Maxwell Week 5 Projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell’s Georgia High School Football Archive.

Sep 18

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
18.87 AAA Southwest 74.4% 11 Jordan AAA
18.61 AAAA Crisp County 89.1% 21 Dougherty AAAA
5.28 AA Screven County 96.8% 33 Windsor Forest AAAA

 

Sep 19

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
83.79 AAAAAA McEachern 50.5% 1 Lovejoy AAAAAA
79.73 AAAAAA North Gwinnett 72.4% 10 Collins Hill AAAAAA
73.70 AAAAAA Milton 78.9% 13 Roswell AAAAAA
71.64 AAAAAA Grayson 85.6% 18 Parkview AAAAAA
70.21 AAAAA Creekside 60.5% 5 Stephenson AAAAA
67.96 AAA Washington County 81.2% 15 Burke County AAAA
65.71 AAAAAA Dacula 87.0% 19 South Gwinnett AAAAAA
65.66 AAAAA Coffee 66.0% 7 Glynn Academy AAAAA
62.76 AAAAAA Central Gwinnett 65.0% 6 Shiloh AAAAAA
60.12 AAAAAA Lowndes 94.4% 28 Newton AAAAAA
59.23 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 69.0% 8 Troup AAAA
58.22 AAAAA Ware County 88.8% 21 Richmond Hill AAAAA
57.83 AAAAA Warner Robins 63.1% 6 Houston County AAAAA
56.55 AAAA Cairo 68.7% 8 Westover AAAA
56.54 AAAAA Harris County 61.1% 5 Callaway AAA
55.82 AAAA Thomas County Central 81.9% 15 Bainbridge AAAA
54.86 AAA West Hall 57.9% 3 North Oconee AAAA
54.78 AAAAAA Alpharetta 89.3% 21 Lambert AAAAAA
54.51 AAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 95.3% 30 Jones County AAAAA
54.25 AAA Laney 50.1% 0 Elbert County AAA
54.21 AAAAA Brunswick 67.5% 8 Effingham County AAAAA
53.63 AAAAA Stockbridge 76.1% 12 Rockdale County AAAAAA
53.53 AAAAAA Camden County 96.9% 33 Wayne County AAAA
51.35 AAAAA Lakeside (Evans) 64.7% 6 Evans AAAAA
51.22 AAAA Carrollton 82.3% 16 North Hall AAAA
50.84 AAAAAA Chattahoochee 55.5% 3 Centennial AAAAAA
49.44 AAAAAA Brookwood 85.3% 18 Berkmar AAAAAA
48.97 AAAA Thomson 69.8% 9 Washington-Wilkes AA
48.80 AAAA Baldwin 59.7% 4 Thomasville AA
48.76 AAAAA Tri-Cities 50.5% 1 Union Grove AAAAA
48.28 AAAA Mary Persons 79.1% 13 LaGrange AAAAA
46.82 AAAAA Clarke Central 73.2% 10 Salem AAAAA
46.64 AA Fitzgerald 83.2% 16 Macon County AA
46.26 AAAAAA Norcross 97.8% 35 Mountain View AAAAAA
46.05 AAAAAA South Forsyth 71.0% 9 North Forsyth AAAAAA
45.72 AAAA Buford 99.3% 40 White County AAAA
45.65 AAAA Eastside 67.5% 8 Jonesboro AAAA
45.57 AAAAAA Mill Creek 96.3% 32 Duluth AAAAAA
45.40 AAAAA Flowery Branch 85.3% 18 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAA
45.30 AA Lovett 90.9% 23 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
45.29 AAAAA Dalton 84.8% 17 Cass AAAAA
45.06 AAAAAA Northview 79.3% 14 Johns Creek AAAAAA
44.94 AAAAA Rome 58.1% 4 Creekview AAAAA
44.33 AAAAA Miller Grove 64.9% 6 Banneker AAAAA
43.69 AAAAA Mundy’s Mill 82.8% 16 McIntosh AAAAA
42.96 A Hawkinsville 54.1% 2 Brookstone A
42.90 AAAA Whitewater 90.3% 22 Eagle’s Landing Christian A
42.87 AAA Jenkins 58.3% 4 Pierce County AAA
42.35 AAAA Grady 67.5% 8 Lithonia AAAA
42.34 AA Lamar County 80.0% 14 Ola AAAAA
42.12 AA Brooks County 90.8% 23 Perry AAAA
41.71 AAAAA Lanier 92.2% 24 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
40.53 AA Bowdon 74.0% 11 Darlington AA
40.46 AAA Central (Carrollton) 87.4% 19 Fayette County AAAA
39.98 AAAAAA Valdosta 98.1% 36 Veterans AAAA
39.52 AAAAA Statesboro 81.9% 15 South Effingham AAAAA
38.70 AA Heard County 68.8% 8 Cedartown AAA
38.54 AAAAAA Tift County 95.8% 30 Alcovy AAAAAA
38.49 A Irwin County 68.6% 8 Clinch County A
37.31 AAA Blessed Trinity 96.6% 32 Maynard Jackson AAAA
36.86 AAAA Eagle’s Landing 88.6% 20 Spalding AAAA
36.83 AAAAA Kell 98.2% 37 Forsyth Central AAAAA
36.42 AAAA Arabia Mountain 79.9% 14 Chamblee AAAA
36.25 A Aquinas 87.9% 20 Stratford Academy A
35.57 AAAAA Loganville 85.2% 18 Winder-Barrow AAAAA
34.72 AA Dublin 74.1% 11 Bleckley County AA
34.04 AAAAA Dunwoody 68.3% 8 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAA
33.68 AA Vidalia 92.1% 24 McIntosh County Academy AA
33.52 AAAAA Shaw 73.5% 10 Northeast AA
32.02 AAAAAA Colquitt County 99.8% 41 Pelham AA
31.36 AAAA Upson-Lee 85.5% 18 Northside (Columbus) AAAAA
31.34 A Calvary Day 84.5% 17 Johnson County A
31.25 AA Benedictine 95.5% 30 Bacon County AA
31.12 AAAAA Sequoyah 90.1% 22 River Ridge AAAAA
30.58 A Pacelli 73.3% 10 Greenville A
30.56 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 88.0% 20 Dade County AA
30.42 A Marion County 90.0% 22 Columbus AAAAA
29.68 AAA Decatur 83.6% 16 North Clayton AAA
29.67 A Emanuel County Institute 87.3% 19 Claxton A
29.54 A Tattnall Square 76.5% 12 Hancock Central A
29.10 AAA East Hall 72.2% 10 Jackson County AAA
29.09 AAAA Marist 99.2% 40 Stone Mountain AAAA
28.73 AA Jefferson County 90.2% 22 Glenn Hills AAA
28.53 AAAA Riverdale 83.3% 16 Walnut Grove AAAA
28.32 AAAA Pike County 54.0% 2 Henry County AAAA
28.13 A Trion 60.3% 4 Pinecrest Academy A
28.12 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 98.0% 36 Towers AAA
28.01 AAA Westside (Macon) 97.2% 34 Central (Macon) AAA
27.55 AAA Kendrick 57.2% 3 Rutland AAA
27.53 A Turner County 52.3% 1 Telfair County A
26.88 AA Manchester 63.0% 6 Mitchell County A
26.04 AAAAA Gainesville 99.2% 40 Apalachee AAAAA
25.74 AAAAA Richmond Academy 75.5% 11 Greenbrier AAAAA
25.65 AAAAA Northgate 89.9% 22 Morrow AAAAA
25.24 A Our Lady of Mercy 67.2% 7 Lumpkin County AAA
25.12 AA Bremen 58.0% 4 Rockmart AAA
23.92 A Prince Avenue Christian 90.3% 22 Athens Christian A
23.21 AA Union County 66.0% 7 Fannin County AAA
23.14 A Commerce 75.8% 12 Athens Academy A
22.72 AAA Morgan County 84.3% 17 Monticello AA
22.03 AAAAAA West Forsyth 98.3% 37 Habersham Central AAAAAA
21.87 AAAAA Starr’s Mill 90.2% 22 Forest Park AAAAA
21.63 AA Seminole County 86.5% 19 Miller County A
21.50 AAA Therrell 50.5% 1 South Atlanta AAA
21.24 AAAA Americus-Sumter 89.9% 22 Albany AAAA
21.24 AAA Dodge County 90.0% 22 Southeast Bulloch AAA
21.05 AAA Appling County 95.8% 30 Beach AAA
20.50 AAA Calhoun 99.7% 41 North Murray AAA
20.45 AAA Oconee County 74.2% 11 Greene County AA
19.96 AAA Peach County 99.1% 40 Spencer AAA
19.44 AAAAA Grovetown 81.3% 15 Cross Creek AAAAA
19.26 AAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 99.7% 41 Meadowcreek AAAAAA
19.14 A Whitefield Academy 53.9% 2 Walker A
18.69 AA Early County 93.9% 27 Calhoun County A
18.40 A Mount Paran Christian 94.8% 28 King’s Ridge Christian A
18.32 AA Bryan County 69.0% 8 Groves AA
17.46 AAA Pepperell 78.5% 13 Chattooga AA
17.30 AAA Cedar Grove 98.2% 37 Douglass AAA
17.05 AAA Tattnall County 87.8% 20 Savannah AAA
16.45 AAAA Columbia 98.2% 37 Redan AAAA
15.73 A Charlton County 95.6% 30 Atkinson County A
15.28 AAAAA Riverwood 98.1% 36 North Atlanta AAAAA
15.00 A Mount de Sales 74.8% 11 Strong Rock Christian A
14.43 AAAAA Sprayberry 95.2% 29 North Springs AAAAA
13.96 AAAAAA Lee County 99.2% 40 Terrell County A
13.26 A Wilcox County 86.5% 19 Lanier County A
13.03 AA Rabun County 90.0% 22 Riverside Military Academy AA
12.44 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 99.6% 41 Hapeville AA
12.38 AAAA Pickens 97.6% 35 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAA
12.19 AAAA Locust Grove 95.9% 31 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAA
10.91 A Savannah Country Day 69.3% 8 Montgomery County A
10.88 A Taylor County 81.1% 15 Schley County A
10.14 AAAA Griffin 99.9% 42 Hampton AAAA
9.97 A Mount Zion (Carroll) 86.2% 18 St. Francis A
9.45 A Savannah Christian 98.2% 37 Treutlen A
9.20 A Christian Heritage 86.6% 19 Fellowship Christian A
9.16 A First Presbyterian 94.2% 27 Georgia Military College A
8.16 AAAA Woodward Academy 99.7% 41 Clarkston AAAAA
7.43 AAA Ringgold 98.7% 38 Gordon Central AAA
7.03 AAA Haralson County 73.3% 10 Temple AA
6.92 AA Swainsboro 92.3% 25 Butler AAA
6.86 A Wilkinson County 82.0% 15 Warren County A
6.82 A Landmark Christian 98.1% 36 Josey AAA
5.36 AA Long County 90.3% 22 Jeff Davis AA
4.38 A Jenkins County 85.0% 17 Wheeler County A
3.88 AAA Hart County 99.7% 41 Oglethorpe County AA
2.75 AAA Franklin County 89.3% 21 East Jackson AAA
0.32 A Dooly County 98.4% 37 Central (Talbotton) A
-2.34 A Lincoln County 96.1% 31 Twiggs County A
-2.61 AA Chattahoochee County 83.9% 17 Crawford County AA
-2.65 AAA Hephzibah 79.3% 14 New Hampstead AAAA
-3.68 A Hebron Christian Academy 78.1% 13 Towns County A
-6.43 AA Wesleyan 98.7% 38 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA
-7.65 AAA Sonoraville 97.6% 35 Coahulla Creek AAA
-8.12 AA Harlem 76.0% 12 Glascock County A
-8.46 AAA Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe 86.5% 19 Murray County AAA
-16.56 AA East Laurens 96.9% 33 Stewart County A
-16.76 AA Putnam County 96.9% 33 Social Circle AA
-22.46 AAA Banks County 98.4% 37 North Cobb Christian A
-31.33 A George Walton Academy 99.8% 41 Providence Christian A

 

Sep 20

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
55.86 AAAAA Mays 72.3% 10 Southwest DeKalb AAAAA
52.25 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 57.6% 3 M. L. King AAAAA
42.71 AAAA Liberty County 51.0% 1 Monroe AAAA
34.73 AA Holy Innocents 63.4% 6 Pace Academy AA
18.60 AAA Washington 89.2% 21 McNair AAA
15.12 AAA Johnson (Savannah) 80.3% 14 Brantley County AAA
-3.15 AAA Cook 99.0% 39 Islands AAA
-28.54 A Mount Vernon Presbyterian 90.0% 22 Cross Keys AAAA

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