Maxwell Week 9 Projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell’s Georgia High School Football Archive.

Oct 16

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
59.36 AAAAA Houston County 50.6% 1 Jones County AAAAA
58.71 AAAA Sandy Creek 94.1% 27 Troup AAAA
50.82 AAAA Westover 53.4% 2 Worth County AAAA
29.09 AAAA Maynard Jackson 75.6% 11 North Clayton AAA
26.99 AAAAA Starr’s Mill 91.1% 23 Morrow AAAAA
20.08 AAAA Pike County 72.4% 10 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAA
18.91 AA Groves 51.3% 1 Long County AA
16.74 AAAAA Northside (Columbus) 88.1% 20 Hardaway AAAAA

 

Oct 17

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
83.09 AAAAAA Colquitt County 90.7% 23 Valdosta AAAAAA
72.85 AAAAAA Grayson 86.7% 19 Central Gwinnett AAAAAA
71.30 AAAAAA Lowndes 85.4% 18 Lee County AAAAAA
69.98 AAAAAA Milton 83.0% 16 Walton AAAAAA
68.59 AAA Blessed Trinity 71.4% 9 Westminster (Atlanta) AAA
67.92 AAAAAA Camden County 77.4% 12 Tift County AAAAAA
66.12 AAAA Thomas County Central 51.6% 1 Cairo AAAA
65.90 AAAAAA Roswell 67.3% 7 Woodstock AAAAAA
65.38 AAAAAA North Cobb 72.6% 10 Marietta AAAAAA
64.64 AAAAAA Parkview 61.0% 5 South Gwinnett AAAAAA
62.98 AA Benedictine 55.1% 2 Vidalia AA
61.24 AAAAAA Westlake 60.6% 5 Douglas County AAAAAA
61.23 AAAAA Coffee 79.8% 14 Brunswick AAAAA
60.26 AAAAAA McEachern 93.4% 26 North Paulding AAAAAA
59.89 AAAAAA Dacula 92.0% 24 Brookwood AAAAAA
59.73 AA Brooks County 63.4% 6 Fitzgerald AA
59.17 AAAAAA Archer 88.8% 21 Shiloh AAAAAA
58.73 AAAAA Drew 59.7% 4 Mundy’s Mill AAAAA
58.25 AAAAA Allatoona 91.7% 24 Hiram AAAAA
57.75 AAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 83.7% 16 Warner Robins AAAAA
57.26 AAAAAA Hughes 91.4% 23 South Cobb AAAAAA
56.26 AAAAA Creekside 86.0% 18 Tri-Cities AAAAA
55.91 AAAAA New Manchester 68.8% 8 Paulding County AAAAA
55.29 AAAAAA South Forsyth 71.9% 10 West Forsyth AAAAAA
54.93 AAAA Mary Persons 73.1% 10 Upson-Lee AAAA
54.69 AAAAAA Northview 62.7% 5 Lambert AAAAAA
54.59 AAAA Marist 83.1% 16 Grady AAAA
54.44 AAAAAA Cherokee 84.1% 17 Lassiter AAAAAA
53.98 A Hawkinsville 61.9% 5 Marion County A
52.98 AAAAA Gainesville 86.5% 19 Clarke Central AAAAA
52.73 AAAAAA Wheeler 69.5% 8 Pope AAAAAA
52.19 AAAAAA Hillgrove 93.9% 27 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAA
51.49 AAAAA Ware County 94.7% 28 Effingham County AAAAA
50.76 AAAAA Alexander 82.7% 16 Villa Rica AAAAA
50.32 AAAA West Laurens 72.4% 10 Baldwin AAAA
49.95 AAAA Woodward Academy 88.9% 21 Fayette County AAAA
48.89 AAAA Whitewater 79.9% 14 Carrollton AAAA
48.84 AAAAA Salem 62.6% 5 Loganville AAAAA
48.37 AAAAA Luella 50.6% 1 Dutchtown AAAAA
47.85 AAAA North Oconee 76.6% 12 White County AAAA
47.77 AAAAA Lanier 88.7% 21 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAA
47.61 AAAAAA Alpharetta 93.6% 27 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
47.10 AAA Cook 51.0% 1 Appling County AAA
47.04 AAAAA Stephenson 88.2% 20 Druid Hills AAAAA
47.01 AAAAA Sequoyah 64.5% 6 Creekview AAAAA
45.44 AAA Peach County 91.5% 24 Jackson AAA
45.02 AA Macon County 54.6% 2 Bleckley County AA
44.92 AAAA Griffin 96.7% 33 Spalding AAAA
44.71 AAAAA Stockbridge 82.2% 15 Ola AAAAA
44.63 AAAAA Woodland (Stockbridge) 60.3% 4 Union Grove AAAAA
44.38 AAAA Cartersville 94.0% 27 Northwest Whitfield AAAA
44.32 AA Thomasville 81.7% 15 Berrien AA
44.17 AAAA Eagle’s Landing 70.6% 9 Locust Grove AAAA
43.62 AAAAA Sprayberry 80.6% 14 Forsyth Central AAAAA
43.51 AAAAA Miller Grove 65.2% 7 M. L. King AAAAA
42.81 AAAAA Richmond Hill 50.6% 1 South Effingham AAAAA
42.63 AAAAAA Newnan 70.6% 9 Campbell AAAAAA
42.08 AAAAA Kell 92.7% 25 Riverwood AAAAA
39.97 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 94.5% 28 Shaw AAAAA
38.72 AAAAA Lakeside (Evans) 88.5% 20 Grovetown AAAAA
38.50 A Charlton County 72.8% 10 Wilcox County A
38.24 AAAAA Southwest DeKalb 88.4% 20 Dunwoody AAAAA
37.53 AAAA Veterans 60.4% 4 Perry AAAA
37.19 AAAAA Evans 85.6% 18 Richmond Academy AAAAA
36.76 AAAAA East Paulding 94.2% 27 Lithia Springs AAAAA
36.60 AA Early County 59.6% 4 Pelham AA
36.50 AAAA Eastside 84.1% 17 Henry County AAAA
36.24 AAAA Thomson 76.6% 12 Liberty County AAAA
35.97 AAAAA Winder-Barrow 82.6% 16 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
35.94 A Tattnall Square 78.5% 13 First Presbyterian A
35.91 AAAAAA Johns Creek 53.3% 2 North Forsyth AAAAAA
35.82 AAAAAA East Coweta 94.3% 28 Pebblebrook AAAAAA
35.77 AA Screven County 77.6% 13 Swainsboro AA
35.69 AAA Ringgold 83.6% 16 Sonoraville AAA
35.28 AAAAA Flowery Branch 67.4% 7 Apalachee AAAAA
35.24 AA Model 73.5% 10 Coosa AA
35.22 AA Union County 75.5% 11 Rabun County AA
34.99 A Mount Pisgah Christian 57.7% 3 Pinecrest Academy A
34.57 AAA Oconee County 66.5% 7 Morgan County AAA
34.25 AAAA Madison County 68.8% 8 North Hall AAAA
34.21 AAAAA Mays 97.1% 34 Banneker AAAAA
33.67 AAAA Gilmer 91.3% 23 Southeast Whitfield AAAA
33.21 AAAA Buford 99.8% 41 Monroe Area AAAA
32.34 AAAAA Dalton 97.7% 35 River Ridge AAAAA
32.33 AA Lamar County 92.1% 24 Northeast AA
32.00 AAAA Jonesboro 76.6% 12 Riverdale AAAA
31.02 AAAAA Statesboro 76.7% 12 Bradwell Institute AAAAA
30.68 AAAA Stephens County 90.0% 22 Chestatee AAAA
30.35 AAAAA Cambridge 89.0% 21 North Springs AAAAA
29.96 AAA Hart County 97.1% 34 Jackson County AAA
29.48 A Lincoln County 55.4% 2 Hancock Central A
28.80 AAA Southwest 52.6% 1 Central (Macon) AAA
28.49 AAAAA Harris County 97.0% 33 Columbus AAAAA
28.35 A Telfair County 56.6% 3 Atkinson County A
27.87 AAA Cedar Grove 95.8% 31 Towers AAA
27.83 AAA Pierce County 90.5% 22 Toombs County AAA
27.71 AAAAA Rome 84.7% 17 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
27.55 AA Heard County 59.9% 4 Manchester AA
27.12 AAAA Ridgeland 90.7% 23 Heritage (Ringgold) AAAA
27.08 AAAAA South Paulding 98.6% 38 Chapel Hill AAAAA
26.83 AAA Washington 86.2% 18 Therrell AAA
26.62 AAA Callaway 90.8% 23 Rockmart AAA
26.62 AAAA St. Pius X 98.3% 37 Chamblee AAAA
26.39 AAA Rutland 56.4% 3 Spencer AAA
26.15 AAA Tattnall County 62.0% 5 Brantley County AAA
25.68 A Athens Christian 56.8% 3 George Walton Academy A
25.65 AA Lovett 97.8% 36 Holy Innocents AA
25.51 AAA Kendrick 55.9% 3 Jordan AAA
25.31 A Clinch County 86.6% 19 Turner County A
25.05 A Mount Zion (Carroll) 58.8% 4 Trion A
25.01 A Mount Paran Christian 93.1% 26 Christian Heritage A
24.89 AA Bacon County 80.1% 14 Jeff Davis AA
24.61 AAA East Hall 68.0% 8 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAA
24.50 A Claxton 76.7% 12 Savannah Country Day A
24.06 AAAAAA Centennial 94.9% 29 Habersham Central AAAAAA
23.72 A Dooly County 90.9% 23 Schley County A
23.32 AAA Dawson County 61.7% 5 Fannin County AAA
22.07 AAAAA Northgate 92.2% 24 Forest Park AAAAA
21.98 AAA West Hall 93.6% 26 Franklin County AAA
21.63 AAA Central (Carrollton) 98.2% 37 Pepperell AAA
21.57 AAAA Bainbridge 95.4% 30 Dougherty AAAA
21.39 A Our Lady of Mercy 82.8% 16 Strong Rock Christian A
20.99 AA Bremen 80.3% 14 Chattahoochee County AA
20.93 A Mount de Sales 61.1% 5 Wilkinson County A
20.87 AAA Southeast Bulloch 67.5% 8 Johnson (Savannah) AAA
20.83 AAAAA Cross Creek 58.6% 4 Greenbrier AAAAA
20.01 A Greenville 87.3% 19 Taylor County A
19.49 A Savannah Christian 91.2% 23 Jenkins County A
19.29 AAA Lumpkin County 83.1% 16 Banks County AAA
18.70 AA Dublin 87.7% 20 East Laurens AA
18.07 AAA Washington County 99.8% 41 Butler AAA
17.40 A Whitefield Academy 60.1% 4 Fellowship Christian A
17.38 AAA Decatur 91.5% 24 Douglass AAA
16.13 AAAA Pickens 96.7% 32 LaFayette AAAA
15.60 AAAA Monroe 95.8% 31 Albany AAAA
15.49 AA Bryan County 78.0% 13 McIntosh County Academy AA
14.62 AAA McNair 63.1% 6 South Atlanta AAA
14.45 AAA Cedartown 89.7% 22 Haralson County AAA
14.21 A Calvary Day 95.8% 30 Portal A
13.02 AA Chattooga 57.9% 3 Gordon Lee AA
10.52 A Brookstone 92.7% 25 Central (Talbotton) A
10.41 AAA Hephzibah 61.4% 5 Glenn Hills AAA
10.24 AAA Jenkins 96.6% 32 Savannah AAA
9.01 A Irwin County 98.8% 39 Lanier County A
8.52 AAAA Walnut Grove 94.3% 28 Hampton AAAA
7.20 A St. Francis 90.2% 22 King’s Ridge Christian A
5.93 AAA Adairsville 99.4% 41 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
5.86 AAA Laney 98.6% 38 Josey AAA
5.59 A Emanuel County Institute 97.1% 33 Treutlen A
5.27 AA Riverside Military Academy 78.7% 13 Oglethorpe County AA
2.85 A Stratford Academy 96.9% 33 Twiggs County A
2.78 A Montgomery County 68.7% 8 Wheeler County A
2.19 A Georgia Military College 59.7% 4 Warren County A
0.83 AA Bowdon 99.0% 39 Temple AA
0.15 A Athens Academy 88.5% 20 Lakeview Academy A
-1.39 AAA Jefferson 99.9% 42 East Jackson AAA
-2.41 AAA Gordon Central 67.8% 8 Murray County AAA
-2.89 AA Dade County 95.5% 30 Armuchee AA
-3.23 A Terrell County 84.4% 17 Baconton A
-5.80 A Prince Avenue Christian 98.2% 37 Towns County A
-7.02 AA Metter 97.4% 34 Harlem AA
-7.57 A Landmark Christian 99.6% 41 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A
-9.50 AAAA New Hampstead 51.9% 1 North Cobb Christian A
-10.38 AA Seminole County 98.8% 39 Stewart County A
-10.39 AA Washington-Wilkes 99.1% 40 Social Circle AA
-16.12 AAA North Murray 98.1% 36 Coahulla Creek AAA
-18.71 AA Crawford County 91.4% 24 Glascock County A
-24.57 AAAAA Clarkston 96.6% 32 Cross Keys AAA
-30.00 A Commerce 99.7% 41 Providence Christian A

 

Oct 18

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
42.14 AAAA Arabia Mountain 60.0% 4 Lithonia AAAA
18.37 AAAA Redan 64.9% 6 Stone Mountain AAAA
18.31 A Mitchell County 62.0% 5 Miller County A
3.84 AAAA Burke County 99.5% 41 Windsor Forest AAAA
-1.09 AAA Beach 87.6% 20 Islands AAA

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