Posted: 5:10 pm Wednesday, August 27th, 2014

Maxwell Week 2 Projections 

By Todd Holcomb

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the probability of the favorite winning the game, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rate is calculated as the expected value of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information.
 

Aug 28

Game Rate Favorite Percent Margin Opponent
53.91 Houston County 57.1% 3 Veterans
40.73 Drew 68.1% 8 Fayette County
31.75 Kendrick 51.8% 1 Northside (Columbus)
24.96 Spalding 64.2% 6 Forest Park

 

Aug 29

Game Rate Favorite Percent Margin Opponent
79.59 Gainesville 55.9% 3 Grayson
77.52 Archer 50.1% 0 Peachtree Ridge
76.66 Creekside 56.1% 3 Hughes
75.81 North Gwinnett 87.4% 19 North Cobb
74.87 Kell 74.7% 11 Lassiter
74.81 Valdosta 69.6% 8 Thomas County Central
72.87 Norcross 91.5% 24 Brookwood
72.72 Mill Creek 70.6% 9 West Forsyth
71.81 Alpharetta 52.2% 1 Milton
70.81 Walton 72.1% 10 Marietta
69.99 Carrollton 65.2% 7 Newnan
67.18 St. Pius X 59.9% 4 Blessed Trinity
66.37 North Paulding 68.6% 8 East Paulding
64.52 Collins Hill 75.4% 11 Central Gwinnett
63.54 Brunswick 54.3% 2 Glynn Academy
62.80 Washington County 86.0% 18 Thomson
61.77 Calhoun 84.9% 17 Dalton
61.60 Harrison 60.5% 5 Wheeler
60.26 Greater Atlanta Christian 71.8% 10 North Oconee
58.20 Warner Robins 81.6% 15 Peach County
58.05 Lovett 87.2% 19 Westminster (Atlanta)
57.74 Cherokee 60.5% 5 North Forsyth
57.50 Clarke Central 62.8% 5 Hart County
57.17 Hillgrove 95.2% 29 Shiloh
56.24 Allatoona 86.3% 19 Villa Rica
55.73 Tift County 77.1% 12 Cook
55.57 Lovejoy 94.8% 29 Mundy’s Mill
55.57 Etowah 87.8% 20 Sequoyah
54.44 Roswell 60.9% 5 Centennial
54.30 Cedar Grove 66.3% 7 Southwest DeKalb
53.60 East Coweta 78.7% 13 Arabia Mountain
53.60 Flowery Branch 84.0% 17 Chestatee
53.27 Parkview 84.1% 17 Mountain View
52.54 Sandy Creek 97.4% 34 Jonesboro
52.50 Troup 63.0% 6 LaGrange
51.81 Luella 59.0% 4 McIntosh
51.75 Stockbridge 81.3% 15 Eagle’s Landing Christian
51.75 Woodstock 73.3% 10 Johns Creek
51.07 Wayne County 65.5% 7 Appling County
50.94 Cairo 73.6% 10 Thomasville
50.52 Whitewater 87.7% 20 Starr’s Mill
50.44 Westlake 69.9% 9 Banneker
50.23 Vidalia 61.4% 5 West Laurens
50.13 Alcovy 55.6% 3 Eastside
49.80 Woodward Academy 84.7% 17 Decatur
49.56 Union Grove 63.4% 6 Eagle’s Landing
48.97 Monroe Area 87.7% 20 Loganville
48.65 Elbert County 67.1% 7 Cedar Shoals
48.32 Aquinas 65.5% 7 Prince Avenue Christian
48.10 Buford 99.0% 39 Berkmar
48.06 South Cobb 79.0% 13 Pope
47.50 Burke County 94.7% 28 Jefferson County
47.06 Bainbridge 77.0% 12 Early County
46.99 Miller Grove 54.1% 2 Pebblebrook
46.95 Camden County 98.4% 37 Dutchtown
46.86 Washington-Wilkes 75.5% 11 Lincoln County
46.61 Alexander 68.5% 8 Douglas County
46.02 Duluth 67.8% 8 Northview
45.88 Cedartown 56.1% 3 Hiram
45.10 Lee County 88.4% 20 Crisp County
44.29 Northgate 76.2% 12 Shaw
43.87 Adairsville 60.9% 5 Woodland (Cartersville)
43.57 Brooks County 89.3% 21 Clinch County
43.31 Rockdale County 70.8% 9 Salem
43.29 Cartersville 90.2% 22 Cass
43.03 Sprayberry 54.0% 2 Kennesaw Mountain
42.90 White County 76.9% 12 Pickens
42.14 Jones County 79.3% 14 Morgan County
41.87 Savannah Christian 59.3% 4 McIntosh County Academy
40.77 Dooly County 53.5% 2 Wilcox County
40.66 Cambridge 51.5% 1 Chapel Hill
40.65 Lamar County 86.8% 19 Pike County
40.17 Westside (Macon) 86.7% 19 Rutland
39.27 Campbell 76.3% 12 Stone Mountain
38.63 Locust Grove 60.6% 5 Ola
37.92 Bremen 50.1% 0 Darlington
37.60 Dublin 64.8% 6 Johnson County
37.20 Bleckley County 68.6% 8 Hawkinsville
37.02 Americus-Sumter 61.5% 5 Macon County
36.87 Riverdale 71.5% 9 North Clayton
36.39 Apalachee 54.1% 2 Woodland (Stockbridge)
36.12 Paulding County 56.4% 3 Pepperell
34.88 Wesleyan 56.2% 3 East Hall
34.86 Emanuel County Institute 63.9% 6 Swainsboro
34.63 Riverwood 83.4% 16 Holy Innocents
34.00 Chamblee 80.6% 14 Druid Hills
33.30 Dawson County 72.5% 10 Forsyth Central
33.24 Liberty County 76.9% 12 Bradwell Institute
33.22 Landmark Christian 79.3% 14 Lithia Springs
32.92 Madison County 50.5% 1 Jackson County
32.92 Metter 66.6% 7 Claxton
32.76 Callaway 96.3% 31 B.E.S.T. Academy
32.63 Mary Persons 94.3% 28 Jackson
32.44 Our Lady of Mercy 67.5% 8 Pace Academy
31.56 Jefferson 96.8% 33 Winder-Barrow
30.68 Johnson (Savannah) 59.2% 4 Toombs County
29.33 Pierce County 87.9% 20 Southeast Bulloch
28.83 Mays 96.2% 31 Glenn Hills
28.47 First Presbyterian 68.1% 8 Howard
28.44 Mitchell County 56.9% 3 Albany
28.25 Lakeside (Atlanta) 70.0% 9 Osborne
27.32 Rabun County 60.2% 4 Habersham Central
26.42 Mount Paran Christian 92.6% 25 Whitefield Academy
25.49 Richmond Academy 83.2% 16 Westside (Augusta)
25.39 Rockmart 73.4% 10 North Murray
25.34 Carver (Columbus) 98.5% 38 Spencer
25.28 Griffin 99.7% 41 Henry County
25.08 Marion County 91.8% 24 Miller County
24.91 Irwin County 89.6% 22 Berrien
24.54 Model 77.6% 13 Sonoraville
24.27 Wilkinson County 78.4% 13 Central (Macon)
23.78 Athens Academy 78.1% 13 Athens Christian
23.11 Stephens County 94.0% 27 Franklin County
22.11 Baldwin 93.7% 27 Hancock Central
22.09 Gilmer 95.2% 29 Fannin County
21.70 Stratford Academy 89.1% 21 Savannah Country Day
21.37 McNair 56.8% 3 Redan
20.78 Mount de Sales 72.4% 10 Pacelli
19.82 Taylor County 82.3% 16 East Laurens
19.54 Newton 98.6% 38 Meadowcreek
19.31 Haralson County 56.2% 3 Greenville
18.92 Coffee 99.5% 41 Savannah
18.43 Ridgeland 89.1% 21 Chattooga
18.19 Tattnall County 82.3% 15 Long County
17.70 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe 52.0% 1 Gordon Lee
16.45 Commerce 85.2% 18 Banks County
16.19 Monticello 61.0% 5 Walnut Grove
16.10 West Hall 91.5% 24 Johnson (Gainesville)
16.02 Maynard Jackson 86.3% 18 Therrell
15.67 Morrow 73.3% 10 Mount Zion (Jonesboro)
15.43 Pinecrest Academy 65.8% 7 North Springs
15.39 Putnam County 79.5% 14 Greene County
15.22 Ringgold 98.6% 38 Heritage (Ringgold)
15.08 Monroe 96.6% 32 Terrell County
14.50 Northeast 93.4% 26 Southwest
14.21 Fellowship Christian 57.6% 3 Riverside Military Academy
13.44 Douglass 58.8% 4 South Atlanta
13.37 Atkinson County 50.8% 1 Jeff Davis
13.34 Treutlen 62.2% 5 Jenkins County
13.19 Tattnall Square 93.6% 27 Georgia Military College
12.56 Cross Creek 56.8% 3 Hephzibah
12.21 Telfair County 70.4% 9 Wheeler County
11.97 Beach 80.4% 14 Windsor Forest
11.46 Lithonia 94.8% 28 Clarkston
9.75 Hardaway 94.2% 27 Chattahoochee County
9.68 Bacon County 92.4% 25 Lanier County
9.14 Dodge County 97.5% 34 Brantley County
8.09 Oconee County 87.2% 19 Oglethorpe County
7.85 Dougherty 85.6% 18 Calhoun County
7.84 Grovetown 94.7% 28 Harlem
7.06 George Walton Academy 96.6% 32 Hapeville
4.34 Portal 79.4% 14 Josey
3.28 Trion 95.5% 30 Armuchee
2.93 Lakeview Academy 56.0% 3 East Jackson
1.39 Groves 81.4% 15 Islands
-1.67 Union County 92.6% 25 Towns County
-5.12 LaFayette 94.2% 28 Gordon Central
-6.76 Glascock County 57.7% 3 Warren County
-7.62 North Atlanta 94.1% 27 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate
-7.77 Hebron Christian Academy 79.2% 14 Mount Vernon Presbyterian
-10.95 Pelham 97.6% 35 Baconton
-13.35 Crawford County 80.9% 15 Central (Talbotton)
-14.90 Southeast Whitfield 99.0% 39 Murray County
-15.29 Strong Rock Christian 94.7% 28 Social Circle
-24.98 Cross Keys 62.4% 5 North Cobb Christian
-28.59 St. Francis 96.6% 32 Providence Christian

 

Aug 30

Game Rate Favorite Percent Margin Opponent
54.44 Fitzgerald 57.5% 3 Heard County
46.24 Carver (Atlanta) 71.5% 9 Washington
40.34 Charlton County 61.5% 5 Manchester
34.14 South Effingham 71.7% 9 Jenkins
4 comments
SchroedingersCat
SchroedingersCat

Lanier and Lambert alreay played their game. Lanier won 27 to 14. But nice prediction.