 6 (10-2) 67.36 70.93 1.10 704,954 344,246 55,366 17.06
Marist R6 – 1 2 (11-1) 73.39 77.14 0.28 145,791 81,266 52,644 18.00
Sandy Creek R5 – 2 4 (11-1) 71.10 76.56 0.58 464,560 72,973 42,091 22.76
North Oconee R8 – 2 7 (9-3) 64.38 75.36 0.53 344,343 161,940 19,584 50.06
West Laurens R2 – 1 11 (9-3) 58.65 73.83 0.39 295,046 85,389 6,888 144.17

 

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
8-AAAA 706,412 0.42
5-AAAA 121,550 7.23
6-AAAA 108,010 8.26
7-AAAA 57,139 16.50
2-AAAA 6,888 144.17

 

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.


Class AAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth Semi Finals Champion Odds
Blessed Trinity R4 – 1 1 (12-0) 81.07 74.80 1.22 597,726 368,771 255,014 2.92
Washington County R3 – 1 2 (12-0) 77.79 69.47 1.56 895,388 410,318 254,419 2.93
Calhoun R6 – 1 4 (12-0) 75.89 69.37 1.61 831,178 542,557 233,842 3.28
Jefferson R8 – 1 3 (12-0) 77.11 76.14 0.74 402,274 211,380 127,774 6.83
Westminster (Atlanta) R4 – 1 5 (11-1) 71.19 72.69 0.96 604,679 270,352 87,303 10.45
Hart County R8 – 2 6 (11-1) 67.72 74.81 0.57 395,321 141,033 33,714 28.66
Elbert County R8 – 3 8 (9-3) 60.73 75.57 0.22 168,822 46,058 6,285 158.10
Pierce County R1 – 2 11 (10-2) 57.10 77.40 0.12 104,612 9,532 1,649 605.38

 

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
4-AAA 342,317 1.92
3-AAA 254,419 2.93
6-AAA 233,842 3.28
8-AAA 167,773 4.96
1-AAA 1,649 605.38

 

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.


Class AA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth Semi Finals Champion Odds
Greater Atlanta Christian R6 – 1 1 (12-0) 75.32 66.23 1.26 526,475 420,643 312,863 2.20
Vidalia R2 – 1 2 (12-0) 74.26 66.59 1.11 473,525 370,215 267,965 2.73
Benedictine R2 – 2 3 (10-2) 68.69 60.17 1.23 580,786 467,104 184,998 4.41
Lovett R6 – 1 4 (9-3) 64.65 61.58 0.84 419,214 314,150 102,371 8.77
Fitzgerald R1 – 1 5 (11-1) 62.79 61.94 1.19 886,854 204,961 95,999 9.42
Brooks County R1 – 2 6 (9-3) 55.85 58.63 1.13 883,706 214,028 35,203 27.41
Pace Academy R6 – 1 10 (7-5) 42.20 65.90 0.12 113,146 4,181 471 2,119.99
Heard County R5 – 2 22 (7-5) 35.57 65.39 0.12 116,294 4,718 129 7,764.24

 

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
2-AA 452,963 1.21
6-AA 415,706 1.41
1-AA 131,202 6.62
5-AA 129 7,764.24

 

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.


Class A – Public

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth Semi Finals Champion Odds
Marion County R4 – 1 2 (11-0) 57.47 45.41 1.87 864,947 591,183 418,159 1.39
Irwin County R2 – 2 3 (9-1-1) 53.40 41.67 1.63 725,717 613,319 287,730 2.48
Hawkinsville R4 – 4 5 (10-1) 52.37 49.87 1.04 627,148 260,925 149,798 5.68
Charlton County R2 – 1 10 (10-1) 46.39 50.23 0.54 372,852 114,247 53,248 17.78
Dooly County R4 – 1 12 (8-3) 42.89 46.86 0.50 274,283 181,842 46,552 20.48
Commerce R8 – 6 16 (9-2) 38.98 43.75 1.03 802,501 189,227 33,662 28.71
Mount Zion (Carroll) R6 – 8 15 (8-3) 39.68 52.75 0.18 135,053 33,644 9,975 99.25
Calhoun County R1 – 14 35 (8-3) 25.74 48.70 0.21 197,499 15,612 876 1,140.11

 

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
4-A 614,508 0.63
2-A 340,979 1.93
8-A 33,662 28.71
6-A 9,975 99.25
1-A 876 1,140.11

 

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.


Class A – Private

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth Semi Finals Champion Odds
Mount Paran Christian R6 – 3 1 (11-0) 63.91 49.02 2.01 814,724 662,701 530,732 0.88
Calvary Day R3 – 1 4 (11-0) 53.01 49.36 1.32 671,064 471,711 179,519 4.57
Aquinas R7 – 2 6 (11-0) 50.64 50.11 1.01 706,408 198,739 105,209 8.50
Eagle’s Landing Christian R5 – 5 8 (5-6) 47.58 49.79 1.08 714,226 294,966 74,672 12.39
Savannah Christian R3 – 6 7 (10-1) 49.88 54.40 0.33 185,276 97,966 48,823 19.48
Mount Pisgah Christian R6 – 9 9 (8-3) 46.66 53.04 0.54 328,936 172,846 40,237 23.85
Tattnall Square R7 – 7 13 (10-1) 42.64 52.32 0.35 293,592 40,594 13,476 73.21
Prince Avenue Christian R8 – 4 17 (9-2) 37.64 52.34 0.35 285,774 60,477 7,333 135.37

 

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
6-A 570,969 0.75
3-A 228,342 3.38
7-A 118,685 7.43
5-A 74,672 12.39
8-A 7,333 135.37

 

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.


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